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NCAAF PicksSat 12:00 PM ET
Wake Forest Demon Deacons logo
Wake Forest
Demon Deacons
4-1
versus
NC State Wolfpack logo
NC State
Wolfpack
3-2
NCAAF · WAKE at NCST

Your Picks on Wake Forest vs NC State

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Wake Forest vs NC State consensus picks

WAKE80%
20%NCST

Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs NC State Wolfpack Predictions October 10, 2026

Game time: October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET

Venue: Carter-Finley Stadium — Raleigh, NC

Article updated Oct 5, 8:22 AM EDT

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

Wake Forest is projected to beat NC State 31-28, with Gio Lopez’s passing and rushing production giving the Demon Deacons a slight advantage after their dominant performance against Stanford. Bailey’s recent passing success and NC State’s home record keep confidence low. Neither Wake Forest -3.5 (-109) nor the total of 60.5 offers a strong enough edge for an official wager.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs NC State Wolfpack prediction and best bet

Wake Forest is the pick to win, but the best betting decision is Pass. Lopez’s ability to contribute through the air and on the ground gives the road team an appealing offensive option. The Demon Deacons also enter after a strong defensive performance, making their case broader than scoring production alone.

The projected margin is three points. That leaves NC State inside the supplied +3.5 spread, but the half-point difference is too small to justify a wager on this forecast. Wake Forest’s latest result supports a slight preference to win; it is less persuasive as a reason to lay more than a field goal.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Game: Wake Forest Demon Deacons at NC State Wolfpack, 2026 college football season.

Time: Saturday, Oct. 10, 2026, noon EDT.

Venue: Carter-Finley Stadium. NC State announced that this game is sold out.

Broadcast: The CW.

Records: Wake Forest is 4-1 overall and 2-1 in the ACC. NC State is 3-2 overall and 1-1 in the ACC, following their respective Oct. 3 victories.

SportsJaw odds: Wake Forest -3.5 (-109), NC State +3.5 (-111). Moneyline: Wake Forest -158, NC State +134. Total: Over 60.5 (-110), Under 60.5 (-110).

Wake Forest Demon Deacons outlook

Wake Forest beat Stanford 57-3 on Oct. 3, recording the program’s largest ACC winning margin at 54 points. The Demon Deacons gained 519 yards and allowed 197, including just 41 rushing yards. That performance is the strongest recent reason to favor Wake Forest, although it represents one game against a different opponent.

Lopez completed 20 of 27 passes for 265 yards and two touchdowns. He added 88 rushing yards and three rushing touchdowns. His running production gives NC State another responsibility beyond defending the receivers, but those numbers alone cannot tell us how he will respond to the Wolfpack’s pressure.

Carlos Hernandez caught seven passes for 87 yards, while Jack Foley added three receptions for 54 yards and a touchdown. Deuce Lawrence gained 47 yards and scored on six carries. Those contributions spread the production beyond the quarterback without establishing that Wake Forest will enjoy the same openings in Raleigh.

NC State Wolfpack outlook

NC State’s 31-28 victory over Louisville on Oct. 3 offers a substantial counterweight to Wake Forest’s rout. CJ Bailey completed 24 of 40 passes for a career-high 373 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Jojo Trader delivered career highs of five catches and 92 yards, and Preston Douglas caught five passes for 74 yards.

The running game carries an injury question. Duke Scott left the Louisville game early with an injury, after which Davion Gause rushed 21 times for 69 yards. Scott’s availability for Wake Forest remains unconfirmed. His departure is relevant to the backfield outlook, but it should not be treated as a confirmed absence.

NC State forced four fumbles against Louisville, with Popo Aguirre recovering three, and recorded three sacks. Those disruptive plays give the Wolfpack a credible route to changing possession and field position. Forecasting another comparable haul of fumble recoveries, however, would put too much weight on one afternoon.

Key matchup factors

The most consequential matchup is Lopez’s running threat against an NC State defense coming off a productive pass-rushing performance. The question is whether the Wolfpack can pressure him while limiting rushing opportunities. For Wake Forest, containing Bailey’s passing game presents a different challenge from the Stanford offense it just held to three points.

Home performance strengthens the case for a close game. In its Sept. 30 report, NC State cited 34 wins in its previous 42 games at Carter-Finley since 2020, including 14 wins in its previous 20 ACC home games since 2021. Those dated figures are useful context, rather than an updated record through the Louisville game.

SportsJaw’s blended moneyline consensus favored Wake Forest -158 at 75% as of Oct. 5 at 12:04 p.m. UTC. The sportsbook component also showed 75% for Wake Forest; no separate community leader was reported. This is a measure of selection preference, not a 75% win probability or the confidence assigned to this forecast.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs NC State Wolfpack spread prediction

Pass on Wake Forest -3.5 (-109) and NC State +3.5 (-111). The projected three-point Wake Forest win would favor NC State against the spread, but only narrowly. Bailey’s passing production and the home setting make taking the points plausible; Lopez’s recent performance makes that position fragile.

AgentBets.ai reported that NC State moved from +2.5 on Oct. 4 at 8 a.m. ET to +3.5 by Oct. 5 at 11:01 a.m. UTC. The extra point improves the underdog’s cushion, but movement toward Wake Forest is not independent proof that the favorite offers value at the larger spread.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs NC State Wolfpack total prediction

Pass on Over 60.5 (-110) and Under 60.5 (-110). The projected 59 points sit below the total, but the margin is modest. Both quarterbacks produced enough offense in their latest games to make an Over outcome credible.

Wake Forest’s defensive performance supplies an Under argument, although Bailey’s latest outing cautions against expecting another shutdown. AgentBets.ai reported a decline from 61.5 to 60.5 over the same tracking window. That lower number leaves less room for an Under bet, and neither direction earns a recommendation.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs NC State Wolfpack projected score

Game forecast: Wake Forest 31, NC State 28. Lopez’s production in both phases of the offense and Wake Forest’s latest defensive showing give the Demon Deacons the slight edge. Bailey’s career passing day and NC State’s established home success are the strongest reasons to expect a tight finish.

Confidence is low because the clearest performance evidence comes from one recent game per team against different opponents. Wake Forest remains the projected winner, while both spread and total recommendations are Pass. The single official SportsJaw betting lean is Pass.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

WAKE31

NCST28

Projected winner Wake Forest Demon DeaconsConfidenceSlight Lean — NC State Wolfpack
Pick on the Spread

Slight Lean — NC State Wolfpack +3.5

Editorial pick at publication: Pass on Wake Forest Demon Deacons -3.5 (-109) and NC State Wolfpack +3.5 (-111)

Pick on the Total

Slight Lean — Under 60.5

Editorial pick at publication: Pass on Over 60.5 (-110) and Under 60.5 (-110)

Sources

  • AgentBets.aiWake Forest Demon Deacons vs NC State Wolfpack Odds — Spread, Moneyline & Total (Oct 10)
  • NC State University AthleticsNC State vs. Wake Forest to Mark 31st Consecutive Sellout at Carter-Finley
  • Wake Forest University AthleticsPrevious-game context: Wake Forest Records Largest Margin of Victory in an ACC Game, Defeats Stanford 57-3

SportsJaw Demon Deacons vs Wolfpack game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Demon Deacons vs Wolfpack matchups or learn how our predictions work.

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