The Citadel Bulldogs vs South Carolina State Predictions October 3, 2026
South Carolina State will beat The Citadel, with a projected score of South Carolina State 31, The Citadel 10. Its 282 rushing yards against Bethune-Cookman provide the strongest reason to favor the home team. That advantage supports the winner forecast, but neither South Carolina State -19.5 (-113) nor the 47.5-point total offers a compelling wager. The official recommendation is Pass.
The Citadel Bulldogs vs South Carolina State prediction and best bet
South Carolina State is the pick to win this October 3 matchup, with medium confidence. Its latest victory combined substantial rushing production with two touchdown passes from Keely Watson and only 238 yards allowed. The Citadel, meanwhile, scored eight points against Chattanooga despite running 65 offensive plays. That contrast favors South Carolina State's ability to turn possessions into points.
The best betting decision is Pass. South Carolina State must win by at least 20 to cover -19.5 (-113), a demanding threshold even for the stronger team. The projected 31-10 result clears it narrowly. The total deserves separate consideration, but one recent performance from each offense leaves too much uncertainty to endorse a scoring wager.
Odds, game time and how to watch
Date and competition: Saturday, October 3, 2026, in the 2026 college football season.
Venue: South Carolina State hosts The Citadel at Oliver C. Dawson Stadium's Willie Jeffries Field.
Records: South Carolina State is 5-0. The Citadel is 1-3 overall and 0-2 in the Southern Conference.
SportsJaw spread: The Citadel +19.5 (-113); South Carolina State -19.5 (-113).

