SportsJaw
LeaderboardToday's GamesBest BetsOdds ComparisonConsensus PicksMake Picks
Login / Sign In
Today's GamesLatest PredictionsToday’s Best BetsOdds ComparisonConsensus PicksTeam PredictionsHead-to-Head MatchupsSJ CoinsAbout SportsJawContact UsLogin / Sign In
HomeMatchupsMake PicksLeaders
SportsJaw

The social platform for sports bettors.

Explore SportsJaw

  • Today’s Picks
  • Predictions
  • Best Bets
  • Leaderboard
  • Make Picks
  • Odds Comparison
  • Consensus Picks
  • Team Predictions
  • Head-to-Head
  • Game Briefing

Picks by Sport

  • NFL Picks
  • NCAAF Picks
  • NBA Picks
  • NCAAB Picks
  • MLB Picks
  • NHL Picks

About SportsJaw

  • How It Works
  • SJ Coins
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Contact Us

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

© 2026 SportsJaw. For entertainment purposes only. SportsJaw does not accept or place wagers.

  1. Home
  2. NFL Picks
  3. Detroit Lions vs Buffalo Bills
Thu 8:15 PM ET
Detroit Lions logo
Detroit
Lions31
1-0
versus
Buffalo Bills logo
Buffalo
Bills41
1-0
Final
Team1234T
Detroit Lions01071431
Buffalo Bills14137741
NFL · Detroit Lions at Buffalo Bills

Your Picks on Lions vs Bills

Picks closed
Spread
Moneyline
Total

Lions at Bills: Buffalo’s Passing Matchup Has Appeal, but the Bet Is a Pass

Game time: September 17, 2026 at 8:15 PM ET

Venue: Highmark Stadium — Orchard Park, NY

Article updated Sep 16, 6:01 AM EDT

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

Buffalo has an encouraging passing matchup for this 2026 NFL Week 2 game, but Detroit’s pressure provides meaningful counterevidence.

Buffalo’s offensive opportunity

Detroit visits Buffalo on Thursday, Sept. 17, for the Bills’ home opener at new Highmark Stadium. Buffalo arrives after a 36-31 victory at Houston in which Josh Allen threw for 334 yards and two touchdowns and added two rushing touchdowns.

The Bills recorded 10 plays of more than 15 yards, accounting for 20% of their offensive snaps, and punted twice. That production makes Detroit’s secondary a central concern. Safeties Kerby Joseph and Brian Branch are on injured reserve, while cornerback D.J. Reed was listed as limited Tuesday with a foot injury.

Tyler Shough threw for 410 yards and three touchdowns against Detroit in Week 1, although the Lions also intercepted him twice. Those results support Buffalo’s passing-game prospects without establishing that another big performance is assured.

Detroit has a credible response

Pride Of Detroit, citing PFF figures, reported that the Lions generated 29 pressures and five sacks against New Orleans. Buffalo allowed 13 pressures and two sacks against Houston. Detroit’s ability to disrupt Allen is a substantive reason to temper enthusiasm for the favorite.

Buffalo also conceded 274 passing yards and two touchdowns to C.J. Stroud. Its defensive availability bears watching: linebacker Terrel Bernard and safety Cole Bishop were limited Tuesday, and defensive lineman T.J. Sanders did not practice.

Availability and price limit the case

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Detroit’s Christian Mahogany and Blake Miller were estimated non-participants Monday and Tuesday, while Juice Scruggs was estimated limited. Those sessions were walkthroughs, so the designations do not establish game-day absences. Detroit also faces the short turnaround after an overtime opener.

SportsJaw lists Buffalo moneyline -250 and Detroit moneyline +200. The spreads are Buffalo -4.5 (-110) and Detroit +4.5 (-110), with over 54.5 (-107) and under 54.5 (-113).

