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  1. Home
  2. NCAAF Picks
  3. Mississippi Rebels vs Oklahoma Sooners
Sat 4:15 PM ET
Mississippi Rebels logo
Mississippi
Rebels
5-3
versus
Oklahoma Sooners logo
Oklahoma
Sooners
5-4
NCAAF · Mississippi Rebels at Oklahoma Sooners

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Mississippi Rebels vs Oklahoma Sooners Prediction, Odds and Best Bet for Nov. 14, 2026

Game time: November 14, 2026 at 4:15 PM ET

Venue: Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK) — Norman, OK

Article updated Nov 9, 10:18 AM EST

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

Mississippi will beat Oklahoma, 24-23, in our forecast for Nov. 14. The Rebels get the narrow nod from two outside projections, while Oklahoma’s sustained offense against Florida supplies the strongest counterargument. Neither Mississippi -1.5 (-110) nor the 49.5-point total offers a convincing betting margin. The official recommendation is Pass, with low confidence in the projected winner.

Mississippi Rebels vs Oklahoma Sooners prediction and best bet

Mississippi is the pick to win, but this looks too close to justify an official wager. Dimers forecasts a 25-24 Rebels victory, while College Football Charts’ SP+ projection calls for Mississippi 25, Oklahoma 23. Those are other analysts’ estimates, and their agreement supports only a slight editorial lean.

Our Mississippi 24, Oklahoma 23 forecast reflects that narrow advantage and Oklahoma’s encouraging latest performance. Pass is the best betting decision: the spread sits between the two outside projected scoring margins, and their projected totals barely clear the under side of 49.5.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Game: Mississippi Rebels at Oklahoma Sooners, 2026 college football season, Saturday, Nov. 14.

Kickoff: 3:15 p.m. CT. Location: Norman, Oklahoma. Broadcast: SEC Network.

SportsJaw odds: Mississippi Rebels -1.5 (-110); Oklahoma Sooners +1.5 (-109). Moneyline: Mississippi Rebels -122; Oklahoma Sooners +106. Total: Over 49.5 (-110); Under 49.5 (-110).

SportsJaw total: Over 49.5 (-110); Under 49.5 (-110). Moneyline: Mississippi -122; Oklahoma +106.

Recent results: Oklahoma beat Florida 23-7 on Nov. 7, reaching 5-4 overall and 3-3 in the SEC. Mississippi lost 42-7 to Georgia that day; its recap lists a 4-3 SEC record afterward.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Mississippi Rebels outlook

Mississippi’s latest offensive performance is the main reason to keep confidence low. In the Nov. 7 loss to Georgia in Oxford, Trinidad Chambliss completed 18 of 34 passes for 170 yards. A seven-point team output leaves the Rebels needing a substantial rebound to reach our projected 24.

Horatio Fields supplied a positive within that defeat, setting career highs with eight catches and 96 yards. Shekai Mills-Knight contributed 52 yards on 13 touches and scored. Fields’ production gives the forecast a concrete offensive reference, although one productive receiving performance offers no assurance that the entire attack will recover.

College Football Charts’ favorable view of Mississippi comes from its ratings: the site lists the Rebels at 14.7 and Oklahoma at 10.3 in its SP+ comparison. That is a model assessment, separate from what Mississippi demonstrated against Georgia.

Oklahoma Sooners outlook

Oklahoma’s Nov. 7 win at Florida supplies the stronger recent result. John Mateer completed 21 of 33 passes for 207 yards, threw two touchdown passes and added 56 rushing yards. His contributions through both passing and rushing give Oklahoma a plausible route to outperforming the narrow projections.

One touchdown pass went to Isaiah Sategna III during a 20-play, 89-yard possession lasting 12:45. That drive showed Oklahoma sustaining offense for an unusually long stretch. Repeating that kind of possession could reduce Mississippi’s opportunities, but a single drive should not become an assumed pace for the next game.

Holding Florida to seven points also matters to the forecast. It is an encouraging recent result, rather than a season-long defensive benchmark or a direct prediction of Mississippi’s scoring.

