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  3. Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators
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Toronto Maple Leafs1113
Ottawa Senators1315
NHL · Toronto Maple Leafs at Ottawa Senators

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Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: February 10, 2024 at 7:00 PM ET

Venue: Canadian Tire Centre — Ottawa, ON

Article updated Feb 9, 10:22 PM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

In an upcoming NHL matchup, the Toronto Maple Leafs will be facing off against the Ottawa Senators at the Canadian Tire Centre. The Maple Leafs currently boast a record of

Game outlook

In an upcoming NHL matchup, the Toronto Maple Leafs will be facing off against the Ottawa Senators at the Canadian Tire Centre. The Maple Leafs currently boast a record of 7-5, while the Senators stand at 8-4. These two teams have met three times this season, with Ottawa emerging victorious in two of the three matchups. The game is scheduled to begin at 7 PM EST. Notably, Toronto is the favored team in betting markets, opening with odds of -141, and the line has remained stagnant.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Maple Leafs -141 | Senators +124

Spread: Maple Leafs -1.5 (+170) | Senators +1.5 (-195)

Total: Over/Under 6.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Toronto will win straight-up is 59%.

Toronto Maple Leafs

In their last game, the Toronto Maple Leafs emerged victorious with a 5-4 win against the Dallas Stars. Notable performances by William Nylander, John Tavares, and Auston Matthews contributed to their success. Nylander secured two goals and an assist, while Tavares provided a goal and two assists, and Matthews scored a goal and had an assist. Ilya Samsonov demonstrated skill in goal, stopping 27 of the 31 shots he faced. Toronto has exhibited proficiency in offense this season, scoring three or more goals in six out of their previous ten games. They rank seventh in goals per game and sixth in shots per game. William Nylander leads the team with 65 points, while Auston Matthews leads the entire NHL with 41 goals. Matthews boasts 61 points, followed by Mitchell Marner with 55 points. However, the team's defense and goaltending have been subpar, ranking 21st in goals against per game and 19th in shots against per game. In terms of goaltending performance, Ilya Samsonov possesses a record of 9-4-6, a 3.38 GAA, and .879 SV%. Joseph Woll holds a record of 8-5-1, a 2.80 GAA, and .916 SV%, while Martin Jones holds a record of 9-6-1, a 2.64 GAA, and .911 SV%. Morgan Reilly has contributed 42 points. As it stands, Toronto currently holds the third position in the Atlantic Division, but they will need stronger goaltending to bolster their chances of making a deep playoff run. With a power ranking of 10, Toronto ranks seventh in offense, scoring an average of 3.50 goals per game. Conversely, their defense ranks 21st, allowing an average of 3.19 goals to be scored against them per game. Overall, their season record stands at 26-15-8.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Ottawa Senators Analysis

In their previous game, the Ottawa Senators had odds of -105 and managed to defeat the Detroit Red Wings 3-2 in overtime. The winning goal was scored by Shane Pinto, who also had an assist in the game. Other goal scorers for Ottawa were Brady Tkachuk and Mark Kastelic. Joonas Korpisalo, the goaltender for the Senators, stopped 23 of the 25 shots he faced. Offensively, Ottawa has performed well this season, scoring four or more goals in six of their last 10 games. They currently rank 11th in the league for goals per game and eighth for shots per game. Tim Stutzle leads the team with 47 points, followed by Claude Giroux with 42 points, Brady Tkachuk with 41 points, and Drake Batherson with 38 points. However, the team has struggled defensively and in goaltending. They are ranked 30th in the league for goals against per game and 18th for shots against per game. Korpisalo has a 12-16-2 record with a 3.38 goals against average (GAA) and .889 save percentage (SV%), while Anton Forsberg has a 7-8-0 record with a 3.35 GAA and .889 SV%. Mads Sogaard has a 1-1-0 record with a 5.09 GAA and .825 SV%. Overall, the Ottawa Senators are currently last in the Atlantic Division and it is unlikely that they will make the playoffs. According to power rankings, they are ranked 20th in the league and have a record of 20-25-2. In their recent matchups, Toronto has won two out of three games against Ottawa.

Toronto's Offensive Strength and Ottawa's Defensive Weakness Point to a Decisive Victory

In recent head-to-head matchups, Toronto has demonstrated a strong performance against Ottawa, emerging victorious in seven out of their last ten meetings. However, the Senators' defensive and goaltending efforts have been lackluster this season. Ranking poorly, they stand at 30th place in goals against per game and 18th place in shots against per game. Conversely, the Maple Leafs have maintained a remarkable offensive record this season. With six out of their last ten games seeing them score three or more goals, Toronto impressively ranks seventh in goals per game and sixth in shots per game. Leading the team, William Nylander has accumulated an impressive 65 points, while Auston Matthews, leading the NHL, boasts 41 goals. Given their offensive strength, it is highly likely that Toronto will successfully score against Ottawa, leading to a decisive victory with a goal margin of two or more. Thus, it is advisable to place a bet on Toronto, favoring the puck line (-1.5).

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#TorontoMapleLeafs#OttawaSenators

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Maple Leafs vs Senators archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Maple Leafs vs Senators matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Toronto Maple Leafs-141 → -140Moved
  • Moneyline · Ottawa Senators+124 → +120Moved
  • Spread · Toronto Maple Leafs-1.5 (+170) → -1.5 (+168)Moved
  • Spread · Ottawa Senators+1.5 (-195) → +1.5 (-196)Moved
  • Total · Over6.5 (-110) → 6.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under6.5 (-110) → 6.5 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

Toronto Maple Leafs
7-5 matchup record · 2-8-0 ATS · 4-5-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Ottawa Senators
8-4 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-02-10T03:22:13.392Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-12-27Ottawa Senators 4 · Toronto Maple Leafs 2
  • 2023-12-07Toronto Maple Leafs 4 · Ottawa Senators 3
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Ottawa Senators defeated Toronto Maple Leafs 5-3

Ottawa Senators defeated Toronto Maple Leafs 5-3 on February 10, 2024, a 2-goal decision in the series. Ottawa Senators' strongest period was the 2nd period, when it outscored its opponent 3-1. Against SportsJaw's recorded Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5 (+168) spread, Ottawa Senators covered, while the 8 combined goals finished over the recorded total of 6.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • Mickey619Moneyline · Toronto Maple Leafs -141Loss
  • TgodfreyMoneyline · Toronto Maple Leafs -141Loss
  • Teddy718Moneyline · Toronto Maple Leafs -141Loss
  • FistBumpTotal · Over 6.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 6.5 (-110)Win
  • 1188460207Moneyline · Toronto Maple Leafs -142Loss