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  1. Home
  2. NCAAF Picks
  3. Colorado State Rams vs UTSA Roadrunners
Sat 12:00 PM ET
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2-1
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UTSA Roadrunners logo
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Colorado State Rams147141045
UTSA Roadrunners211471759
NCAAF · Colorado State Rams at UTSA Roadrunners

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Colorado State Rams vs UTSA Roadrunners prediction: UTSA wins, Rams cover

Game time: September 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET

Venue: Alamodome — San Antonio, TX

Article updated Sep 26, 7:53 AM EDT

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

UTSA will beat Colorado State 31-24, with its strong Alamodome record and the Rams’ vulnerable run defense providing the strongest reasons to favor the Roadrunners. Colorado State’s own rushing advantage makes +14 (-110) an actionable spread wager, although quarterback uncertainty keeps confidence low. The projected 55 points lean below 57.5, but the total is a Pass.

Colorado State Rams vs UTSA Roadrunners prediction and best bet

UTSA is the winner pick, while Colorado State +14 (-110) is the best bet. The Roadrunners are 34-5 at the Alamodome under Jeff Traylor since 2020. Their rushing offense also gets a favorable matchup against a Colorado State defense allowing 227 yards per game on the ground.

The Rams have a corresponding advantage that makes taking two touchdowns attractive. They average 177.3 rushing yards against UTSA’s 232.3 allowed, giving them a plausible way to sustain drives without relying entirely on their unsettled quarterback situation. Colorado State’s 10 takeaways offer another route to staying close. The wager depends on those strengths limiting the margin, with the quarterback decision the largest risk.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Date and competition: Saturday, September 26, 2026, during the 2026 college football season.

Venue: Alamodome, San Antonio, Texas. Broadcast: ESPNU.

Records: Colorado State Rams 2-1; UTSA Roadrunners 2-1.

Quarterback update: Colorado State coach Jim Mora expected a game-day decision on Hauss Hejny’s availability.

SportsJaw odds: Colorado State Rams +14.5 (-112); UTSA Roadrunners -14.5 (-108). Moneyline: Colorado State Rams +476; UTSA Roadrunners -650. Total: Over 56.5 (-115); Under 56.5 (-105).

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

SportsJaw total: Over 57.5 (-110); Under 57.5 (-110). Colorado State is the official spread selection; neither total direction is recommended.

Colorado State Rams outlook

Colorado State’s ground game is the foundation of the underdog case. Its 177.3 rushing yards per game rank 52nd nationally, and UTSA has allowed even more rushing yardage than the Rams. Sustained rushing success could help Colorado State manage down and distance and keep the offense functioning if its quarterback rotation remains unsettled. That is a matchup advantage, though it is no guarantee of possession control.

Hejny’s availability matters because his production gives the Rams a stronger passing case when healthy. Colorado State reports 10 touchdown passes and one interception through the first three weeks. Injuries forced the Rams to use three quarterbacks against BYU, with Hejny and Darius Curry each throwing a touchdown pass. Mora’s September 25 update left Hejny’s status for game day.

The defense brings both opportunity and risk. Colorado State has seven interceptions through three games, leading the nation, with CJ Blocker intercepting a pass in each outing. Its plus-2.7 turnover margin is tied for second nationally. Yet the Rams rank 134th in rush defense, and Mora identified excessive explosive plays over the previous two games. Takeaways can rescue possessions; expecting them to erase every defensive problem would be a poor foundation for the pick.

UTSA Roadrunners outlook

UTSA’s home performance supplies the clearest reason to project a Roadrunners victory. Alongside the 34-5 Alamodome record under Traylor, UTSA has won 22 of its past 25 home games. Those are substantial historical strengths against an opponent making its first trip away from home this season. They favor UTSA outright, although neither record tells us how often this team should cover 14 points.

The Roadrunners average 154.7 rushing yards per game, ranking 84th nationally. That production is less impressive than Colorado State’s, but the Rams’ defensive weakness gives UTSA a logical area to attack. A successful running game could also reduce how often UTSA challenges a secondary that has intercepted multiple passes in each of Colorado State’s first three games.

There is encouragement on defense: UTSA held No. 1 Texas to a season-low 172 passing yards on September 19. Brandon Tucker Jr. recorded 11 tackles in that game after making 13 in the September 12 victory at Texas State. Those individual performances do not erase the broader concern. UTSA allows 232.3 rushing yards per game and ranks one place below Colorado State in that category. That vulnerability leaves the Roadrunners exposed to the Rams’ most reliable statistical advantage.

Key matchup factors

Quarterback availability changes how much pressure falls on Colorado State’s running game. An effective Hejny would give UTSA more to defend; an unsettled rotation would make the Rams’ rushing advantage more important. Turnovers are the other swing factor. Colorado State has earned its strong takeaway numbers, but another interception-heavy afternoon should be treated as a possibility rather than an expectation.

