Boise St. Broncos vs Fresno St. Bulldogs Predictions October 10, 2026
Boise State will beat Fresno State 27-24 in our forecast, with Maddux Madsen’s efficient passing and the Broncos’ productive rushing attack providing the slight edge. Fresno State’s defensive performance at Washington State makes this a low-confidence prediction. Neither Boise State -6.5 (-102) nor the total of 48.5 offers a compelling wager, so the official SportsJaw betting recommendation is Pass.
Boise St. Broncos vs Fresno St. Bulldogs prediction and best bet
Boise State gets the pick because its October 3 win featured several ways to move the ball: accurate passing from Madsen, rushing production from Dylan Riley and contributions from Madsen as a runner. That versatility is the strongest reason to favor the Broncos in this matchup.
Fresno State brings a substantial counterargument after shutting down Washington State on the road. A narrow Boise State victory is the forecast, but asking the Broncos to win by seven or more is a different proposition. The best betting decision is Pass, with neither the spread nor total offering a persuasive edge.
Odds, game time and how to watch
Date and matchup: October 10, 2026. Boise St. Broncos visit Fresno St. Bulldogs in the 2026 college football season.
Venue: Valley Children's Stadium, Fresno, California.
Broadcast: CW.
Records: Both teams are 4-1 overall and 1-0 in Pac-12 play. Fresno State has won four consecutive games.
SportsJaw spread: Boise State -6.5 (-102); Fresno State +6.5 (-112).
SportsJaw total: Over 48.5 (-110); Under 48.5 (-110). Moneyline: Boise State -235; Fresno State +195.