NCAAF · MIDTEN at JACKST
Picks close 15 minutes before game time (ET)Your Picks on Middle Tenn. St. vs Jacksonville St.
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Middle Tennessee’s takeaways deserve attention, but neither team’s latest comeback establishes an edge against Jacksonville State’s 8.5-point spread.
Middle Tennessee visits Jacksonville State on September 26 in the 2026 college football season. The Blue Raiders’ team report identifies the matchup as their Conference USA opener. Middle Tennessee enters at 2-1 after beating Nevada 27-20, while Jacksonville State improved to 2-2 with a 31-27 victory over Georgia Southern.
Both wins required rallies. Middle Tennessee scored two fourth-quarter touchdowns following Nevada fumbles. Jacksonville State overcame a 17-point deficit and scored 14 points in the fourth quarter. Those results document successful comebacks, but they do not establish how either team will perform in this matchup.
Middle Tennessee held Nevada to 78 rushing yards on 34 carries. Antonio Martin Jr. rushed 23 times for 104 yards and a touchdown, while Roman Gagliano completed 16 of 29 passes for 173 yards and two touchdowns. Those are concrete positives from the Blue Raiders’ latest performance.
Turnovers were also central. Nevada’s recap independently confirms three giveaways, with two second-half fumbles leading to Middle Tennessee touchdowns. The Blue Raiders have forced a fumble in each of their first three games, but a forced fumble does not guarantee a recovery. Another decisive turnover advantage cannot be assumed.
SportsJaw lists Jacksonville State at -8.5 (-110), with Middle Tennessee +8.5 (-110). The total is 52, with over and under each priced at -110. The supplied reporting offers little statistical detail on Jacksonville State’s offense or defense, limiting a direct comparison.
Middle Tennessee’s defensive showing provides a reason to investigate the underdog, not enough support to recommend its spread. The same gaps prevent a supported scoring projection or total selection. The decision is Pass, with no projected winner or score.