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NCAAF MatchupsSat 3:30 PM ET
Robert Morris Colonials logo
Robert Morris
Colonials
1-1
versus
Buffalo Bulls logo
Buffalo
Bulls
1-1
NCAAF · rmu at BUFF

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Brycet

13-11 record · 54.17% wins
Last 30 days · NCAAF

$1,000 pick on the spread

Robert Morris Colonials vs Buffalo Bulls Predictions September 26, 2026

Game time: September 26, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET

Article updated Sep 25, 12:38 PM EDT

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

Buffalo will beat Robert Morris, with a projected score of Buffalo 31, Robert Morris 13. Chance Morrow’s five touchdown catches give the Bulls a clear scoring option as Jason Wright prepares for his second career start. That quarterback transition makes the margin less certain, and neither Buffalo -28.5 (-115) nor the 45.5 total offers a strong enough case for an actionable wager.

Robert Morris Colonials vs Buffalo Bulls prediction and best bet

Buffalo is the pick to win, with Morrow’s production anchoring the offensive case. His 20 receptions, 252 receiving yards and five touchdown catches give Wright an established target. James McNeil Jr.’s latest rushing performance adds another reason to expect the Bulls to generate enough offense at home.

Winning and covering this spread require different judgments. Buffalo must win by at least 29 points to cover -28.5 (-115), a demanding assignment for a quarterback approaching his second career start. Robert Morris brings a quarterback with seven touchdown passes, giving the underdog a plausible way to complicate that margin. The official best bet is Pass, with separate passes on the spread and total.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026, in the 2026 college football season.

Venue: Broadview Stadium on the University at Buffalo’s North Campus.

Broadcast: ESPN+.

Records: Robert Morris 2-1; Buffalo 1-2. This is Buffalo’s Homecoming game and final non-conference contest.

Expected Buffalo quarterback: Sophomore Jason Wright, slated for his second career start.

SportsJaw spread: Robert Morris +28.5 (-115); Buffalo -28.5 (-115). Moneyline: Robert Morris +2,000; Buffalo -7,000. Total: Over 45.5 (-105); Under 45.5 (-115).

Robert Morris Colonials outlook

Robert Morris enters with the better record, but its latest result is the larger concern for this forecast. The Colonials lost 45-10 at Akron on September 12. That margin warrants caution about their ability to stay close, although one result cannot tell us exactly how they will defend Buffalo’s receivers or handle Wright.

Carson Haggard supplies the clearest affirmative case for the visitors. He has 609 passing yards and seven touchdown passes this season. Those numbers show that Robert Morris has produced through the air, which matters when assessing an underdog receiving more than four touchdowns. A few successful scoring possessions could make Buffalo’s spread assignment substantially harder even if the Bulls lead throughout.

The distinction is between a route to competitiveness and a demonstrated betting edge. Haggard’s touchdown production makes an outright dismissal of the Colonials too aggressive, but it offers no precise measure of how their offense will perform Saturday. The forecast calls for Robert Morris to contribute some scoring while falling short of an upset. Taking +28.5 would require greater conviction about its ability to limit Buffalo or sustain its own offense.

Buffalo Bulls outlook

Buffalo’s offense has leaned heavily on Morrow: He has scored five of the team’s six touchdowns this season. His receiving production gives the forecast a concrete foundation, but that concentration also raises a question. If Robert Morris contains him, Buffalo will need more scoring from its other options.

Wright’s relief appearance at FIU offers encouragement alongside a reason for restraint. After Elijah Holmes was forced out in the second half, Wright completed 13 of 27 passes for 185 yards and two touchdowns. The touchdown throws are promising; the limited starting experience makes a precise scoring expectation harder to trust.

Buffalo’s September 22 preview identifies Wright as the expected starter. Holmes has a knee injury, and RotoWire’s September 19 report said he hoped to return against Robert Morris without confirming a recovery timeline. Its estimated September 26 return date should not be treated as confirmation that he will play.

McNeil rushed for a career-high 80 yards and a touchdown in the 55-13 loss at Penn State on September 19. Oliver Hautanen has made all four field-goal attempts and all three extra-point attempts. Those contributions help the offensive outlook, although the kicking sample is small and the Bulls enter at 1-2.

Key matchup factors

The central question is how consistently Wright can turn Buffalo’s receiving production into scoring possessions. Morrow provides the obvious target, while McNeil’s recent contribution gives the Bulls another option. For Robert Morris, Haggard’s passing production is the strongest reason to expect some response rather than forecast a one-sided scoring ledger.

SportsJaw’s community spread leader was Buffalo -28.5 (-115), with 100% support in the September 23, 2026, 12:30 UTC update. That is member sentiment, not a sportsbook ticket share or a win probability. It favors the same team as this forecast, but supplies no additional football reason to expect a victory of at least 29 points.

Robert Morris Colonials vs Buffalo Bulls spread prediction

Spread recommendation: Pass on Buffalo Bulls -28.5 (-115) and Robert Morris Colonials +28.5 (-115). The projected 18-point Buffalo victory would leave Robert Morris covering by 10.5 points, so the score forecast clearly favors the underdog relative to the line.

That cushion deserves consideration, but the projection remains uncertain. Robert Morris just lost by 35 at Akron, while Buffalo’s quarterback transition leaves its margin difficult to judge. Haggard offers a credible counterargument to laying the points; the Colonials’ latest result keeps taking them from becoming the official wager.

Robert Morris Colonials vs Buffalo Bulls total prediction

Total recommendation: Pass on Over 45.5 (-105) and Under 45.5 (-115). The projected 44 points sit only 1.5 below the line, leaving little room for a scoring variation to change the result.

Morrow’s five touchdown catches and Haggard’s seven touchdown passes offer reasons to expect scoring from both offenses. Wright’s limited starting experience adds uncertainty to Buffalo’s contribution. The projection points toward the Under, but neither the narrow difference nor the individual production figures justify paying -115 for it. The Over also remains a Pass.

Robert Morris Colonials vs Buffalo Bulls projected score

Game forecast: Buffalo 31, Robert Morris 13. Morrow’s receiving production, McNeil’s recent rushing contribution and home field put the Bulls ahead in this assessment. The expectation is that Buffalo creates enough scoring opportunities to win comfortably, even if its final margin falls short of the spread.

Haggard is the strongest counterargument: His season production gives Robert Morris a route to a more competitive game. Wright’s limited starting experience also makes Buffalo’s projected output fragile. Confidence in the forecast is low. Buffalo remains the selected winner, while both market recommendations and the single official SportsJaw wager remain Pass.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

rmu13

BUFF31

Projected winner Buffalo BullsConfidenceStrong Lean — Robert Morris Colonials
Pick on the Spread

Strong Lean — Robert Morris Colonials +28.5

Editorial pick at publication: Pass on Buffalo Bulls -28.5 (-115) and Robert Morris Colonials +28.5 (-115).

Pick on the Total

Slight Lean — Under 45.5

Editorial pick at publication: Pass on Over 45.5 (-105) and Under 45.5 (-115).

Sources

  • University at Buffalo AthleticsBulls Welcome Robert Morris for Homecoming Game on Saturday
  • RotoWireElijah Holmes Fantasy College Football News & Stats
  • University at Buffalo Parking and Transportation ServicesParking and Travel Advisory for September 26 Football Game

SportsJaw Colonials vs Bulls game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Colonials vs Bulls matchups or learn how our predictions work.

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