Key matchup factors

The central tension is between the outside projections favoring Mississippi and the teams’ contrasting latest results. Dimers assigns Mississippi a 52.0% win probability; College Football Charts’ SP+ estimate gives it 55%. Neither probability suggests a comfortable advantage, and neither is SportsJaw’s confidence rating.

The Nov. 9 consensus update, timestamped 15:06 UTC, favors Oklahoma at 54% in both the external and blended spread views. Its modeled equivalent sample totals 600 selections, with 324 for Oklahoma and 276 for Mississippi. These are estimates, not observed sportsbook tickets or a published count of SportsJaw member picks.

The consensus selection is Oklahoma +1.5 (-109), while the supplied SportsJaw wagering price is +1.5 (-110). Mississippi’s side gained five percentage points from the Nov. 8 snapshot. That movement leaves Oklahoma ahead in the current consensus, adding another reason to treat the matchup as close.

Mississippi Rebels vs Oklahoma Sooners spread prediction

Spread recommendation: Pass on Mississippi -1.5 (-110) and Oklahoma +1.5 (-110). Our one-point Mississippi win would cover for Oklahoma, but College Football Charts’ 25-23 score would cover for Mississippi. That small difference is decisive at this line.

Dimers also reports a 52.2% Oklahoma cover probability at +2.5. That assessment applies to a different spread, with an extra point of protection, and cannot be carried over unchanged to Oklahoma +1.5. The home underdog is plausible, but there is too little separation to make it the official play.

Mississippi Rebels vs Oklahoma Sooners total prediction

Total recommendation: Pass on Over 49.5 (-110) and Under 49.5 (-110). Dimers’ score totals 49 points, while College Football Charts’ score totals 48. Those projections lean under, but a projected score alone supplies no probability of winning that wager.

Oklahoma’s long drive offers a possible path toward fewer possessions. Mississippi’s Georgia game, however, finished with 49 combined points despite the Rebels scoring only seven. A struggling offense does not automatically produce a comfortable under. Our 47-point forecast favors a modest scoring game, without enough conviction to pay -110.

Mississippi Rebels vs Oklahoma Sooners Projected Score & Betting Picks

Game forecast: Mississippi 24, Oklahoma 23. The Rebels receive the narrow nod from the outside ratings, while Oklahoma’s productive quarterback performance and seven points allowed at Florida make an upset a serious possibility.

Confidence is low because the projected advantage is fragile and recent performance supplies a meaningful counterargument. The winner selection remains Mississippi; the spread recommendation, total recommendation and single official SportsJaw betting decision are all Pass.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Rebels24

Sooners23

Projected winner Mississippi RebelsConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Pass on Mississippi Rebels -1.5 (-110) and Oklahoma Sooners +1.5 (-110)

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass on Over 49.5 (-110) and Under 49.5 (-110)

Sources

  • University of Oklahoma AthleticsPrevious-game context: Sooners Upend Gators in Gainesville
  • Ole Miss AthleticsPrevious-game context: No. 10 Football Falls to No. 2 Georgia
  • DimersMississippi vs. Oklahoma Week 11 Prediction, Picks & Odds [11/14/2026]
#MississippiRebels#OklahomaSooners

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw's editorial organization researches matchup data, current odds, injuries and reporting, then validates each published preview against its listed sources and displayed markets.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Rebels vs Sooners game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Rebels vs Sooners matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Mississippi Rebels+164 → -122Moved
  • Moneyline · Oklahoma Sooners-198 → +106Moved
  • Spread · Mississippi Rebels+4 (-112) → -1.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Oklahoma Sooners-4 (-108) → +1.5 (-109)Moved
  • Total · Over53.5 (-108) → 49.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under53.5 (-112) → 49.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Mississippi Rebels
5-3 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Oklahoma Sooners
5-4 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 4-5-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-11-09T15:18:13.180Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2025-10-25Mississippi Rebels 34 · Oklahoma Sooners 26
  • 2024-10-26Oklahoma Sooners 14 · Mississippi Rebels 26
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