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Buffalo Sabres vs Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: March 6, 2024 at 7:00 PM ET

Venue: Scotiabank Arena — Toronto, ON

Article updated Mar 5, 10:23 PM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Buffalo Sabres will be facing off against the Toronto Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena, with Buffalo holding a record of 29-29-4 and Toronto holding a record of 35-18-8.

Game outlook

The Buffalo Sabres will be facing off against the Toronto Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena, with Buffalo holding a record of 29-29-4 and Toronto holding a record of 35-18-8. Buffalo has won both of the previous matchups between the two teams this season. The game is scheduled to begin at 7 PM EST. Toronto is the favorite according to betting odds, opening at -192 with no movement in the line.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Sabres +168 | Maple Leafs -192

Spread: Sabres +1.5 (-150) | Maple Leafs -1.5 (+130)

Total: Over/Under 6.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Toronto will win straight-up is 66%.

Buffalo Sabres

In their recent game against the Winnipeg Jets, the Buffalo Sabres, despite having an odd of -105, suffered a 5-2 loss. Eric Robinson and JJ Peterka each scored a goal, while Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen made 30 saves out of 33 shots faced. The Sabres have been performing well offensively, scoring three or more goals in six of their last nine games. They rank 23rd in goals per game and 11th in shots per game, with Casey Mittelstadt leading the team with 47 points. Defensively, Buffalo has been solid, ranking 14th in goals against per game and sixth in shots against per game. Luukkonen has a 19-16-2 record with a 2.46 GAA and .914 SV%, while Eric Comrie has a 1-6-0 record with a 3.87 GAA and .868 SV%. Rasmus Dahlin has accumulated 46 points. However, despite their efforts, Buffalo is sixth in the Atlantic Division and is unlikely to make the playoffs. With a power ranking of 4, Buffalo is currently ranked 23rd in offense, scoring an average of 2.95 goals per game. They are ranked 14th in defense, allowing an average of 3.02 goals against per game, and have a season record of 29-29-4.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Toronto Maple Leafs Analysis

Toronto Maple Leafs were recently favored to win a game against the Boston Bruins but ended up losing 4-1, with John Tavares scoring the team's only goal. Despite this loss, the Leafs have been excelling on offense, scoring four or more goals in eight out of their last ten games. William Nylander leads the team with 83 points, followed by Auston Matthews with 79 points, who leads the NHL in goals with 53. The defense and goaltending for the Leafs have been average and less than average, respectively, this season, ranking 20th and 14th in goals against per game and shots against per game. With a third-place ranking in the Atlantic Division, Toronto will need to improve their goaltending to make a deep playoff run. Additionally, with a power ranking of 3, the Leafs are ranked first in offense, averaging 3.73 goals per game, but are ranked 19th in defense, giving up an average of 3.17 points per game. Toronto has had success against Buffalo, winning all three matchups in their last three games.

Buffalo Dominates Toronto in Recent Matchups, Establishing Themselves as Strong Underdog Choice

Buffalo has consistently outperformed Toronto in their recent matchups, boasting a 7-3-0 record in their last 10 meetings. The Sabres have secured victories in both games against the Maple Leafs this season. Over their last 10 encounters, Buffalo has maintained an impressive average of 4.80 goals per game compared to Toronto's 3.30. With the Sabres demonstrating strong offensive capabilities, having scored three or more goals in six of their last nine games, they present themselves as a formidable opponent. Conversely, the Leafs have struggled defensively this season, ranking 20th in goals against per game and 14th in shots against per game. Given Buffalo's current winning streak, having triumphed in five of their last seven games, they are a strong underdog choice for victory in this upcoming contest. Consider placing a bet on Buffalo to win on the money line.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#BuffaloSabres#TorontoMapleLeafs

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Sabres vs Maple Leafs archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Sabres vs Maple Leafs matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Buffalo Sabres+168 → +156Moved
  • Moneyline · Toronto Maple Leafs-192 → -175Moved
  • Spread · Buffalo Sabres+1.5 (-150) → +1.5 (-154)Moved
  • Spread · Toronto Maple Leafs-1.5 (+130) → -1.5 (+134)Moved
  • Total · Over6.5 (-110) → 6.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under6.5 (-110) → 6.5 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

Buffalo Sabres
4-4 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 3-7-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Toronto Maple Leafs
7-5 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-03-06T03:23:09.809Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-12-21Toronto Maple Leafs 3 · Buffalo Sabres 9
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Toronto Maple Leafs defeated Buffalo Sabres 2-1

Toronto Maple Leafs defeated Buffalo Sabres 2-1 on March 6, 2024, a 1-goal decision in the series. Toronto Maple Leafs' strongest period was the overtime, when it outscored its opponent 1-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Buffalo Sabres +1.5 (-154) spread, Buffalo Sabres covered, while the 3 combined goals finished under the recorded total of 6.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • VfernandezMoneyline · Toronto Maple Leafs -192Win
  • Sammy52Moneyline · Buffalo Sabres +168Loss
  • BookieslayerMoneyline · Buffalo Sabres +168Loss
  • TphamTotal · Over 6.5 (-110)Loss
  • JaredkuntzMoneyline · Buffalo Sabres +168Loss
  • Teddy718Moneyline · Buffalo Sabres +168Loss
  • SwamipicksMoneyline · Buffalo Sabres +168Loss
  • Altuve27Moneyline · Buffalo Sabres +168Loss
  • AliencreationSpread · Buffalo Sabres +1.5 (-150)Win
  • JtgarciaMoneyline · Buffalo Sabres +168Loss
  • BjenkinsTotal · Under 6.5 (-110)Win
  • BjenkinsMoneyline · Buffalo Sabres +168Loss
  • JtphamMoneyline · Buffalo Sabres +168Loss
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 6.5 (-110)Loss
  • IroncladlocksMoneyline · Buffalo Sabres +159Loss