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NCAAF PicksSat 4:00 PM ET
Stony Brook Seawolves logo
Stony Brook
Seawolves
3-2
versus
Towson Tigers logo
Towson
Tigers
0-5
NCAAF · STNYBK at TOWSN

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Stony Brook Seawolves vs Towson Tigers Predictions October 10, 2026

Game time: October 10, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET

Venue: Johnny Unitas Stadium — Towson, MD

Article updated Oct 9, 10:03 AM EDT

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

Stony Brook will beat Towson 31-27, with CJ Hester’s rushing production and Khalid Bueno’s pass rush giving the Seawolves the stronger winning case. Towson’s explosive passing game makes a close finish plausible. Neither Stony Brook -6.5 (-110), Towson +6.5 (-120) nor the 57.5 total offers a convincing betting edge here, so the official SportsJaw wager is Pass.

Stony Brook Seawolves vs Towson Tigers prediction and best bet

Stony Brook is the pick to win because its recent performance offers a workable answer on both sides of the ball: productive rushing to support its offense and disruptive pressure against Towson’s dangerous passing attack. The forecast is Seawolves 31, Tigers 27, with low confidence.

Towson’s three one-score losses complicate the gap suggested by the teams’ records. The Tigers can threaten a favorite without having solved their own problems closing games. That makes Stony Brook a more comfortable winner selection than a spread selection at -6.5 (-110).

The best betting decision is Pass. A projected Towson cover is an editorial judgment about the likely margin, but the case for paying -120 to take the Tigers’ 6.5 points is too fragile for an official recommendation.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Date and matchup: Saturday, Oct. 10, 2026. Stony Brook Seawolves at Towson Tigers in college football’s 2026 season.

Venue: Johnny Unitas Stadium in Towson, Maryland.

Broadcast: Monumental Sports Network and the FloSports Channel on Prime Video.

Records: Stony Brook is 3-2 overall and 1-0 in the CAA. Towson is 0-6 overall and 0-2 in conference play.

SportsJaw odds: Stony Brook -6.5 (-110) and Towson +6.5 (-120). Moneyline: Stony Brook -239, Towson +190. Total: Over 57.5 (-114), Under 57.5 (-116).

SportsJaw community: Towson +6.5 (-120) leads the member spread picks with 100% support in the Oct. 7, 2026, 12:30 UTC update. That percentage represents community preference, not Towson’s probability of covering.

Stony Brook Seawolves outlook

Stony Brook returns from a bye after beating Fordham 31-16 on Sept. 26. Hester carried 28 times for 135 yards and three touchdowns in that victory. His workload supplies the clearest recent example of the Seawolves building an offense around the run, while their conference-leading 17 rushing touchdowns give that performance broader context.

Quinn Boyd complemented Hester by completing 20 of 26 passes for 209 yards and a touchdown against Fordham, posting a 157.1 passer rating. That was an efficient outing, although one game should not become a promise of the same accuracy against Towson.

Bueno offers the strongest individual reason to favor Stony Brook. He entered this matchup leading the FCS with 7.5 sacks and 11.5 tackles for loss, including at least two tackles for loss in four games. Against Fordham, he recorded five tackles, three sacks and two quarterback hurries. Two of those sacks came in the fourth quarter.

Towson Tigers outlook

Towson arrives after a 41-40 loss at Monmouth on Oct. 3, its third one-score defeat this season. The result illustrates why dismissing the Tigers solely because they are winless would miss a meaningful part of this matchup.

Andrew Indorf entered with a CAA-leading 15 touchdown passes and an average of 257.0 passing yards per game. At Monmouth, he completed 21 of 35 attempts with four touchdowns and one interception. Through six games, he also had six completions covering at least 47 yards and five touchdown passes of at least 30 yards.

Aaron Enterline is a major scoring threat. His first six games produced 34 catches, 573 receiving yards and eight touchdowns, with a touchdown in every game. That combination gives Towson a plausible route to an upset if its passing attack can withstand Stony Brook’s pressure.

Key matchup factors

Protection against pressure is the central contest. Stony Brook entered with a CAA-leading 17 sacks, while Towson has demonstrated the ability to score from distance. Pressure that arrives before deeper routes develop would favor the Seawolves; time for Indorf to find receivers downfield would make this forecast considerably less secure.

Stony Brook’s rushing attack offers another route to influence the game. Sustained possessions could reduce Towson’s opportunities, but that is a potential game script, not an assumption that the Tigers will struggle against the run.

The series adds context without deciding the pick. Towson leads 6-5 overall, but Stony Brook has won the last two meetings, including 27-19 on Oct. 25, 2025. Current personnel production carries more weight here than that previous result.

Stony Brook Seawolves vs Towson Tigers spread prediction

Pass on both Stony Brook -6.5 (-110) and Towson +6.5 (-120). The projected four-point margin favors a Towson cover, and the Tigers’ passing production makes taking the points understandable. Still, there is limited room between that forecast and the supplied spread.

Towson’s close losses help explain its appeal, but they are not a cover rate for this matchup. Likewise, unanimous SportsJaw member support is a sentiment signal rather than an independent measure of value. Stony Brook’s disruptive front remains a substantial risk to a Tigers spread wager.

Stony Brook Seawolves vs Towson Tigers total prediction

Pass on Over 57.5 (-114) and Under 57.5 (-116). The 31-27 forecast totals 58 points, just half a point above the line. That narrow difference is too slight to turn the score projection into an Over bet.

There are credible paths in both directions. Towson’s long passing plays and Stony Brook’s rushing touchdowns suggest scoring potential. Sacks and longer rushing possessions could interrupt that pace. Neither direction offers a persuasive advantage at the supplied price.

Stony Brook Seawolves vs Towson Tigers projected score

Game forecast: Stony Brook Seawolves 31, Towson Tigers 27. Hester’s production, Boyd’s efficient recent outing and Bueno’s sustained disruption tilt the winner selection toward Stony Brook.

Towson’s ability to strike quickly is the strongest counterargument and keeps confidence low. The forecast gives the Seawolves the victory and the Tigers a close finish, while leaving both betting markets as passes. The single official SportsJaw wager is Pass.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

STNYBK31

TOWSN27

Projected winner Stony Brook SeawolvesConfidenceSlight Lean — Towson Tigers
Pick on the Spread

Slight Lean — Towson Tigers +6.5

Editorial pick at publication: Pass on Stony Brook Seawolves -6.5 (-110) and Towson Tigers +6.5 (-120)

Pick on the Total

Slight Lean — Over 57.5

Editorial pick at publication: Pass on Over 57.5 (-114) and Under 57.5 (-116)

Sources

  • Towson University AthleticsTowson Football Returns Home to Play Stony Brook on Family Weekend
  • Stony Brook University AthleticsFive Things to Know: Week 7 at Towson

SportsJaw Seawolves vs Tigers game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Seawolves vs Tigers matchups or learn how our predictions work.

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