Buffalo’s passing matchup is appealing, but one game of performance evidence, Detroit’s pressure and unresolved availability do not establish sufficient value at those prices. Neither total direction has a strong enough supporting case. The recommendation is Pass, with no projected winner or score.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Pass

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass

Sources

  • Detroit LionsLions at Bills practice report: Sept. 15
  • Buffalo BillsTop storylines for Bills vs. Lions | NFL Week 2
  • Pride Of DetroitLions, Bills injury report: CB D.J. Reed added Tuesday
#DetroitLions#BuffaloBills

Share this preview

Facebook X Reddit Email
SportsJaw logo
Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw's editorial organization researches matchup data, current odds, injuries and reporting, then validates each published preview against its listed sources and displayed markets.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Lions vs Bills game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Lions vs Bills matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Detroit Lions+136 → +200Moved
  • Moneyline · Buffalo Bills-165 → -250Moved
  • Spread · Detroit Lions+3 (-110) → +5.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Buffalo Bills-3 (-110) → -5.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over52.5 (-110) → 54.5 (-115)Moved
  • Total · Under52.5 (-110) → 54.5 (-105)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Detroit Lions
1-0 matchup record · 3-7-0 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Buffalo Bills
1-0 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-09-14T04:01:53.554Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

The Bills recorded 10 plays of more than 15 yards, accounting for 20% of their offensive snaps, and punted twice. That production makes Detroit’s secondary a central concern. Safeties Kerby Joseph and Brian Branch are on injured reserve, while cornerback D.J. Reed was listed as limited Tuesday with a foot injury.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-12-15Buffalo Bills 48 · Detroit Lions 42
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Buffalo Bills defeated Detroit Lions 41-31

Buffalo Bills defeated Detroit Lions 41-31 on September 17, 2026, a 10-point decision in the series. Buffalo Bills' strongest period was the 1st quarter, when it outscored its opponent 14-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Detroit Lions +5.5 (-110) spread, Buffalo Bills covered, while the 72 combined points finished over the recorded total of 54.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable
  • SpreadPassPass
  • TotalPassPass

