Ottawa Senators vs
Toronto Maple LeafsPredictions & Preview

Senators Face Must-Win Game 5 Against Dominant Maple Leafs in First-Round Playoff Series

On Tuesday night, the provincial rivals, the Senators and Maple Leafs, will face off in Game 5 of their first-round playoff series. With Toronto currently leading the series 3-1, Ottawa will look to extend their season with a win. Toronto has dominated the series thus far, winning the first three games, but Ottawa managed to stay alive with a win in Game 4. The Maple Leafs are the favorites with the current line set at Toronto -172. Will Ottawa be able to force a Game 6 or will Toronto close out the series on home ice?

Betting Odds

• Moneyline: Senators +151 | Maple Leafs -172
• Spread: Senators +1.5 (-176) | Maple Leafs -1.5 (+153)
• Total: Over/Under 5.5 (-110)
• Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Toronto will win straight-up is 63%.

Ottawa vs Toronto Stats

Ottawa Senators

Despite being outshot, the Ottawa Senators managed to secure a crucial overtime victory in Game 4 of their series against Toronto by focusing on generating traffic on net. Ottawa is currently tied for 12th in offense and goals against in the playoffs, averaging 2.50 goals per game and allowing 3.75 goals per contest. The Senators have been successful on the power play, converting 27.3% of their chances, and have been effective on the penalty kill, navigating 61.5% of their shorthanded situations. In Game 4, Ottawa took control early, saw their lead slip away, but ultimately prevailed in overtime with Tim Stutzle and Shane Pinto scoring their first goals of the postseason. David Perron and Jake Sanderson also contributed with goals, leading Ottawa to a 4-3 victory. Linus Ullmark made 31 saves in the win and is expected to start the next game. Ottawa currently holds a power ranking of 18 and is ranked 20th in offense, 13th in defense, with a season record of 46-31-9.

Toronto Maple Leafs Analysis

The Toronto Maple Leafs faced a setback in Game 4, falling in overtime after rallying to force extra time. Despite the loss, the team remains strong in various statistical categories, including goals per game and penalty killing. Looking ahead to the next game at Scotiabank Arena, the Maple Leafs aim to regroup and close out the series in front of their home crowd. In their previous matchup, the Maple Leafs showed resilience by tying the score twice after falling behind, ultimately ending in defeat. Toronto will need to improve their offensive output and tighten up defensively in order to secure a victory and advance in the playoffs.

Toronto Maple Leafs poised to overcome history of playoff disappointments against Ottawa Senators

The Ottawa Senators have the advantage of playing without pressure, while the Toronto Maple Leafs are focused on overcoming a history of playoff disappointments. In their last 13 playoff elimination games since 2017, the Maple Leafs have only won once. However, this current Toronto team appears to be more resilient and balanced than in previous years. They have shown strong defensive capabilities, effective backchecking, and commitment to blocking shots. Despite a recent defeat, goaltender Stolarz has been reliable throughout the series and is expected to bounce back in the next game. With the home advantage, the Maple Leafs are anticipated to secure a victory and advance to the second round.

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