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NCAAF MatchupsSat 1:00 PM ET
Stony Brook
Seawolves
2-2
versus
Fordham
Rams
1-3
NCAAF · STNYBK at FORDHM

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Stony Brook Seawolves vs Fordham Rams Predictions

Game time: September 26, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET

Article updated Sep 23, 1:27 AM EDT

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

Both teams arrive off convincing wins over ranked opponents, but one exceptional rushing performance apiece leaves a difficult comparison at the supplied prices.

Matchup overview

Two productive ground games frame Stony Brook's September 26, 2026, college football visit to Fordham. The Seawolves defeated then-No. 8/13 Rhode Island 56-24 on September 19, while the Rams beat then-No. 21 William & Mary 52-27 that same day. Stony Brook generated 329 rushing yards; Fordham finished with 428. Those results establish substantial recent offensive success on both sides. They offer less certainty about which defense can respond in this meeting, making Stony Brook's status as a 9.5-point favorite a starting point for evaluation rather than sufficient reason to back either side.

At a glance

Matchup: Stony Brook Seawolves at Fordham Rams, September 26, 2026. Stony Brook's game recap identifies the upcoming contest as the programs' 10th meeting.

Fordham record: 1-3 overall and 1-1 in Patriot League play following its first victory of the season.

SportsJaw moneyline: Stony Brook -340; Fordham +250.

SportsJaw spread: Stony Brook -9.5 (-106); Fordham +9.5 (-120).

SportsJaw total: Over 57.5 (-113); under 57.5 (-113).

Latest results: Both teams won on September 19, with Stony Brook scoring 56 points and Fordham scoring 52 against ranked opposition.

Stony Brook Seawolves outlook

Stony Brook's performance against Rhode Island combined rushing production with repeated success in important situations. Its 329 rushing yards were the most of the Billy Cosh era, and its 519 total yards represented a season high. The Seawolves went 7-for-7 in the red zone and converted 10 of 14 third downs. That combination supports an encouraging assessment of their latest offensive execution, although those conversion rates describe one game rather than an established weekly expectation.

Quinn Boyd supplied the largest individual rushing contribution, gaining a career-high 155 yards on 14 carries. He also completed 17 of 24 passes for 198 yards and a touchdown. His production gives Fordham a clear preparation challenge: the quarterback was a significant part of the rushing attack while also contributing through the air. Whether Boyd can reproduce that balance against a different defense remains an open question.

CJ Hester rushed for 78 yards on 18 carries and scored four touchdowns, matching the program's single-game record. Jeremiah Coney added 90 yards and three touchdowns on 20 attempts, giving him five rushing scores across his last two games. Together, their contributions helped Stony Brook establish a program record with seven rushing touchdowns.

Defensively, Lance Byndon recorded three tackles for loss and 1.5 sacks. He, Miles McGoy and Jojo Garcia each finished with eight tackles. Those individual contributions show disruption against Rhode Island, but they do not establish how effectively Stony Brook will contain Fordham's runners. The Seawolves' first ranked win since 2024 provides momentum without settling that matchup.

Fordham Rams outlook

Fordham's first victory offered a dramatic improvement in results, but its 1-3 overall record keeps the breakthrough in perspective. The Rams defeated William & Mary 52-27 after taking a 21-0 lead early in the second quarter. They led 21-7 at halftime and extended the advantage to 31-7 early in the second half. William & Mary's account independently confirms the road victory and reports that Fordham added two late touchdowns after the margin narrowed to 17 points in the third quarter.

The Rams' 428 rushing yards were their most since a program-record 516-yard performance in 2016. In its September 21 awards announcement, the Patriot League identified that output as the highest single-game team rushing total in the FCS this season. That dated distinction captures the scale of the performance without establishing a season-long offensive ranking.

Yohan-Li Louis ran for 203 yards and a touchdown, earning Patriot League Offensive Player of the Week recognition. Jamell James contributed 163 yards and three touchdowns on 17 carries. Fordham had two 100-yard rushers in the same game for the first time since 2022, spreading the production across two backs.

Gunnar Smith completed 12 of 21 passes for 141 yards and three touchdowns. Fordham committed no turnovers, its second turnover-free game in four outings. Andrew Osmun supplied 1.5 sacks, and the league reported that William & Mary managed 57 second-half rushing yards. Those are encouraging details, but a single half does not establish that Fordham can consistently stop the run. Its ability to sustain this improvement remains the central uncertainty.

Key matchup factors

The available comparison is uneven because each team's strongest evidence comes against a different opponent. Ranked victories make both performances noteworthy, but opponent rankings alone cannot translate rushing totals into an expected margin for this game. There is also no basis here for treating either team's latest conversion rates or touchdown production as a reliable forecast.

The supplied prices create separate decisions. Stony Brook -340 requires a much stronger judgment about its chance of winning than simply calling it the favorite. Fordham +9.5 (-120) offers protection against a loss of fewer than 10 points, but the price still requires a supported view of how often that outcome should occur. Recent offensive success alone cannot answer either question.

The total presents a similar problem. Both teams scored heavily last week, yet those final scores do not establish the likely possession count or defensive resistance in this matchup. Over 57.5 (-113) and under 57.5 (-113) therefore need more than a comparison of the previous week's scoring.

Prediction

Pass. Stony Brook's quarterback production, third-down execution and red-zone success provide a credible argument for its offense. Fordham's strongest counterargument is a rushing breakthrough supported by its own account, the conference's recognition and independent confirmation of a convincing road win. Neither result supplies a dependable measure of the defensive resistance these offenses will encounter on September 26.

At Stony Brook -340, there is not enough comparative evidence to establish moneyline value. Fordham +250 is similarly unsupported as an upset recommendation. The same uncertainty applies to Stony Brook -9.5 (-106) and Fordham +9.5 (-120): Fordham's latest win makes it worthy of consideration, but does not establish that the spread is too large.

There is also no sufficient basis for choosing over 57.5 (-113) or under 57.5 (-113). The strongest case for betting is that both offenses just demonstrated considerable scoring potential. The limiting factor is repeatability against different opposition. Without a supported advantage at these exact prices, no winner or projected score is assigned.

ConfidenceSlight lean
SportsJaw pick

Pass

Sources

  • Stony Brook University AthleticsSeawolves Dominate No. 8/13 Rhode Island
  • Fordham University AthleticsFootball Runs Over #21 William & Mary
  • Patriot LeaguePatriot League Football Players of the Week Announced (9.21.26)

SportsJaw Seawolves vs Rams game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Seawolves vs Rams matchups or learn how our predictions work.

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