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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. Incarnate Word Cardinals vs UC Davis Aggies
Wed 2:00 PM ET
Incarnate Word Cardinals logo
Incarnate Word
Cardinals
0-3
versus
UC Davis Aggies logo
UC Davis
Aggies
0-1
NCAAB · Incarnate Word Cardinals at UC Davis Aggies

Your Picks on Incarnate Word vs UC Davis

Picks close 15 minutes before game time (ET)
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Sportsbook lines for this game

Current lines

MatchupBest availableDraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsBetOnlineHeritageLowvigSportsbettingUnibettheScore Bet
Nov 11, 2:00 PM ETIncarnate Word CardinalsUC Davis Aggies
Best available+600DraftKings-770Unibet
DraftKings+600BEST-900
FanDuel+570-850
BetMGM+575-900
Caesars+600BEST-900
BetOnline——
Heritage+556-854
Lowvig——
Sportsbetting——
Unibet+480-770BEST
theScore Bet——

Incarnate Word Cardinals vs UC Davis Aggies prediction, odds and best bet for November 11

Game time: November 11, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET

Venue: University Credit Union Center — Davis, CA

Article updated Nov 10, 10:17 PM EST

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

UC Davis is the pick to beat Incarnate Word, with a projected score of UC Davis 75, Incarnate Word 62. The Aggies’ turnover creation is the strongest matchup reason against a Cardinals team averaging 18.3 giveaways. Even so, the short early-season samples leave too much uncertainty to recommend UC Davis -10 (-110) or Under 146 (-110). The official wager is Pass.

Incarnate Word Cardinals vs UC Davis Aggies prediction and best bet

UC Davis should win this November 11 matchup because its early defensive production fits Incarnate Word’s most pressing problem. The Aggies have forced 31 turnovers through two games and scored 39 points from those mistakes, according to UC Davis Athletics’ November 10 preview.

That creates a credible route to separation, but a double-digit spread asks more than picking the winner. Two games offer a narrow view of the Aggies, and their latest victory came with 65 points scored. The best betting decision is Pass, with a low-confidence game forecast favoring UC Davis.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Game: Incarnate Word Cardinals at UC Davis Aggies, 2026-27 men’s college basketball.

Tipoff: Wednesday, November 11, 2026, at 11:11 a.m. PT, according to the official UC Davis preview.

Venue: University Credit Union Center, Davis, California.

Broadcast: MW+.

Records: Incarnate Word Cardinals 0-3; UC Davis Aggies 0-1.

SportsJaw odds: Incarnate Word Cardinals +11.5 (-110); UC Davis Aggies -11.5 (-110). Moneyline: Incarnate Word Cardinals +570; UC Davis Aggies -850. Total: Over 145.5 (-113); Under 145.5 (-104).

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Incarnate Word Cardinals outlook

Incarnate Word lost 91-60 to Oklahoma State, 66-54 to Chicago State and 79-60 to UTEP. Those results make offensive improvement central to the Cardinals’ chances, although three games against different opponents are not a fixed ceiling for this matchup.

Godswill Erheriene offers the strongest individual scoring evidence. The official UC Davis preview lists him at 12.3 points and 6.3 rebounds per game on 58.6% shooting. Mekhi Connor averages 11.5 points. Getting productive possessions to those scorers is a more convincing route to an upset than asking the Cardinals to overcome repeated giveaways.

The 18.3 turnovers per game are the concern that carries the most weight here. Better ball security would help Incarnate Word in two ways: preserving its own scoring opportunities and reducing chances for UC Davis to attack immediately after a change of possession.

UC Davis Aggies outlook

UC Davis beat Menlo 65-52 in its previous game. Menlo shot 17-for-57, or 29.8%, while the Aggies won the rebounding count 47-41 and fast-break scoring 19-3. That was a useful defensive performance, though repeating it against another opponent remains part of the forecast.

