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NCAAF PicksSat 6:00 PM ET
SO
South Carolina State
0-0
versus
Charleston Southern Buccaneers logo
Charleston Southern
Buccaneers
1-3
NCAAF · SCST at CHSOU

Your Picks on SCST vs Charleston Southern

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South Carolina State vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers Predictions October 10, 2026

Game time: October 10, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET

Venue: Buccaneer Field — Charleston, SC

Article updated Oct 7, 1:39 AM EDT

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

South Carolina State will beat Charleston Southern 24-16 in the October 10 matchup, with its more productive recent passing performance providing the strongest reason to favor the visitors. Charleston Southern’s rushing production and defensive disruption make the projected margin less secure. Neither South Carolina State -6.5 (-113) nor the 41.5 total offers a strong enough edge for an actionable wager; the official recommendation is Pass.

South Carolina State vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers prediction and best bet

South Carolina State is the pick because its latest offensive performance offers a more convincing route to points. The visitors enter this game after scoring 31 against The Citadel, while Charleston Southern scored 10 against Gardner-Webb. Those results favor South Carolina State in the forecast, although performances against different opponents deserve cautious comparison.

The official betting recommendation is Pass. Charleston Southern has enough recent production on the ground and disruption on defense to challenge the projected eight-point margin. Picking South Carolina State to win is easier than finding a dependable advantage at South Carolina State -6.5 (-113).

Odds, game time and how to watch

Game: South Carolina State at Charleston Southern Buccaneers, Saturday, October 10, 2026, college football.

Venue: Buccaneer Field.

Broadcast: ESPN+.

Records: South Carolina State is 5-1 after its five-game winning streak ended against The Citadel. Charleston Southern is 2-3 overall and 0-2 in conference play.

SportsJaw spread: South Carolina State -6.5 (-113); Charleston Southern +6.5 (-113).

SportsJaw total: Over 41.5 (-114); Under 41.5 (-116). Moneyline: South Carolina State -250; Charleston Southern +190.

South Carolina State outlook

Keely Watson’s October 3 performance is the strongest individual reason to favor South Carolina State. He completed 20 of 31 passes for 245 yards, two touchdowns and no interceptions against The Citadel. South Carolina State finished with 346 total yards and 23 first downs, giving the forecast something more substantial than the final score alone.

Mason Pickett-Hicks contributed in both phases of the offense, rushing for 90 yards and a touchdown on 15 carries and catching three passes for 39 yards and another score. DJ Maultsby added three receptions for a team-high 79 yards and a touchdown. Those contributions give Charleston Southern several players to account for.

South Carolina State committed no turnovers and converted both fourth-down attempts, yet still lost 34-31 on a 31-yard field goal as time expired. That result is a useful restraint on the prediction: another productive offensive afternoon would not automatically bring a comfortable winning margin.

Charleston Southern Buccaneers outlook

Charleston Southern’s October 3 loss showed a substantial gap between its rushing and passing production. Hakeem Watters gained 102 yards on 15 carries, including a 62-yard touchdown. Dwayne Wright supplied another 77 yards on 12 attempts. The backfield is the clearest offensive reason to expect the Buccaneers to compete.

Lek Powell completed nine of 17 passes for 38 yards and was sacked five times. Quay Kindell caught four passes for 21 yards. If Charleston Southern falls behind, a repeat of that passing performance would make it difficult to answer South Carolina State through the air.

The defense gives the home team a stronger counterargument. Charleston Southern recorded seven tackles for loss and 10 quarterback hurries in the 12-10 defeat to Gardner-Webb at Buccaneer Field. Creating similar disruption against Watson could keep the game close even if the passing offense improves only modestly.

Key matchup factors

Protection is the most important matchup in this forecast. South Carolina State’s recent passing production makes the visitors the choice, but Charleston Southern’s ability to pressure the quarterback directly challenges that advantage. Watson needs time to turn his receiving options into useful gains.

Charleston Southern also needs its running game to produce sustained scoring opportunities. Watters’ long touchdown demonstrated an explosive threat, but the Buccaneers still finished with only 10 points. Rushing yardage alone will not be enough if drives repeatedly stall.

These are recent-game indicators, not season-long measures of either team’s identity. They support a slight South Carolina State lean while leaving considerable uncertainty about the size of the margin and the scoring pace.

South Carolina State vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers spread prediction

Spread recommendation: Pass on South Carolina State -6.5 (-113) and Charleston Southern +6.5 (-113). The projected 24-16 finish favors a South Carolina State cover, but an eight-point forecast leaves only 1.5 points above the supplied spread.

That cushion is too small to trust given Charleston Southern’s recent pressure production and rushing success. Conversely, those strengths are not enough to recommend the Buccaneers against the stronger recent passing performance. Neither side earns an official spread wager.

South Carolina State vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers total prediction

Total recommendation: Pass on Over 41.5 (-114) and Under 41.5 (-116). The projected 40 points sit below the line, but the two latest results suggest very different scoring possibilities.

Charleston Southern’s limited passing output makes a lower-scoring game plausible. South Carolina State’s 34-31 loss illustrates the competing risk of a more open contest. A 1.5-point difference between the forecast and total is insufficient to justify the Under price, and the case for the Over is no stronger.

South Carolina State vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers projected score

Game forecast: South Carolina State 24, Charleston Southern 16. Watson’s recent passing performance and Pickett-Hicks’ contributions as a runner and receiver give South Carolina State the edge. Charleston Southern’s disruptive defense is the strongest counterargument and could keep the result tighter than projected.

Confidence is low because the comparison relies heavily on one recent game per team against different opponents. South Carolina State remains the projected winner, but both market recommendations are passes. The single official SportsJaw betting lean is Pass.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

SCST24

CHSOU16

Projected winner South Carolina StateConfidenceSlight Lean — South Carolina State
Pick on the Spread

Slight Lean — South Carolina State -6.5

Editorial pick at publication: Pass on South Carolina State -6.5 (-113) and Charleston Southern +6.5 (-113)

Pick on the Total

Slight Lean — Under 41.5

Editorial pick at publication: Pass on Over 41.5 (-114) and Under 41.5 (-116)

Sources

  • South Carolina State University AthleticsPrevious-game context: SC State Falls in Heartbreaking 34-31 Battle to The Citadel on Last-Second Field Goal
  • Charleston Southern University AthleticsPrevious-game context: Late Safety Pushes Gardner-Webb Over Charleston Southern in North / South Barbecue Bowl

SportsJaw South Carolina State vs Buccaneers game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. how our predictions work.

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