At the September 26, 11:40 UTC consensus update, the combined modeled spread count favored Colorado State 325-276, or 54 percent. SportsJaw’s community leader was also Colorado State +14 (-110), while the sportsbook split favored UTSA at 57 percent. These are distinct sentiment measures, not win probabilities or observed sportsbook ticket counts.

Colorado State Rams vs UTSA Roadrunners spread prediction

Take Colorado State Rams +14 (-110). The Rams’ rushing production against UTSA’s weak run defense supports a competitive margin, and their takeaway threat adds another way to disrupt a comfortable Roadrunners lead. A 31-24 UTSA forecast leaves Colorado State inside the supplied spread.

The strongest objection is the combination of quarterback uncertainty and Colorado State’s own defensive leakage. Either could make sustaining a close game difficult. That keeps this a low-confidence wager. UTSA -14 (-110) is less attractive because its home winning record offers stronger support for victory than for a large margin.

Colorado State Rams vs UTSA Roadrunners total prediction

Pass on Over 57.5 (-110) and Under 57.5 (-110). The projected 55 points fall below the line, but a 2.5-point difference is too narrow to carry the Under case by itself. Successful rushing could extend possessions, yet both defenses have also allowed substantial rushing yardage.

Colorado State allows 227 rushing yards per game; UTSA allows 232.3. Those weaknesses create a credible path to more scoring than projected. The blended consensus favors Under at 55 percent, while the sportsbook split favors Over at 56 percent. Neither reading settles the scoring question.

Colorado State Rams vs UTSA Roadrunners Projected Score & Betting Picks

Game forecast: UTSA 31, Colorado State 24. UTSA’s sustained home success and favorable rushing matchup give it the stronger winning case. Colorado State’s ground production and takeaway record are the strongest counterarguments, supporting a competitive game and leaving room for an upset.

Confidence is low because Hejny’s availability remains consequential and neither run defense offers much reassurance. The seven-point projected margin reflects an editorial judgment that UTSA’s home advantage wins out while its defensive weakness keeps Colorado State involved. Colorado State Rams +14 (-110) is the single official SportsJaw wager. The total of 57.5 is a Pass despite the projection finishing slightly below it.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Rams24

Roadrunners31

Projected winner UTSA RoadrunnersConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Spread: Colorado State Rams +14 (-110)

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass (article line changed)

Sources

  • UTSA AthleticsUTSA to close out nonconference slate Saturday versus Colorado State
  • Colorado State AthleticsSetting the Stage: Mora Knows What to Expect From What He Sees
  • Colorado State AthleticsGame Week: at UTSA
#ColoradoStateRams#UTSARoadrunners

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw's editorial organization researches matchup data, current odds, injuries and reporting, then validates each published preview against its listed sources and displayed markets.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Rams vs Roadrunners game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Rams vs Roadrunners matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Colorado State Rams+375 → +476Moved
  • Moneyline · UTSA Roadrunners-500 → -650Moved
  • Spread · Colorado State Rams+13.5 (-112) → +14.5 (-112)Moved
  • Spread · UTSA Roadrunners-13.5 (-109) → -14.5 (-108)Moved
  • Total · Over58.5 (-105) → 56.5 (-115)Moved
  • Total · Under58.5 (-112) → 56.5 (-105)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Colorado State Rams
2-1 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
UTSA Roadrunners
2-1 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-09-24T13:30:42.184Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Hejny’s availability matters because his production gives the Rams a stronger passing case when healthy. Colorado State reports 10 touchdown passes and one interception through the first three weeks. Injuries forced the Rams to use three quarterbacks against BYU, with Hejny and Darius Curry each throwing a touchdown pass. Mora’s September 25 update left Hejny’s status for game day.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2025-09-20UTSA Roadrunners 17 · Colorado State Rams 16
Final result

Matchup pick recap

UTSA Roadrunners defeated Colorado State Rams 59-45

UTSA Roadrunners defeated Colorado State Rams 59-45 on September 26, 2026, a 14-point decision in the series. UTSA Roadrunners' strongest period was the 1st quarter, when it outscored its opponent 21-14. Against SportsJaw's recorded Colorado State Rams +14.5 (-112) spread, Colorado State Rams covered, while the 104 combined points finished over the recorded total of 56.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerUTSA RoadrunnersWin
  • SpreadSpread: Colorado State Rams +14 (-110)Push
  • TotalPass on Over 57.5 (-110) and Under 57.5 (-110)Pass

Tipster picks

  • MauriceJonesTotal · Under 58 (-110)Loss
  • CodexSpread · Colorado State Rams +14 (-110)Push