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NCAAF PicksSat 8:00 PM ET
SE Louisiana Lions logo
SE Louisiana
Lions
2-2
versus
UT
Ut Rio Grande Valley
0-0
NCAAF · sela at UT

Your Picks on SE Louisiana vs UT

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SE Louisiana Lions vs Ut Rio Grande Valley Predictions Today

Game time: October 10, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

Venue: Robert and Janet Vackar Stadium — Edinburg, TX

Article updated Oct 10, 12:06 AM EDT

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

SE Louisiana will beat UT Rio Grande Valley, projected at Lions 28, Vaqueros 24, behind a rushing attack that produced two 100-yard backs in its latest game and Kyle Lowe’s passing production. UTRGV’s narrow FCS losses and sold-out home setting make separation less certain. Neither the supplied spread nor total offers a convincing betting edge, so the official recommendation is Pass.

SE Louisiana Lions vs Ut Rio Grande Valley prediction and best bet

The Lions are the pick to win this Southland football matchup, but the better team forecast and the better wager are separate decisions. Southeastern’s recent rushing production gives it a practical route to controlling the game, while Lowe offers a credible passing alternative.

The official best bet is Pass. SE Louisiana -4.5 (-111) requires a victory by at least five points, and UTRGV has already finished within three points in both of its FCS defeats. Those results deserve weight alongside Southeastern’s three-game winning streak. The total also stays a pass.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Kickoff: Saturday, Oct. 10, 2026, at 7 p.m. CDT, according to the schools’ matchup reports and KRGV’s preview.

Venue: Robert & Janet Vackar Stadium in Edinburg, Texas. UTRGV announced that the game was sold out.

Records: No. 25 Southeastern Louisiana enters 3-2 overall and 1-1 in Southland play, with three consecutive wins. UTRGV is 2-3 overall and 1-2 in the conference.

SportsJaw moneylines: SE Louisiana -160; UTRGV +146.

SportsJaw spreads: SE Louisiana -4.5 (-111); UTRGV +4.5 (-156).

SportsJaw total: Over 55.5 (-108); Under 55.5 (-122).

SE Louisiana Lions outlook

Southeastern’s most recent result was a 52-21 win at Northwestern State on Sept. 26. Chad Elzy Jr. rushed for 101 yards and three touchdowns, and Deantre Jackson added 104 rushing yards. Having both backs contribute at that level is the strongest recent performance evidence behind the Lions pick.

Through five games, Lowe completed 76 of 125 passes for 883 yards, 10 touchdowns and three interceptions. KRGV also credited him with one rushing touchdown. His production makes Southeastern more difficult to approach as a strictly ground-based offense, even if the backs remain central to this forecast.

Dkhai Joseph contributed 21 catches for 248 yards and two touchdowns, while Lonnie Shinn Jr. had 13 receptions for 172 yards and four touchdowns. Those numbers give Lowe multiple established targets. They do not identify where Shinn’s touchdowns occurred, so there is no reason to assign him a particular goal-line role.

Ut Rio Grande Valley outlook

UTRGV’s latest defeat was especially narrow: East Texas A&M won 20-17 on Oct. 3 with a 51-yard field goal as time expired. Both of the Vaqueros’ FCS losses entering this matchup came on the road by three points. That history makes a competitive home performance a reasonable expectation.

Aidan Jakobsohn entered with 738 passing yards, six touchdown passes and four interceptions. Kyran Lee led UTRGV with 26 receptions, 410 receiving yards and four touchdowns. Lee is the clearest individual reason to believe the Vaqueros can answer Southeastern through the air.

Home support adds another consideration. UTRGV reported 10 consecutive home sellouts and a Southland-leading average attendance of 13,595 through two 2026 home games. The crowd could help sustain the Vaqueros through difficult stretches, although attendance alone is no measure of how effectively they will defend the Lions.

Key matchup factors

The line of scrimmage is the central football question. In KRGV’s preview, UTRGV coach Travis Bush emphasized Southeastern’s strength up front, tackling, two-tight-end formations and quarterback running options. His assessment reinforces the importance of the rushing matchup without proving that the Lions will dominate it.

UTRGV’s response through Lee matters just as much to the margin. If the Vaqueros can turn his receiving production into sustained scoring opportunities, Southeastern may need to keep answering rather than simply protect a lead.

SportsJaw’s community spread leader was SE Louisiana -4.5 (-111), with 100% community support in the update timestamped Oct. 10 at 00:30:28 UTC. That is member sentiment, not a win probability or a qualified-handicapper endorsement. It favors the same team as this forecast but adds no independent proof of a cover.

SE Louisiana Lions vs Ut Rio Grande Valley spread prediction

Spread recommendation: Pass on SE Louisiana -4.5 (-111) and UTRGV +4.5 (-156). The Lions’ offensive production supports picking them to win, but their latest rushing performance came against Northwestern State. Applying that result directly to this opponent would overstate the edge.

The projected four-point margin falls inside UTRGV’s spread. Even so, a narrow projected cover is not enough to recommend the Vaqueros at -156. Their close losses make the underdog interesting, but the price requires more conviction than this matchup warrants.

SE Louisiana Lions vs Ut Rio Grande Valley total prediction

Total recommendation: Pass on Over 55.5 (-108) and Under 55.5 (-122). Southeastern’s latest game produced 73 combined points, while UTRGV’s latest produced 37. Different opponents and sharply different results leave considerable room for this game to take either direction.

The forecast totals 52 points, which is 3.5 below the supplied line. That creates an Under inclination, but there are no defensive efficiency or possession-rate figures here to strengthen it. The projected score is a game forecast, not enough by itself to make Under 55.5 (-122) an official wager.

SE Louisiana Lions vs Ut Rio Grande Valley projected score

Game forecast: SE Louisiana Lions 28, UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros 24. Southeastern wins because its recent backfield production and Lowe’s passing numbers offer the stronger offensive foundation.

The strongest counterargument is UTRGV’s pair of narrow FCS road defeats, now followed by a sold-out home game and a productive receiving threat in Lee. Confidence is low because the anticipated margin is small and the defensive matchup remains uncertain. The single official SportsJaw betting recommendation is Pass.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

sela28

UT 24

Projected winner SE Louisiana LionsConfidenceSlight Lean — Ut Rio Grande Valley
Pick on the Spread

Slight Lean — Ut Rio Grande Valley +4.5

Editorial pick at publication: Pass on SE Louisiana Lions -4.5 (-111) and Ut Rio Grande Valley +4.5 (-156)

Pick on the Total

Slight Lean — Under 55.5

Editorial pick at publication: Pass on Over 55.5 (-108) and Under 55.5 (-122)

Sources

  • Southeastern Louisiana University AthleticsNo. 25 SLU Returns to Action at UTRGV
  • UTRGV AthleticsSaturday's Football Game Sold Out
  • KRGVUTRGV football set to battle Southeastern this Saturday in Edinburg

SportsJaw Lions vs Ut Rio Grande Valley game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. how our predictions work.

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