Ben Abosi supplied 18 points and 10 rebounds, his first collegiate double-double. Through games of November 8, he averaged 5.0 offensive rebounds and 8.5 total rebounds. His offensive rebounding offers another potential source of possessions beyond takeaways.

Over that same reporting period, Brayden Fagbemi averaged 6.0 assists and 2.5 steals. UC Davis also averaged 10.0 steals and 31.0 free-throw attempts through two games. Those figures suggest several routes to scoring, but free-throw opportunities and transition chances alone do not guarantee the margin needed to cover.

Key matchup factors

The key question is how often Incarnate Word can finish a possession with a shot. UC Davis’ pressure and Abosi’s second-chance potential could compound the Cardinals’ possession problems. If Incarnate Word protects the ball, the Aggies would have to earn more of their offense against a set defense.

Kalshi’s November 10 update at 10:08 p.m. ET listed UC Davis at 86% and Incarnate Word at 13%. Those are prediction-market estimates, not SportsJaw win probabilities or analyst selections. They favor the same winner as this forecast but say nothing directly about covering 10 points.

The biggest restraint is the limited comparison across opponents. Menlo’s shooting performance cannot simply be assigned to Incarnate Word, and the Cardinals’ previous losing margins are not a reliable template for Wednesday.

Incarnate Word Cardinals vs UC Davis Aggies spread prediction

Spread recommendation: Pass on UC Davis -10 (-110) and Incarnate Word +10 (-110). The matchup favors the Aggies, but the price requires a substantial winning margin. Their turnover production makes that plausible without making it a sufficiently reliable wager.

The projected 13-point victory sits three points beyond the spread. That modest cushion depends heavily on early trends continuing. Incarnate Word’s ball security could improve, while UC Davis’ scoring could fall short of the projection. Neither side offers a persuasive enough case at the supplied line.

Incarnate Word Cardinals vs UC Davis Aggies total prediction

Total recommendation: Pass on Over 146 (-110) and Under 146 (-110). The Cardinals’ opening scoring results pull the forecast toward the Under, and the projected score totals 137 points.

The counterweight is UC Davis’ ability to score from turnovers and draw free throws. Those opportunities could raise scoring even if Incarnate Word struggles. The nine-point gap between the projection and total is an editorial estimate, not a measured betting advantage. The scoring uncertainty keeps the Under off the official card.

Incarnate Word Cardinals vs UC Davis Aggies Projected Score & Betting Picks

Projected score: UC Davis 75, Incarnate Word 62. The Aggies’ possession pressure is the deciding factor, with Abosi’s rebounding adding another possible advantage.

The strongest counterargument is that UC Davis has only two games behind these numbers and scored 65 in its latest outing. Confidence is low in the projected margin and scoring shape. UC Davis remains the winner selection; the spread and total are both passes, and the single official SportsJaw betting lean is Pass.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Cardinals62

Aggies75

Projected winner UC Davis AggiesConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Pass (article line changed)

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass (article line changed)

Sources

  • UC Davis AthleticsAggies Close Homestand Against Incarnate Word on Veterans Day
  • KalshiIncarnate Word vs. UC Davis Odds & Prediction, Nov 11
#IncarnateWordCardinals#UCDavisAggies

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw's editorial organization researches matchup data, current odds, injuries and reporting, then validates each published preview against its listed sources and displayed markets.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Cardinals vs Aggies game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Cardinals vs Aggies matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Incarnate Word Cardinals+355 → +570Moved
  • Moneyline · UC Davis Aggies-525 → -850Moved
  • Spread · Incarnate Word Cardinals+10 (-110) → +11.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · UC Davis Aggies-10 (-110) → -11.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over146 (-110) → 145.5 (-113)Moved
  • Total · Under146 (-110) → 145.5 (-104)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Incarnate Word Cardinals
0-3 matchup record · 0-3-0 ATS · 0-3-0 O/U
Last 3 completed games on file
UC Davis Aggies
0-1 matchup record · 4-5-1 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-11-11T03:17:06.163Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

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