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NCAAF MatchupsSat 12:00 PM ET
Colorado State Rams logo
Colorado State
Rams
2-1
versus
UTSA Roadrunners logo
UTSA
Roadrunners
2-1
NCAAF · CSU at UTSA

Your Picks on Colorado State vs UTSA

Picks close 15 minutes before game time (ET)
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Expert picks

Top handicapper on this matchup

Selected from available sellers by NCAAF bankroll over the last 30 days. Selections unlock after purchase.

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MauriceJones

13-14 record · 48.15% wins
Last 30 days · NCAAF

$1,000 pick on the total

Colorado State Rams vs UTSA Roadrunners Predictions

Game time: September 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET

Venue: Alamodome — San Antonio, TX

Article updated Sep 24, 9:30 AM EDT

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

UTSA will beat Colorado State, with a projected score of UTSA 31, Colorado State 24. The Roadrunners’ sustained home success under Jeff Traylor supplies the strongest reason to favor them, while the Rams’ takeaways and penalty discipline make a comfortable margin less convincing. Neither UTSA -13.5 (-110) nor the total of 58 (-110) offers a demonstrated betting edge. The official recommendation is Pass.

Colorado State Rams vs UTSA Roadrunners prediction and best bet

UTSA gets the winner pick because its home performance gives the forecast a foundation beyond one September result. The Roadrunners are 34-5 at home under Jeff Traylor since 2020 and have won 22 of their past 25 home games. Colorado State faces its first road assignment of the season.

The challenge is translating that advantage into a winning margin. Colorado State brings seven interceptions through three games and a substantial advantage in penalty discipline. Those strengths could keep the Rams competitive even if UTSA controls enough possessions to win. The forecast is UTSA 31, Colorado State 24, with low confidence. Best bet: Pass, with neither market offering a sufficiently persuasive edge.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Game: Colorado State Rams at UTSA Roadrunners, Saturday, September 26, 2026, in the 2026 college football season.

Venue: Alamodome, San Antonio, Texas. Broadcast: ESPNU.

Records: Both teams are 2-1 entering the matchup. Colorado State is making its first road trip of the season.

SportsJaw spread: Colorado State +13.5 (-110); UTSA -13.5 (-110).

SportsJaw moneyline: Colorado State +415; UTSA -550.

SportsJaw total: Over 58 (-110); Under 58 (-110). The spread makes UTSA a substantial favorite, a stronger margin expectation than this forecast.

Colorado State Rams outlook

Colorado State beat Wyoming and Southern Utah before losing 41-23 to BYU. Its clearest defensive strength has been taking the ball away: seven interceptions through three games, a national-leading total according to the program’s September 22 report. The Rams recorded multiple interceptions in every game and carried a 2.7 turnover margin, tied for second nationally.

That creates an upset route, but another interception-heavy afternoon should not be treated as automatic. For this forecast, those takeaways are a reason to respect Colorado State’s chances of staying close. They can also create scoring opportunities rather than simply suppress the opponent’s offense.

Discipline offers a separate advantage. Colorado State averaged three penalties and 27 penalty yards per game through three contests. Maintaining that standard would help the Rams avoid making their first road assignment harder with preventable losses of yardage.

The offense has production to build on, although injuries complicated the BYU game enough that three quarterbacks played. Hauss Hejny had 10 touchdown passes and one interception through three weeks, while RJ Vick had four touchdown catches through the BYU game. Those numbers give Colorado State an offensive case beyond hoping its defense supplies every opportunity.

UTSA Roadrunners outlook

UTSA opened with a 45-16 victory over UTRGV, producing 527 total yards, then beat Texas State 31-26. Brandon High Jr.’s 25-yard touchdown with 15 seconds remaining decided the second game. Those wins show two different early outcomes: a comfortable opener and a contest that required a late decisive play.

The Roadrunners then lost 30-6 at No. 1 Texas on September 19. Holding Texas to a season-low 172 passing yards was encouraging, but that single figure should not carry the entire defensive assessment. UTSA still conceded 30 points, and limiting passing yardage alone is no guarantee of limiting Colorado State’s scoring.

Owen McCown completed 64 of 92 passes for 559 yards, four touchdowns and one interception through three games. His low interception count is particularly relevant against the Rams. Protecting possessions would reduce Colorado State’s opportunities to change the game with a takeaway.

Penalties are the conspicuous weakness. Colorado State’s September 21 report credited UTSA with 34 penalties and an average of 115 penalty yards per game, the country’s highest figure at publication. Traylor’s six consecutive winning seasons and strong home record favor UTSA, but cleaner execution would make that advantage easier to trust.

Key matchup factors

The critical interaction is Colorado State’s interception production against McCown’s ball security. Both have been strengths through three games, so projecting another wave of Rams takeaways would discount the opposing evidence. UTSA avoiding those mistakes is central to the winner pick.

Penalty yardage supplies a different source of uncertainty because it can undermine the favorite without Colorado State needing a spectacular defensive play. Together, those factors temper the home advantage.

SportsJaw’s community leader was Under 58 (-110), with 100% support in the September 23 update at 12:31 UTC. That is member sentiment, not a win probability or sportsbook betting split, and it does not by itself make the Under an official wager.

Colorado State Rams vs UTSA Roadrunners spread prediction

Spread recommendation: Pass on Colorado State +13.5 (-110) and UTSA -13.5 (-110). The projected seven-point margin falls on Colorado State’s side of the number, but the uncertainty around that margin is substantial.

UTSA’s home record supports picking the winner more convincingly than predicting separation. Colorado State’s takeaways and discipline argue against laying 13.5, while its injury-disrupted quarterback usage against BYU makes backing the underdog less straightforward. The score forecast favors a competitive game; confidence in that shape is too limited to turn it into a spread wager.

Colorado State Rams vs UTSA Roadrunners total prediction

Total recommendation: Pass on Over 58 (-110) and Under 58 (-110). The projected 55 points lean below the line, but a three-point gap is a thin foundation here.

Interceptions can stop scoring drives or hand an offense a short field. They are not an automatic Under signal. Colorado State’s passing touchdown production and UTSA’s first two offensive results also complicate a low-scoring argument. The community prefers Under 58 (-110), but neither that preference nor Texas’ passing-yardage result supplies enough additional conviction for an official total bet.

Colorado State Rams vs UTSA Roadrunners projected score

Game forecast: UTSA 31, Colorado State 24. The Roadrunners’ sustained home success and McCown’s early ball security give them the stronger winning case. This projection assumes UTSA protects enough possessions to offset Colorado State’s advantage in discipline.

The strongest counterargument is that the Rams can disrupt that plan without matching UTSA drive for drive. Their interceptions and passing touchdowns offer credible ways to produce an upset or a close finish. Conversely, further quarterback disruption could make this margin too narrow. Confidence is low because the plausible outcomes remain broad. Both the spread and total recommendations are Pass. The single official SportsJaw betting lean is Pass.

Projected score

CSU24

UTSA31

ConfidenceSlight lean
Projected winner UTSA Roadrunners
Spread

Pass on Colorado State +13.5 (-110) and UTSA -13.5 (-110)

Total

Pass on Over 58 (-110) and Under 58 (-110)

SportsJaw pick

Pass

Sources

  • Colorado State AthleticsGame Week: at UTSA
  • Colorado State AthleticsMonday Presser: Discipline Has Marked Start of Season
  • UT San Antonio TodayRoadrunners host Colorado State in annual Hispanic Heritage Game

SportsJaw Rams vs Roadrunners game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Rams vs Roadrunners matchups or learn how our predictions work.

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