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  1. Home
  2. NCAAF Picks
  3. Oregon St. Beavers vs Boise St. Broncos
Sat 6:00 PM ET
Oregon St. Beavers logo
Oregon St.
Beavers
5-4
versus
Boise St. Broncos logo
Boise St.
Broncos
8-1
NCAAF · Oregon St. Beavers at Boise St. Broncos

Your Picks on Oregon St. vs Boise St.

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Oregon St. vs Boise St. consensus picks

Oregon St. Beavers29%
71%Boise St. Broncos
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Oregon St. Beavers vs Boise St. Broncos prediction, odds and best bet for Nov. 14, 2026

Game time: November 14, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET

Venue: Albertsons Stadium — Boise, ID

Article updated Nov 9, 10:24 AM EST

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

Boise State will beat Oregon State, with a projected score of Boise State 35, Oregon State 27. The Broncos’ stronger record and contrasting November 7 results anchor the forecast, while other analysts favor their rushing matchup. The supplied Boise State -10.5 (-108) spread asks for more separation than our projection, and neither that price nor the 66.5 total earns an actionable wager.

Oregon St. Beavers vs Boise St. Broncos prediction and best bet

Boise State is the winner pick, but Pass is the official SportsJaw betting recommendation. The Broncos are 8-1 after beating Colorado State 64-38; Oregon State is 5-4 after losing 42-21 to Texas State. Those results favor Boise State in our assessment, though a win and a double-digit cover are different expectations.

The other analysts agree on the winner while differing on the margin. College Football Charts projects Boise State 35, Oregon State 28; Dimers projects 33-28; College Football Now projects 38-28. Their five-, seven- and 10-point margins all fall short of Boise State covering 10.5. That agreement informs the forecast without making either side a guaranteed betting opportunity.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Game: Oregon St. Beavers at Boise St. Broncos, 2026 college football season.

Time: November 14, 2026, at 6 p.m. ET, as displayed on Covers’ exact-game page.

Records: Oregon St. Beavers 5-4; Boise St. Broncos 8-1.

SportsJaw moneyline: Oregon State +319; Boise State -413.

SportsJaw odds: Oregon St. Beavers +10.5 (-110); Boise St. Broncos -10.5 (-110). Moneyline: Oregon St. Beavers +320; Boise St. Broncos -410. Total: Over 66.5 (-109); Under 66.5 (-109).

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

SportsJaw total: Over 66.5 (-110); Under 66.5 (-110).

Oregon St. Beavers outlook

Oregon State’s 42-21 loss to Texas State on November 7 is the clearest recent warning. The Beavers conceded twice as many points as they scored, leaving a substantial turnaround to pursue against an opponent with the stronger record. That result weighs against an outright upset, but it should not dictate an exact margin for a different matchup.

College Football Charts offers the main argument for Oregon State staying competitive: its analysis identifies the Beavers’ passing offense as a counter to Boise State’s defense. That is the analyst’s matchup assessment, and it helps explain why its forecast keeps Oregon State within seven points. Our projection gives that possibility weight without assuming the Beavers will reproduce any particular passing output.

Boise St. Broncos outlook

Boise State’s November 7 win at Colorado State showed substantial scoring potential, with 64 points in a 26-point victory. The 38 points conceded also matter. A repeat of that offensive output would put the spread within reach, but allowing another opponent to keep scoring could make a large margin harder to sustain.

College Football Charts favors Boise State’s rushing and third-down matchups, while College Football Now emphasizes the Colorado State performance in its forecast. Those are complementary analytical arguments for the Broncos. They are not separate confirmations of every underlying personnel or efficiency claim.

College Football Now also flags the quarterback choice between Maddux Madsen and M. Cutforth for a game-week update. Its preview does not confirm a starter, so our forecast assigns no advantage to a specific quarterback selection.

Key matchup factors

The central question is how much separation Boise State can create. Our reading of the records and latest results favors the Broncos, while the passing counter identified by College Football Charts argues for keeping Oregon State close enough to threaten the spread.

The November 9, 15:06 UTC consensus snapshot points in a different spread direction. External and blended support both favor Boise State -10.5 (-110) at 71%. The combined modeled equivalent sample assigns 426 of 600 selections to Boise State. Those estimates are not observed sportsbook tickets, a win probability or a SportsJaw member-pick count.

Support for that consensus selection increased one percentage point from November 8. Its -110 price is distinct from the supplied SportsJaw offer of Boise State -10.5 (-108). The sentiment favors a Broncos cover, while the three published score forecasts imply an Oregon State cover.

Oregon St. Beavers vs Boise St. Broncos spread prediction

Spread recommendation: Pass on both Boise State -10.5 (-108) and Oregon State +10.5 (-112). Our eight-point projected margin leans toward the Beavers with the points, but the cushion is modest and the recent results make that position fragile.

Boise State’s consensus support is a counterargument, not a reason to override the price. Conversely, three forecasts landing inside the spread do not automatically justify backing Oregon State. The winner call is clearer than either spread wager.

Oregon St. Beavers vs Boise St. Broncos total prediction

Total recommendation: Pass on both Over 66.5 (-110) and Under 66.5 (-110). Our projected 62 points lean Under, as do the other analysts’ projected totals of 61, 63 and 66. Those forecasts describe a possible scoring range rather than an established advantage at this line.

The strongest objection to an Under is Boise State’s latest game, which finished with 102 combined points. Oregon State’s latest game totaled 63. These contrasting outcomes leave room for very different game scripts, and one recent result from each team is too narrow a foundation for an official total wager.

Oregon St. Beavers vs Boise St. Broncos Projected Score & Betting Picks

Game forecast: Boise State 35, Oregon State 27. Confidence is medium in the winner selection. Boise State’s record and latest victory support an ordinary edge, with the rushing matchup favored by College Football Charts adding analytical context.

The strongest counterargument is Oregon State’s potential to answer through the air, as that same analyst suggests. That keeps our projected margin below the spread. SportsJaw passes on both betting markets, and the single official wager is Pass.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Beavers27

Broncos35

Projected winner Boise St. BroncosConfidencemedium
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Pass on Boise St. Broncos -10.5 (-108) and Oregon St. Beavers +10.5 (-112)

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass on Over 66.5 (-110) and Under 66.5 (-110)

Sources

  • CoversOregon State Beavers vs Boise State Broncos Odds & Betting Lines For November 14, 2026
  • College Football ChartsOregon State vs. Boise State Prediction and Pick, Week 11 2026
  • DimersOregon State vs. Boise State: College Football Week 11 Prediction, Picks & Odds
#OregonStBeavers#BoiseStBroncos

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw's editorial organization researches matchup data, current odds, injuries and reporting, then validates each published preview against its listed sources and displayed markets.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Beavers vs Broncos game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Beavers vs Broncos matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Oregon St. Beavers+150 → +320Moved
  • Moneyline · Boise St. Broncos-285 → -410Moved
  • Spread · Oregon St. Beavers+4.5 (-105) → +10.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Boise St. Broncos-4.5 (-115) → -10.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over62.5 (-110) → 66.5 (-109)Moved
  • Total · Under62.5 (-110) → 66.5 (-109)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Oregon St. Beavers
5-4 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Boise St. Broncos
8-1 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-11-08T05:38:20.381Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-11-29Oregon St. Beavers 18 · Boise St. Broncos 34
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