Texas State vs UT Rio Grande Valley prediction, odds and best bet for Nov. 10
Texas State will beat UT Rio Grande Valley 75-70 in our forecast for November 10. The strongest matchup argument is The Breakdown’s adjusted-rating comparison, which favors Texas State on both ends, although another analyst projects an upset. Confidence is low, and neither Texas State -7 (-110) nor the 145.5 total offers a convincing wager. The official SportsJaw betting recommendation is Pass.
Texas State vs UT Rio Grande Valley prediction and best bet
Texas State is the pick to win, but the best betting decision is Pass. Our five-point projected margin favors UT Rio Grande Valley against the supplied seven-point spread without making that difference a dependable betting edge. A forecast can identify the likelier winner while leaving the price unappealing.
The Breakdown projects Texas State 73-69 and assigns it a 64% win probability. Wise Guy Team projects UT Rio Grande Valley 77-75 and assigns the home team a 69% win probability through its Elo model. Those are competing analysts’ estimates, not interchangeable measures of certainty. Our forecast gives more weight to The Breakdown’s ratings argument, with low confidence because the opposing view is substantial.
Odds, game time and how to watch
Game: Texas State at UT Rio Grande Valley, Tuesday, November 10, 2026, in the 2026-27 men’s college basketball season.
Time: 7:30 p.m. ET, equivalent to 6:30 p.m. CT. Covers lists the Eastern start time; the Pac-12 Conference’s November 9 release lists 4:30 p.m. PT.
Broadcast: ESPN+, according to the Pac-12 schedule.
Records: Texas State 0-0; UT Rio Grande Valley 0-0.
Injuries: Covers reported no injuries for Texas State. That entry applies only to Texas State.