Cal Poly-SLO Mustangs vs Idaho St. Bengals Predictions October 10, 2026
Idaho St. Bengals will beat Cal Poly-SLO Mustangs 38-27 in our October 10 forecast, with Jordan Cooke's recent passing production and Idaho State's season scoring defense supplying the strongest reasons. Jaden Green's rushing form makes the margin a tougher call. Cal Poly-SLO +14.5 (-111) offers the best betting opportunity, while the total of 64.5 is a Pass.
Cal Poly-SLO Mustangs vs Idaho St. Bengals prediction and best bet
Pick Idaho State to win and Cal Poly-SLO Mustangs +14.5 (-111) to cover. The Bengals' No. 16 ranking and defensive record favor the home team, but their most recent performance raises doubts about laying more than two touchdowns. This is a medium-confidence forecast with a stronger case for a competitive game than a comfortable Bengals cover.
The central question is whether Idaho State can slow Green without giving Cal Poly's passing offense room to contribute. The Mustangs have enough recent offensive production to make the points attractive. Idaho State's own passing performance supplies the counterweight and keeps the Bengals as the projected winner.
Odds, game time and how to watch
Game: Cal Poly-SLO Mustangs at Idaho St. Bengals, 2026 college football season.
Kickoff: Saturday, October 10, 2026, at 3 p.m. PT, 4 p.m. MT.
Venue: ICCU Dome, Pocatello, Idaho.
Records and standings: Cal Poly-SLO is 3-3 overall and 2-1 in the Big Sky, tied for second with four other teams. Idaho State is 4-1 overall and 1-1 in conference, a half-game behind that group.
SportsJaw spread and moneyline: Cal Poly-SLO +14.5 (-111) and +525; Idaho State -14.5 (-115) and -614.