The last two games between these two teams have gone under. Combined, these two teams have hit 25 unders this season. In their last 10, both teams are 5-5 in terms of the O/U. In this particular game, the Raiders will hold an advantage playing at home. Their defense is tops in the Horizon, and they should be able to make things difficult for the Norse. Instead of this game being won on offense, it will have to be won on defense, and that is where the Raiders hold an advantage. I would make this a 1 Unit Bet. It will be close and I have it at 141.
My Pick: Under 140
Northern Kentucky can put points on the board so Wright State will have to put a lid on it tonight. The Raiders are excellent at home. I expect this to be a close game but I'm giving the Raiders the edge since they will be playing on their court.
Both these teams play excellent defense which will make scoring a challenge. Northern Kentucky is better on offense, but sill only slightly better than the middle of the pack. 140 total points could be a reach for these teams. Give the unders a look.
My Pick: Wright St. -1.5 & Under 140
I expect a low scoring game that Cornell playing at home actually steals away in the last minute or two.
My Pick: Cornell +0 & Under 141
In 118 years these two have played each other , Harvard has won only 14 games when playing as the away team. The Tigers are also coming off a couple L's that have dropped them to a two-way tie for second in the Ivy League. They want, need and own this rivalry at home. Lay the points.
My Pick: Princeton -2
How well the Jaspers play defense doesn't make sense when you consider how bad of an effort they give offensively. They don't shoot well , don't rebound, and don't generally play with any unity. That being said they are fun to watch, well maybe not fun but interesting. should be a low scoring game tonight.
My Pick: Under 130.5
Buffalo is 15th in the country in terms of possessions per game. I think Toledo's Defense is capable of slowing it down but will need to pace themselves on offense to win. They got blown away last meeting which I don't foresee tonight but at the same time don't feel comfortable betting the spread. Going with the Under here.
My Pick: Under 160.5
Game of the night here (yeah, not much basketball on). But it offers a couple of under the radar squads the chance to show the country they're a legitimate dog for March Madness. I gotta go with Toledo here. Akron pushed it to the limit on the Bulls the other night, in Ohio. This is as tough as the schedule gets for Buffalo now traveling straight to a hostile Toledo on a Friday night where the students are certain to bring the noise.
My Pick: Toledo +3
This is going to be a good game that should be close and really a pick em. I will take Toledo just because the only games the bulls have lost are against teams with the same amount of talent. It just so happens that against those teams, the Bulls flinch first.
My Pick: Buffalo -3
I feel like the Quakers should and will win this game but the points are too tempting to not take the Big Green. Dartmouth plays most teams close and so does Penn, both are very evenly matched. They both run a control offense off set plays that slows games down and keeps the score low.
My Pick: Dartmouth +8 & Under 144.5
Jordan Varnado has missed last 2 games and is questionable again tonight. If he is a no go, then big offensive loss for Troy. Varnado is a senior forward that averages north of 21 points per game and 7.87 and has a 29.1 usage percentage.
Princeton is at home for this contest, the team is coming into this game with consecutive losses to below average competition. Harvard is also coming off of a loss but the Crimson have dominated this series historically and this line does look peculiarly low. Harvard is a very crafty team that has the ability to win this game outright despite the inferior record and I think that this spread is extremely low for a reason. Give me the road underdog plus the points in this one. It's Simple Princeton is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Harvard. Besides I am getting them at +2
My Pick: Harvard +1.5
I like the Raiders at home in this spot. Were looking a couple of teams that could make trouble in the opening round of the NCAA Tournament should they advance. Wright State has won three straight but facing Northern Kentucky and their solid offensive production is a challenge. Of course, all of Northern Kentuckys six defeats have come on the road, as they are 5-6 as the visiting team. Wright State is 11-2 at home on the year and that gives them the upper hand here as they win a tight game.
My Pick: Wright St. -1
I like the motivated Penn Quakers in this spot. Playing their first home game in over a month, and more importantly, needing a win in this game to get on track to reach the Ivy League tournament are the primary drivers for picking the Quakers. It should also be remembered Penn ran the table against its Big 5 rivals this season, which includes a win over NCAA Tournament champion Villanova, and should be up to the task of dispatching Dartmouth. Take Penn here
My Pick: Penn -8.5
I like Yale in this spot on the road. Columbias only conference win this season is barely surviving a home game against Cornell after having an opportunity to play them in back-to-back games. Now, they face the daunting task of fending off the top-ranked conference team in the Bulldogs on Friday after losing their last four straight games. Forget about home-court advantage since playing under their home roof hasnt exactly helped them this season. Theres a reason why Columbia is the last place team in the Ivy League Conference standings. Their defense ranks in the bottom-half of the country in points allowed, and they are only averaging 70.7 points on offense. Unless they play the greatest defensive game of the season, they arent holding the Bulldogs to less than 70 points. Gimme Yale here all day
My Pick: Yale -9
I know South Alabama is 1-8 on the road and Georgia St. is 10-1 at home but hear me out. The Jaguars have covered the spread in five of the last six meetings versus Georgia State, but they are just 1-4 against the spread in their last five trips to GSU Sports Arena. While South Alabama is just 12-13 on the year, they are 14-9 against the spread. The Jaguars dont have a road win yet this season, so I expect them to come out and give the Panthers a run for their money on Friday night. Take South Alabama with the points on the road in this Sun Belt clash on Friday night.
My Pick: South Alabama +8.5
I actually like Toledo in this game. This is a different Toledo team from the one that was on display last month, while the Bulls have cooled off a bit. Buffalo is 1-5 ATS in its last six following a win. The Rockets are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four against winning opponents, 6-2 ATS in their last eight at home against opponents with winning road records, and 3-0-1 ATS in their last four following a win.
My Pick: Toledo +2.5
Toledo sits 20-4 overall and 11-1 on the home court. Rockets enter play on a five game win streak and revenge after a blowout loss at Buffalo five weeks ago. This is a different Toledo team from the one that was on display last month. Buffalo has failed to cover three straight and six of their past eight games. In that span were losses on the road at Bowling Green and Northern Illinois. Rockets at home have been solid defensively. Bulls have their struggles at the three point and free throw line. Rockets take care of the basketball a low turnover team that is fourth best in the nation from the free throw line making 78.4%. Best against MAC teams in two point defense and defensive glass.
My Pick: Toledo +2.5
Princeton got Devin Cannady back after his suspension/arrest for punching a police officer, but Tigers have been mediocre since his return. He was decent in his most recent outing, but Princeton still dropped to 0-2 since his return. Harvard, on the other hand, is in fine form now that Aiken is back. Toss up here with both teams being capable of winning the Ivy. Ill take the free bucket with the Crimson in a close one
My Pick: Harvard +1.5