Tipster picks

  • RoycejacobsSpread · Buffalo Bills -3 (-110)Win
  • MaddogTotal · Over 51.5 (-110)Win
  • DemarcusBryantTotal · Over 51.5 (-110)Win
  • PremierPicksSpread · Buffalo Bills -3 (-110)Win
  • JohnnywalkerTotal · Under 51.5 (-110)Loss
  • JackCohenTotal · Under 51.5 (-110)Loss
  • JtphamSpread · Buffalo Bills -3 (-110)Win
  • AdrianMariucciSpread · Detroit Lions +3 (-110)Loss
  • DawhizTotal · Under 51.5 (-110)Loss
  • SwamipicksTotal · Over 51.5 (-110)Win
  • MoneymouthSpread · Detroit Lions +3 (-110)Loss
  • EmcSpread · Buffalo Bills -3 (-110)Win
  • JaredkuntzSpread · Buffalo Bills -3.5 (-107)Win
  • MikeVargasSpread · Buffalo Bills +3.5 (-108)Win
  • Drpaul
Spread · Buffalo Bills -3.5 (-110)
Win
  • JoeyBergTotal · Over 53.5 (-110)Win
  • BookieslayerSpread · Buffalo Bills -3.5 (-110)Win
  • EljefeTotal · Over 53.5 (-110)Win
  • TjwinsSpread · Buffalo Bills -3.5 (-110)Win
  • CovergirlTotal · Over 53.5 (-110)Win
  • MiamimikeSpread · Detroit Lions +4.5 (-112)Loss
  • DtownsendSpread · Detroit Lions +4.5 (-112)Loss
  • MaddogSpread · Detroit Lions +4.5 (-112)Loss
  • Novacek84Spread · Detroit Lions +4.5 (-112)Loss
  • Philly267Spread · Detroit Lions +4.5 (-112)Loss
  • MrpinkSpread · Detroit Lions +4.5 (-112)Loss
  • WarbuczTotal · Over 53.5 (-110)Win
  • Tbone91Total · Under 53.5 (-110)Loss
  • HopkinspicksSpread · Detroit Lions +4.5 (-112)Loss
  • JtgarciaSpread · Buffalo Bills -4.5 (-108)Win
  • 72dolphinsSpread · Buffalo Bills -4.5 (-108)Win
  • 72dolphinsTotal · Over 53.5 (-110)Win
  • PeytoncTotal · Over 53.5 (-110)Win
  • Sarah_MillerSpread · Buffalo Bills -4.5 (-108)Win
  • Drew_WestcottTotal · Over 53.5 (-110)Win
  • Drew_WestcottSpread · Detroit Lions +4.5 (-112)Loss
  • RcollinsSpread · Detroit Lions +4.5 (-112)Loss
  • JwSpread · Buffalo Bills -4.5 (-108)Win
  • JohnnywalkerSpread · Buffalo Bills -4.5 (-108)Win
  • Mickey619Total · Over 53.5 (-110)Win
  • JoeThomasSpread · Detroit Lions +4.5 (-112)Loss
  • JoeThomasTotal · Over 53.5 (-110)Win
  • MackintoshTotal · Under 53.5 (-110)Loss
  • ThetotalerSpread · Buffalo Bills +4.5 (-112)Win
  • ThetotalerTotal · Over 53.5 (-110)Win
  • StevehSpread · Buffalo Bills -4.5 (-108)Win
  • GsimmsSpread · Detroit Lions +4.5 (-112)Loss
  • 1118240754Total · Under 53.5 (-110)Loss
  • TweiskoffTotal · Over 53.5 (-110)Win
  • MickeytSpread · Detroit Lions +4.5 (-112)Loss
  • IroncladlocksTotal · Under 53.5 (-110)Loss
  • MikehuffTotal · Over 53.5 (-110)Win
  • JtphamTotal · Under 53.5 (-110)Loss
  • Teddy718Spread · Buffalo Bills -4.5 (-108)Win
  • MrmisterSpread · Detroit Lions +4.5 (-112)Loss
  • StevedTotal · Over 53.5 (-110)Win
  • SimonsaysSpread · Buffalo Bills -4.5 (-108)Win
  • KingjamesSpread · Detroit Lions +4.5 (-112)Loss
  • RainmanTotal · Over 53.5 (-110)Win
  • BluedevilSpread · Detroit Lions +4.5 (-112)Loss
  • DawhizSpread · Buffalo Bills -4.5 (-108)Win
  • IrishblueTotal · Over 53.5 (-110)Win
  • SwamipicksSpread · Detroit Lions +4.5 (-112)Loss
  • Altuve27Spread · Buffalo Bills -4.5 (-108)Win
  • BadmanSpread · Buffalo Bills -4.5 (-108)Win
  • MoneymouthTotal · Under 53.5 (-110)Loss
