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NCAAF PicksSat 3:00 PM ET
Idaho Vandals logo
Idaho
Vandals
1-4
versus
Weber St. Wildcats logo
Weber St.
Wildcats
3-3
NCAAF · IDAHO at WEBER

Your Picks on Idaho vs Weber St.

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Idaho Vandals vs Weber St. Wildcats Predictions October 10, 2026

Game time: October 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET

Venue: Stewart Stadium — Ogden, UT

Article updated Oct 7, 12:49 AM EDT

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

Idaho will beat Weber State 38-34 in our October 10 forecast, with Joshua Wood’s passing efficiency against Montana State offering the strongest reason to favor the Vandals against a defense that just allowed 455 yards. Confidence is low: Weber State’s quarterback mobility and pass rush keep this close. Neither the supplied spread nor total offers a strong enough edge; the official wager is Pass.

Idaho Vandals vs Weber St. Wildcats prediction and best bet

The pick is Idaho, but the best betting decision is Pass. Wood’s latest performance gives the Vandals a credible offensive advantage, while Weber State’s defensive problems create an opening for a road victory. The projected final is Idaho 38, Weber State 34.

That forecast leaves little separation from either betting threshold. Idaho -4.5 (-106) requires a larger winning margin, and a projected 72 points sits only 1.5 above the total. Weber State’s recent scoring also includes a double-overtime game. There is enough offensive evidence to forecast a high-scoring finish, but less reason to pay for a narrow betting edge.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Game: Idaho Vandals at Weber St. Wildcats, 2026 college football season.

Kickoff: Saturday, October 10, 2026, at 1 p.m. Mountain / noon Pacific, according to Idaho’s official matchup report.

Venue: Stewart Stadium, Ogden, Utah.

Broadcast: ESPN+.

Records: Idaho is 1-4 overall and 1-1 in Big Sky play. Weber State is 3-3 overall and 2-1 in conference play. Both teams won their most recent game.

SportsJaw spread: Idaho -4.5 (-106); Weber State +4.5 (-120). Moneyline: Idaho -196; Weber State +152. Total: Over 70.5 (-114); Under 70.5 (-116).

Idaho Vandals outlook

Idaho earned its first victory on October 2, beating No. 1 Montana State 35-34. The Vandals erased a 14-point fourth-quarter deficit and kept Montana State scoreless over the final 13 minutes. That finish gives the forecast a stronger foundation than Idaho’s overall record would suggest, although one win leaves plenty to prove.

Wood completed 19 of 25 passes for 315 yards and two touchdowns, adding 41 yards and a touchdown on 15 rushing attempts. Ryan Jezioro caught six passes for 147 yards and two touchdowns. His receiving yardage and touchdown totals were career highs; the report did not identify his reception count as a career best.

The broader offensive indicator is Idaho’s average of 416 yards per game against FCS opponents. Wood also enters with 972 career rushing yards as a Vandal, 18 short of 1,000. His ability to contribute in both phases makes Idaho an appealing winner pick, though moving the ball and covering a road spread remain separate challenges.

Weber St. Wildcats outlook

Weber State beat Cal Poly 42-34 in double overtime on October 3 despite allowing 455 yards and gaining 371. True freshman Nate Dahle completed 15 of 33 passes for 223 yards and two touchdowns. He also led the Wildcats with 85 rushing yards and scored once on the ground.

Dahle enters this matchup with 14 touchdown passes and eight interceptions. His scoring production makes Weber State dangerous, while the interceptions are a reason to temper expectations for a clean offensive afternoon. Against Cal Poly, Tate Kjar contributed five catches for 89 yards and two touchdowns; Noah Kjar had five catches for 79 yards and the deciding two-point conversion.

The Wildcats have been scoring and allowing more than 37 points per game. Their most encouraging recent defensive performance came from Porter Small, who recorded five tackles, four tackles for loss and three sacks against Cal Poly. He leads Weber State with four sacks this season.

Key matchup factors

Idaho’s protection against Small is the central matchup. If Wood has time to work through the passing game, the Vandals can test a defense coming off a substantial yardage concession. If Small forces hurried throws or long-yardage situations, Idaho’s offensive advantage could shrink quickly.

Dahle’s rushing adds another route for Weber State to sustain possessions. His mobility makes it risky to judge the Wildcats solely by last week’s passing efficiency. Idaho’s strong defensive finish against Montana State is encouraging, but it is a short stretch rather than a guarantee of control here.

The venue also deserves modest weight. Idaho won the last meeting 31-24 in 2024, but has not won in Ogden since 1993. That history adds context to the road assignment; it should carry less predictive weight than the current quarterbacks and pass rush.

Idaho Vandals vs Weber St. Wildcats spread prediction

Pass on Idaho -4.5 (-106) and Weber State +4.5 (-120). The four-point projected margin falls on the Wildcats’ side of the spread, but that half-point difference is too slight to make Weber State an official selection at this price.

Idaho’s recent passing performance supports choosing the Vandals to win. Weber State’s home setting, mobile quarterback and disruptive defensive end argue against expecting comfortable separation. Those competing factors leave a close-game forecast without a persuasive spread wager.

Idaho Vandals vs Weber St. Wildcats total prediction

Pass on Over 70.5 (-114) and Under 70.5 (-116). The offensive case is credible: Idaho has productive passing evidence and a useful FCS yardage average, while Weber State’s scoring and points allowed both exceed 37 per game.

Still, the Wildcats’ latest 76-point game required double overtime. Treating that finish as a straightforward guide to regulation scoring would overstate its value. The projected 72 points suggest an Over direction, but the small cushion and potential for drive-ending pressure make the supplied price unappealing. There is no stronger case for an Under wager.

Idaho Vandals vs Weber St. Wildcats projected score

Idaho 38, Weber State 34 is the forecast. Wood’s efficient passing against Montana State and Weber State’s defensive yardage concession give Idaho the slight edge. The strongest counterargument is that Small can disrupt that passing game while Dahle produces enough offense to protect home field.

Confidence is low because the forecast depends heavily on recent performances and allows little room between the teams. Idaho is the projected winner. Both the spread and total are passes, and the single official SportsJaw betting lean is Pass.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

IDAHO38

WEBER34

Projected winner Idaho VandalsConfidenceSlight Lean — Weber St. Wildcats
Pick on the Spread

Slight Lean — Weber St. Wildcats +4.5

Editorial pick at publication: Pass: Idaho Vandals -4.5 (-106) and Weber St. Wildcats +4.5 (-120)

Pick on the Total

Slight Lean — Over 70.5

Editorial pick at publication: Pass: Over 70.5 (-114) and Under 70.5 (-116)

Sources

  • University of Idaho AthleticsFootball Southbound for Ogden to Take on Wildcats
  • University of Idaho AthleticsPrevious-game context: Vandals Shock the FCS w/Thrilling Win over #1 Montana State
  • Weber State University AthleticsPrevious-game context: Weber State wins double overtime thriller 42-34 at Cal Poly

SportsJaw Vandals vs Wildcats game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Vandals vs Wildcats matchups or learn how our predictions work.

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