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NCAAF MatchupsSat 10:00 PM ET
Rice
Owls
1-1
versus
Fresno St.
Bulldogs
1-1
NCAAF · RICE at FRESNO

Your Picks on Rice vs Fresno St.

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Rice Owls vs Fresno St. Bulldogs Predictions

Game time: September 26, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET

Venue: Valley Children's Stadium — Fresno, CA

Article updated Sep 21, 2:52 AM EDT

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

Fresno State’s recent defensive production meets Rice’s productive rushing attack, leaving important questions at a two-touchdown spread.

The matchup

The Rice Owls visit the Fresno State Bulldogs on September 26 in a 2026 college football matchup. Both schools’ September 19 game reports confirm the opponent and date. Fresno State enters after beating San Jose State 26-10 to reach 2-1; Rice comes off a 28-21 loss to Western Michigan.

Fresno State intercepted four passes and recorded five sacks against San Jose State. The Bulldogs have forced a turnover in nine consecutive games and committed none in their last two. That supports a favorable view of their recent execution, but another four-interception performance cannot be assumed.

Rice’s ground game provides the central test

Covers lists Rice at 243.7 rushing yards and 73.3 passing yards per game. Fresno State’s defense is allowing 114.3 rushing yards and 268.7 passing yards per game. Those averages frame the key question: can Rice sustain its rushing production against this defense? They do not establish how either unit will perform in this meeting.

Rice quarterback Jacurri Brown rushed for 128 yards against Western Michigan and completed 11 of 18 passes for 121 yards, one touchdown and no interceptions. His rushing contribution gives Fresno State a specific threat to contain.

Availability remains unsettled. As of September 20, Covers listed Rice tight ends J. Falk and P. Zinter as questionable. Fresno State running back B. Ramirez was listed out and projected to miss the remainder of the season.

The betting decision

SportsJaw lists Fresno State at -625 moneyline and -14 (-110), with Rice at +430 moneyline and +14 (-110). Fresno State’s defensive showing supports its favorite status, but the available performance evidence does not establish value at either side’s price.

The total is 44.5, with over 44.5 (-110) and under 44.5 (-108). Rice’s rushing emphasis alone does not establish an under edge, and Fresno State’s recent takeaways offer no dependable scoring forecast. The available reporting also provides no basis for a public-betting argument.

The selection is Pass. Neither a side nor a total has sufficient support for a wager, so no winner or score projection is issued.

Confidencelow
Betting lean

Pass

Sources

  • Fresno State AthleticsThe Valley Trophy stays in Fresno with 26-10 win
  • Rice University AthleticsBroncos Outlast Owls
  • CoversRice Owls vs Fresno State Bulldogs Game Overview, Stats, Injuries, Records - NCAAF Game on September 26, 2026

SportsJaw Owls vs Bulldogs game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Owls vs Bulldogs matchups or learn how our predictions work.