  • RcSpread · Detroit Lions +4.5 (-112)Loss
  • PurplebloodSpread · Buffalo Bills -4.5 (-110)Win
  • VegaspatSpread · Detroit Lions +4.5 (-110)Loss
  • HopkinspicksTotal · Over 53.5 (-110)Win
  • PeytoncSpread · Detroit Lions +4.5 (-110)Loss
  • JwTotal · Under 53.5 (-110)Loss
  • TweiskoffSpread · Buffalo Bills -4.5 (-110)Win
  • MickeytTotal · Under 53.5 (-110)Loss
  • MrmisterTotal · Over 53.5 (-110)Win
  • BluedevilTotal · Over 53.5 (-110)Win
  • VegaspatTotal · Under 53.5 (-110)Loss
  • GustavosintoSpread · Detroit Lions +4.5 (-110)Loss
  • Roderick806Spread · Detroit Lions +4.5 (-110)Loss
  • Josh720Total · Over 53.5 (-110)Win
  • DpxsportsSpread · Buffalo Bills -4.5 (-110)Win
  • MbcSpread · Detroit Lions +4.5 (-108)Loss
  • GustavosintoTotal · Under 53.5 (-110)Loss
  • Roderick806Total · Over 53.5 (-110)Win
  • Josh720Spread · Buffalo Bills -4.5 (-110)Win
  • IrishblueSpread · Buffalo Bills -4.5 (-110)Win
  • DpxsportsTotal · Over 54 (-108)Win
  • DrfeelgoodSpread · Buffalo Bills -4.5 (-110)Win
  • Leadpipe_LocksSpread · Detroit Lions +4.5 (-110)Loss
  • EljefeSpread · Detroit Lions +4.5 (-110)Loss
  • DrfeelgoodTotal · Under 54.5 (-113)Loss
  • Joem81Spread · Detroit Lions +4.5 (-110)Loss
  • Joem81Total · Under 54.5 (-110)Loss
  • JeffjacksonTotal · Over 54.5 (-110)Win
  • CovergirlSpread · Detroit Lions +5.5 (-110)Loss
  • 1188460207Spread · Detroit Lions +5.5 (-110)Loss
  • Sammy52Spread · Detroit Lions +5.5 (-110)Loss
  • BookieslayerTotal · Over 54.5 (-112)Win
  • TphamTotal · Over 54.5 (-112)Win
  • WarbuczSpread · Detroit Lions +5.5 (-110)Loss
  • Tbone91Spread · Detroit Lions +5.5 (-110)Loss
  • JeffjacksonSpread · Detroit Lions +5.5 (-110)Loss
  • Kentc_Spread · Detroit Lions +5.5 (-110)Loss
  • TgodfreySpread · Buffalo Bills -5.5 (-110)Win
  • JohnmiznerTotal · Under 54.5 (-105)Loss
  • MackintoshSpread · Buffalo Bills -5.5 (-110)Win
  • Randy54Spread · Buffalo Bills -5.5 (-110)Win
  • DemarcusBryantSpread · Detroit Lions +5.5 (-110)Loss
  • GeorgewTotal · Under 54.5 (-105)Loss
  • MtgoldsteinTotal · Over 54.5 (-112)Win
  • GeauxtigersTotal · Under 54.5 (-105)Loss
  • KrockpicksSpread · Buffalo Bills -5.5 (-110)Win
  • BrycetSpread · Detroit Lions +5.5 (-110)Loss
  • JohnmiznerSpread · Detroit Lions +5.5 (-110)Loss
  • MtgoldsteinSpread · Buffalo Bills -5.5 (-110)Win
  • GeauxtigersSpread · Buffalo Bills -5.5 (-110)Win
  • ThinkmakegrowTotal · Under 55 (-110)Loss
  • SJ_b5b4ab001d12e15aSpread · Detroit Lions +5.5 (-110)Loss
  • KryptonMoneyline · Buffalo Bills -235Win
  • KryptonTotal · Over 55 (-110)Win
  • AveragejoeTotal · Under 55 (-110)Loss
  • AveragejoeSpread · Buffalo Bills -5.5 (-110)Win
  • DengWinsTotal · Over 55 (-110)Win
  • Randy54Total · Over 55 (-110)Win
  • MikehuffSpread · Detroit Lions +5.5 (-110)Loss
  • DoclocksSpread · Detroit Lions +5.5 (-110)Loss
  • DengWinsSpread · Detroit Lions +5.5 (-110)Loss
  • FlyigglesflySpread · Buffalo Bills -5.5 (-110)Win
  • UncledavidSpread · Detroit Lions +5.5 (-110)Loss
  • MookiebetsSpread · Buffalo Bills -5.5 (-110)Win
  • ThinkmakegrowSpread · Detroit Lions +5.5 (-110)Loss