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  3. Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs
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Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: April 3, 2024 at 7:00 PM ET

Venue: Scotiabank Arena — Toronto, ON

Article updated Apr 2, 10:35 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Tampa Bay Lightning will face off against the Toronto Maple Leafs, with both teams aiming to continue their successful seasons. The Lightning hold the fourth-best record

Game outlook

The Tampa Bay Lightning will face off against the Toronto Maple Leafs, with both teams aiming to continue their successful seasons. The Lightning hold the fourth-best record in the Atlantic Division and currently occupy the top wild card spot with an impressive 7-3 record. On the other hand, the Maple Leafs boast a 43-22-9 record and sit in third place in the Atlantic Division with three straight wins. The upcoming game is expected to be intense as both teams look to make strides in their division and the Eastern Conference. Toronto is the favorite to win with odds opening at -128 and the current line at -129. Be sure to check out our NHL Predictions for potentially great payouts.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Lightning +110 | Maple Leafs -129

Spread: Lightning +1.5 (-220) | Maple Leafs -1.5 (+185)

Total: Over/Under 6.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Toronto will win straight-up is 56%.

Tampa Bay Lightning

The Tampa Bay Lightning are currently having a successful season offensively, with key players such as Nikita Kucherov, Brayden Point, Steven Stamkos, Brandon Hagel, and Anthony Cirelli contributing significantly to the team's goal-scoring efforts. Victor Hedman has also been a strong presence on the offensive end from the defense. However, the defense has been struggling, allowing opponents to score an average of 3.26 goals per game. Goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy has also been facing challenges with a save percentage of .900 and a goals-against average of 2.86. Despite these issues, the Lightning have a power ranking of 10 and are ranked 5th in offense, 21st in defense, with a record of 41-26-7 for the season.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Toronto Maple Leafs Analysis

The Toronto Maple Leafs have been having a successful season, particularly with their strong offense leading the way. Key players like Auston Matthews and William Nylander have been instrumental in their success, with a combined 102 goals and 90 assists. Other players such as John Tavares, Max Domi, and Tyler Bertuzzi have also made significant contributions to the team's offensive success. However, the defense has been a weak spot, allowing an average of 3.09 goals per game. Goaltender Ilya Samsonov has struggled with a .892 save percentage. Despite their offensive prowess, the team's defensive struggles have hindered their overall performance. The Maple Leafs currently have a power ranking of 12 and are ranked #2 for offense and #17 for defense. They have an overall record of 43-22-9. In their last three matchups, Tampa Bay has had the upper hand, winning all three games against Toronto.

Maple Leafs Favored to Win Exciting Matchup Against Lightning in Atlantic Division Showdown

This matchup between two top teams in the Atlantic Division promises to be an exciting game. The Tampa Bay Lightning will be looking to secure a victory as the underdog, while the Toronto Maple Leafs are riding a three-game winning streak and aim to dominate on their home ice. With key players such as Auston Matthews and William Nylander leading the offensive charge, the Maple Leafs, who boast an average of 3.65 goals per game, are expected to create ample scoring opportunities through precise passing and puck control in the offensive zone. Defensively, the Maple Leafs are poised to limit the Lightning's offensive capabilities, with players like Jake McCabe and T.J. Brodie working to create turnovers and minimize shots on goal. Goaltender Ilya Samsonov is anticipated to make crucial saves to support the team's efforts. Overall, a strong performance from the Maple Leafs on home ice is predicted to lead to a victory in this game. Betting on the Maple Leafs as the home favorites is recommended.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#TampaBayLightning#TorontoMapleLeafs

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Lightning vs Maple Leafs archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Lightning vs Maple Leafs matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Tampa Bay Lightning+110 → -110Moved
  • Moneyline · Toronto Maple Leafs-128 → -110Moved
  • Spread · Tampa Bay Lightning+1.5 (-220) → +1.5 (-250)Moved
  • Spread · Toronto Maple Leafs-1.5 (+185) → -1.5 (+212)Moved
  • Total · Over6.5 (-110) → 6.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under6.5 (-110) → 6.5 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

Tampa Bay Lightning
7-3 matchup record · 8-2-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Toronto Maple Leafs
7-5 matchup record · 8-2-0 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-04-03T02:35:45.354Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

Tampa Bay Lightning defeated Toronto Maple Leafs 4-1

Tampa Bay Lightning defeated Toronto Maple Leafs 4-1 on April 3, 2024, a 3-goal decision in the series. Tampa Bay Lightning's strongest period was the 2nd period, when it outscored its opponent 2-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Tampa Bay Lightning +1.5 (-250) spread, Tampa Bay Lightning covered, while the 5 combined goals finished under the recorded total of 6.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • DtownsendMoneyline · Tampa Bay Lightning -128Win
  • TphamMoneyline · Toronto Maple Leafs -128Loss
  • DerekFisherMoneyline · Toronto Maple Leafs -128Loss
  • TgodfreyMoneyline · Toronto Maple Leafs -128Loss
  • MikeVargasMoneyline · Toronto Maple Leafs -128Loss
  • BillywatersTotal · Under 6.5 (-110)Win
  • Altuve27Moneyline · Tampa Bay Lightning +110Win
  • AliencreationMoneyline · Toronto Maple Leafs -129Loss
  • BrycetMoneyline · Toronto Maple Leafs -128Loss
  • Fisher49Moneyline · Toronto Maple Leafs -128Loss
  • DemarcusBryantMoneyline · Tampa Bay Lightning +110Win
  • DemarcusBryantTotal · Under 6.5 (-110)Win
  • ThehitmanMoneyline · Toronto Maple Leafs -128Loss
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 6.5 (-110)Loss
  • BookieslayerMoneyline · Tampa Bay Lightning +110Win
  • Teddy718Moneyline · Toronto Maple Leafs -128Loss
  • MookiebetsMoneyline · Toronto Maple Leafs -128Loss
  • Mr_BiggsMoneyline · Toronto Maple Leafs -128Loss
  • BjenkinsMoneyline · Toronto Maple Leafs -128Loss
  • JoeyBergMoneyline · Tampa Bay Lightning +110Win