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  1. Home
  2. NCAAB Picks
  3. Evansville Aces vs Middle Tenn. St. Blue Raiders
Tue 7:30 PM ET
Evansville Aces logo
Evansville
Aces
1-0
versus
Middle Tenn. St. Blue Raiders logo
Middle Tenn. St.
Blue Raiders
0-1
NCAAB · Evansville Aces at Middle Tenn. St. Blue Raiders

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Evansville Aces vs Middle Tenn. St. Blue Raiders prediction, odds and best bet for Nov. 10

Game time: November 10, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET

Venue: Murphy Center — Murfreesboro, TN

Article updated Nov 9, 11:29 PM EST

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

Middle Tenn. St. is our pick to beat Evansville, Middle Tennessee 76, Evansville 70, with home court providing the strongest reason to favor the Blue Raiders in this early matchup. Evansville’s productive start makes the margin less convincing than the outright selection. Neither Middle Tennessee -7.5 (-110) nor the 143.5 total offers a strong enough case for an actionable wager.

Evansville Aces vs Middle Tenn. St. Blue Raiders prediction and best bet

Middle Tennessee gets the win in our forecast, but the official betting recommendation is Pass. Playing at Murphy Center gives the Blue Raiders the setting in which they have won all three previous home meetings with Evansville, according to their official preview. That history adds context, although it carries less weight than how these teams perform with their current personnel.

Two outside forecasts also favor Middle Tennessee. Bandwagon projects a 77-68 victory with a 77% win probability; AccuScore assigns the Blue Raiders 78%. Those are other analysts’ estimates, not SportsJaw probabilities. Their agreement helps the outright case without proving that laying 7.5 points is good value.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Game: Evansville Aces at Middle Tenn. St. Blue Raiders, 2026-27 men’s college basketball.

Tipoff: Tuesday, November 10, 2026, at 6:30 p.m. CST, according to Evansville’s official preview.

Venue: Murphy Center, Murfreesboro, Tennessee.

Records: Evansville Aces 1-0; Middle Tenn. St. Blue Raiders 0-1.

SportsJaw odds: Evansville Aces +7.5 (-110); Middle Tenn. St. Blue Raiders -7.5 (-110). Moneyline: Evansville Aces +260; Middle Tenn. St. Blue Raiders -325. Total: Over 143.5 (-110); Under 143.5 (-110).

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

SportsJaw total: Over 143.5 (-110); Under 143.5 (-110). Moneyline: Evansville +260; Middle Tennessee -325.

Evansville Aces outlook

AJ Casey gives Evansville its most consistent early production. The official school preview reports 19 points and eight rebounds in each of the first two games. That repeat performance makes him central to the forecast: another comparable contribution would put pressure on Middle Tennessee to find sustained scoring of its own.

Bryce Quinet supplied a career-high 23 points in Saturday’s 78-76 overtime victory over Southern Indiana. Max Langenfeld added 14, while Casey scored 19. Evansville needed overtime to finish that game, so the result offers encouragement without suggesting comfortable separation from its opponent.

Quinet’s distribution is especially useful to the visitors’ case. He has 18 assists against one turnover through two games. Maintaining that care with the ball could help Evansville stay within reach, although two appearances are too few to treat that ratio as an established season-long standard.

Middle Tenn. St. Blue Raiders outlook

Middle Tennessee’s opening results span extremes: a 117-73 victory over Fisk and an 89-45 loss at No. 17 Kansas. Neither score alone is a sensible template for this matchup. The Kansas result is a warning about offensive vulnerability, while the Fisk performance shows why forecasting another 45-point outing would be too pessimistic.

Evansville’s official scouting report lists Quintero Barnett at 14.0 points per game, Marcus Whitlock at 12.0 and Jahvin Carter at 11.5. Those contributions give Middle Tennessee several possible scoring routes, but their early averages should not be mistaken for settled expectations.

Jarred Hall led the Blue Raiders with 11 points at Kansas and made three of five three-point attempts, according to Middle Tennessee’s preview. His shooting was a positive within a difficult result; it remains a single-game performance rather than a reliable shooting baseline.

Key matchup factors

The central question is whether Middle Tennessee can create separation without relying on Evansville mistakes. Quinet’s careful opening games and Casey’s steady output suggest the Aces have a plausible route to a competitive finish. Our forecast gives that possibility more weight than the historical home record when estimating the margin.

Bandwagon attributes its preference to ratings, home advantage and schedule inputs. It also says its recent-form input is unavailable because at least one team has played fewer than three games. AccuScore emphasizes home court. These forecasts support the same winner, but their narrow probability difference adds little practical distinction to the betting decision.

Evansville Aces vs Middle Tenn. St. Blue Raiders spread prediction

Spread recommendation: Pass on Middle Tennessee -7.5 (-110) and Evansville +7.5 (-110). Our six-point projected margin falls on the Evansville side of the spread, but that small cushion is too fragile to turn into a wager.

Bandwagon offers the opposing view through its Middle Tennessee -9.5 model spread, which favors laying the supplied 7.5. Its rounded 77-68 score implies a nine-point margin. AccuScore’s outright selection adds no supplied cover probability. With limited current-season evidence and competing margin estimates, neither side earns an official recommendation.

Evansville Aces vs Middle Tenn. St. Blue Raiders total prediction

Total recommendation: Pass on Over 143.5 (-110) and Under 143.5 (-110). Our projected score totals 146, a directional preference toward the Over rather than a betting selection. Bandwagon’s model total is 145, also above the supplied line.

Those modest differences leave little room for forecasting error. Evansville’s latest 78-point performance included overtime, while Middle Tennessee’s scoring has varied sharply between its first two opponents. Neither result supplies a dependable expectation for this game’s scoring pace, and the Over projection is not strong enough to justify the price.

Evansville Aces vs Middle Tenn. St. Blue Raiders Projected Score & Betting Picks

Game forecast: Middle Tennessee 76, Evansville 70. Home court and the outside forecasts put the Blue Raiders ahead, while Casey’s production and Quinet’s ball security are the strongest counterarguments. Confidence is low because the current-season sample is small and the margin remains uncertain. The single official SportsJaw betting lean is Pass.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Aces70

Blue Raiders76

Projected winner Middle Tenn. St. Blue RaidersConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Pass on Middle Tenn. St. Blue Raiders -7.5 (-110) and Evansville Aces +7.5 (-110)

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass on Over 143.5 (-110) and Under 143.5 (-110)

Sources

  • University of Evansville AthleticsAces travel to MTSU for Tuesday contest
  • Middle Tennessee State University AthleticsBlue Raiders prep for Evansville
  • BandwagonEvansville Purple Aces vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
#EvansvilleAces#MiddleTennStBlueRaiders

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw's editorial organization researches matchup data, current odds, injuries and reporting, then validates each published preview against its listed sources and displayed markets.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Aces vs Blue Raiders game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Aces vs Blue Raiders matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Evansville Aces+285 → +260Moved
  • Moneyline · Middle Tenn. St. Blue Raiders-355 → -325Moved
  • Spread · Evansville Aces+8.5 (-105) → +7.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Middle Tenn. St. Blue Raiders-8.5 (-115) → -7.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over143.5 (-110) → 143.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under143.5 (-110) → 143.5 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

Evansville Aces
1-0 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Middle Tenn. St. Blue Raiders
0-1 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-11-10T04:29:30.256Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2025-11-12Middle Tenn. St. Blue Raiders 77 · Evansville Aces 72
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