NCAAF · COLO at BAYLOR
Picks close 15 minutes before game time (ET)Your Picks on Colorado vs Baylor
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Both teams enter their conference opener at 2-1, with Baylor awaiting DJ Lagway’s expected return and Colorado coming off a turnover-heavy defeat.
The Colorado Buffaloes visit the Baylor Bears on September 26 in a 2026 college football conference opener. Both teams are 2-1. Baylor is favored at -10 (-110), with a -408 moneyline; Colorado is +10 (-110) and +307 on the moneyline.
Baylor expects starting quarterback DJ Lagway to return from a sprained right ankle. That expectation does not establish his readiness or how the quarterback snaps will be distributed. Nate Bennett started the past two victories and totaled 567 passing yards with six touchdown passes.
Against Louisiana Tech, Bennett completed 21 of 24 passes for 253 yards and three touchdowns, adding a 25-yard rushing touchdown. That performance gives Baylor reason for optimism, but it does not establish an expected scoring margin against Colorado.
Colorado lost 41-7 at Northwestern on September 19 despite gaining 348 yards. Four turnovers and three unsuccessful fourth-down attempts ended seven possessions. Julian Lewis completed 19 of 29 passes for 168 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions.
The defensive results also warrant attention: Northwestern gained 423 yards, including 182 rushing and 241 passing. Still, using that single result to project another double-digit defeat would require assuming similar breakdowns recur. Colorado’s turnovers help explain the lopsided score without establishing how it will perform at Baylor.
Baylor’s recent quarterback production supports an encouraging offensive outlook. The available results, however, do not establish enough separation to recommend laying 10 points or paying -408 on the moneyline.
The total is 55, with over and under each priced at -110. The available evidence also leaves the scoring outlook too uncertain for a total recommendation. With Lagway’s return still expected rather than confirmed, the decision is Pass, with no winner or exact score projected.