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Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: April 6, 2024 at 1:00 PM ET

Venue: PPG Paints Arena — Pittsburgh, PA

Article updated Apr 5, 10:35 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Tampa Bay Lightning will face the Pittsburgh Penguins at PPG Paints Arena on Saturday afternoon in an Eastern Conference matchup. The Lightning, with a record of 7-3

Game outlook

The Tampa Bay Lightning will face the Pittsburgh Penguins at PPG Paints Arena on Saturday afternoon in an Eastern Conference matchup. The Lightning, with a record of 43-26-7 and 93 points, are currently fourth in the Atlantic Division and are coming off a two-game winning streak. The Penguins, with a record of 35-30-11 and 81 points, are sixth in the Metropolitan Division and are also on a three-game winning streak. This will be the third and final game between the two teams, who have split the first two matchups. Tampa Bay is favored to win with opening odds of -112 that have not changed.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Lightning -112 | Penguins -105

Spread: Lightning -1.5 (+225) | Penguins +1.5 (-265)

Total: Over/Under 6 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Tampa Bay will win straight-up is 53%.

Tampa Bay Lightning

The Tampa Bay Lightning have been an impressive offensive force this season, ranking fourth in the NHL with 270 total goals. Right winger Nikita Kucherov leads the league in points with 133 and has been performing exceptionally well in recent games. The team has been strong on the power play, converting 29.13% of their opportunities. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy has had some struggles this season but had a standout performance in his last game. The team needs to improve defensively, as they have allowed 246 goals so far. There are some key players on the injury report, but fans can still look forward to some exciting betting opportunities and promos. In terms of power ranking, Tampa Bay is currently ranked 8th, with a strong offense and room for improvement on defense.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Pittsburgh Penguins Analysis

The Pittsburgh Penguins are in a crucial position as the season winds down, needing to secure points to make the postseason. While their offense is ranked 18th in the NHL with 230 total goals scored, center Sidney Crosby has been a standout player with 84 points and five points in his last three games. However, the team has struggled on the power play, scoring on just 14.69% of attempts. Backup goaltender Alex Nedeljkovic has a decent record and will be in the net for the upcoming game. The Penguins have been slightly above average at killing penalties but have faced injuries to key players like John Ludvig and Matt Nieto. Despite their current power ranking of 27, Tampa Bay has had the upper hand in recent matchups.

Tampa Bay Lightning Dominates Power Play Percentage Over Pittsburgh Penguins

The statistics for power play percentages show a stark difference between the Penguins and the Lightning. Pittsburgh ranks 31st in the NHL, with only 14.7% of their power plays resulting in goals, while Tampa Bay leads the league with an impressive 29.1% success rate. Both teams' defenses have been performing similarly, with a slight variation in goals allowed per game. Tampa Bay has given up an average of 2.2 goals in their last five games, compared to Pittsburgh's 2.5 goals in their previous four games. Considering the skill of goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy, it is advisable to favor the Tampa Bay Lightning in procuring the victory.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#TampaBayLightning#PittsburghPenguins

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Lightning vs Penguins archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Lightning vs Penguins matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Tampa Bay Lightning-112 → -115Moved
  • Moneyline · Pittsburgh Penguins-105 → -104Moved
  • Spread · Tampa Bay Lightning-1.5 (+215) → -1.5 (+215)Unchanged
  • Spread · Pittsburgh Penguins+1.5 (-258) → +1.5 (-256)Moved
  • Total · Over6 (-110) → 6.25 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under6 (-110) → 6.25 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Tampa Bay Lightning
7-3 matchup record · 8-2-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Pittsburgh Penguins
5-6 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-04-06T02:35:47.061Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

The Tampa Bay Lightning have been an impressive offensive force this season, ranking fourth in the NHL with 270 total goals. Right winger Nikita Kucherov leads the league in points with 133 and has been performing exceptionally well in recent games. The team has been strong on the power play, converting 29.13% of their opportunities. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy has had some struggles this season but had a standout performance in his last game. The team needs to improve defensively, as they have allowed 246 goals so far. There are some key players on the injury report, but fans can still look forward to some exciting betting opportunities and promos. In terms of power ranking, Tampa Bay is currently ranked 8th, with a strong offense and room for improvement on defense.

The Pittsburgh Penguins are in a crucial position as the season winds down, needing to secure points to make the postseason. While their offense is ranked 18th in the NHL with 230 total goals scored, center Sidney Crosby has been a standout player with 84 points and five points in his last three games. However, the team has struggled on the power play, scoring on just 14.69% of attempts. Backup goaltender Alex Nedeljkovic has a decent record and will be in the net for the upcoming game. The Penguins have been slightly above average at killing penalties but have faced injuries to key players like John Ludvig and Matt Nieto. Despite their current power ranking of 27, Tampa Bay has had the upper hand in recent matchups.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

Pittsburgh Penguins defeated Tampa Bay Lightning 5-4

Pittsburgh Penguins defeated Tampa Bay Lightning 5-4 on April 6, 2024, a 1-goal decision in the series. Pittsburgh Penguins' strongest period was the 2nd period, when it outscored its opponent 3-1. Against SportsJaw's recorded Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5 (+215) spread, Pittsburgh Penguins covered, while the 9 combined goals finished over the recorded total of 6.25.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • 1188460207Moneyline · Pittsburgh Penguins -105Win
  • PremierPicksMoneyline · Pittsburgh Penguins -105Win
  • JtphamMoneyline · Pittsburgh Penguins -112Win
  • BillywatersMoneyline · Tampa Bay Lightning -112Loss
  • CoversMoneyline · Tampa Bay Lightning -112Loss
  • CoolioTotal · Over 6 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 6 (-110)Win
  • BookieslayerTotal · Under 6 (-110)Loss