New Haven vs Merrimack Warriors Predictions Today
Merrimack Warriors will beat New Haven 27-17, with their productive first half against No. 4 Tarleton State providing the strongest reason to favor the hosts. AJ Hairston Jr.’s three touchdown passes offer encouragement, but turnovers threaten a comfortable margin. Neither Merrimack -9.5 (-110) nor the 44.5 total offers a convincing betting edge. The official recommendation is Pass, with low forecast confidence.
New Haven vs Merrimack Warriors prediction and best bet
Merrimack gets the winner pick because its offense showed promise against a ranked opponent, even in a decisive defeat. The Warriors trailed Tarleton State just 17-14 at halftime on September 19 and led 252-229 in first-half yardage. That competitive stretch gives the home team a plausible route to beating New Haven.
The best betting decision is Pass. Merrimack eventually lost 45-20, and three turnovers helped turn a close game into a comfortable Tarleton win. New Haven’s defensive response against Brown also deserves weight. Predicting Merrimack to win is reasonable; paying -110 for a margin greater than 9.5 points requires more conviction than this matchup earns.
Odds, game time and how to watch
Game: New Haven at Merrimack Warriors, 2026 college football season.
Kickoff: Saturday, September 26, 2026, at 1 p.m. ET.
Venue: Duane Stadium.
Records: Both teams enter 1-3. New Haven has lost three consecutive games.
SportsJaw spread: New Haven +9.5 (-110); Merrimack Warriors -9.5 (-110).
SportsJaw moneyline: New Haven +265; Merrimack Warriors -370. Merrimack is the favorite in both side markets, but that pricing is separate from the forecast’s confidence level and the decision to pass on a wager here today entirely remains an editorial judgment.