SportsJaw
LeaderboardToday's GamesBest BetsOdds ComparisonConsensus PicksMake Picks
Login / Sign In
Today's GamesLatest PredictionsToday’s Best BetsOdds ComparisonConsensus PicksTeam PredictionsHead-to-Head MatchupsSJ CoinsAbout SportsJawContact UsLogin / Sign In
HomeMatchupsMake PicksLeaders
SportsJaw

The social platform for sports bettors.

Explore SportsJaw

  • Today’s Picks
  • Predictions
  • Best Bets
  • Leaderboard
  • Make Picks
  • Odds Comparison
  • Consensus Picks
  • Team Predictions
  • Head-to-Head
  • Game Briefing

Picks by Sport

  • NFL Picks
  • NCAAF Picks
  • NBA Picks
  • NCAAB Picks
  • MLB Picks
  • NHL Picks

About SportsJaw

  • How It Works
  • SJ Coins
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Contact Us

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

© 2026 SportsJaw. For entertainment purposes only. SportsJaw does not accept or place wagers.

  1. Home
  2. NHL Picks
  3. Ottawa Senators vs Pittsburgh Penguins
Sat 7:00 PM ET
Ottawa Senators logo
Ottawa
Senators
12-8
versus
Pittsburgh Penguins logo
Pittsburgh
Penguins
6-12
NHL · Ottawa Senators at Pittsburgh Penguins

Your Picks on Senators vs Penguins

Picks close 15 minutes before game time (ET)
Spread
Moneyline
Total
Odds comparison

Sportsbook lines for this game

Current lines

MatchupBest availableDraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsCircaBet105BetOnlineBovadaHard RockHeritageIntertopsLowvigPinnacleSportsbettingUnibetYouWagertheScore Bet
Nov 14, 7:00 PM ETOttawa SenatorsPittsburgh Penguins
Best available-122Heritage+119Pinnacle
DraftKings-130+110
FanDuel-128+106
BetMGM-135+110
Caesars-130+110
Circa-123+111
Bet105-134+119BEST
BetOnline-125+110
Bovada-137+117
Hard Rock-130+110
Heritage-122BEST+110
Intertops-125+105
Lowvig-125+110
Pinnacle-134+119BEST
Sportsbetting-125+110
Unibet-130+110
YouWager-130+110
theScore Bet-130+110

Ottawa Senators vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction, Odds and Best Bet for Nov. 14, 2026

Game time: November 14, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET

Venue: PPG Paints Arena — Pittsburgh, PA

Article updated Nov 14, 12:30 AM EST

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Ottawa Senators will beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 4-3 in our forecast, with Ottawa's stronger recent scoring and slightly better defensive results providing the clearest matchup advantage. Pittsburgh's competitive home record keeps the projected margin narrow. Neither the supplied puck-line prices nor the 6.5-goal total offers a convincing betting advantage, so the official SportsJaw wager is Pass with low forecast confidence.

Ottawa Senators vs Pittsburgh Penguins prediction and best bet

Ottawa gets the pick because its recent performance offers the stronger balance of scoring and defending. The Senators have averaged 3.5 goals scored and 3.2 allowed over their past 10 games; Pittsburgh's corresponding averages are 3.1 and 3.3. Those differences favor Ottawa, but leave room for a close finish.

The best bet is Pass. Picking Ottawa to win does not make Ottawa -1.5 (+190) attractive, and a seven-goal forecast alone is insufficient reason to bet Over 6.5 (-105). The missing personnel and competing scoring projections make both markets less appealing than the straight game prediction.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Game time: Saturday, November 14, 2026, at 7 p.m. EST in Pittsburgh. Ottawa visits Pittsburgh for their first meeting of the 2026-27 NHL season.

Records: Ottawa Senators 12-8; Pittsburgh Penguins 6-12.

SportsJaw moneyline: Ottawa Senators -128; Pittsburgh Penguins +108.

SportsJaw puck line: Ottawa Senators -1.5 (+190); Pittsburgh Penguins +1.5 (-230).

SportsJaw total: Over 6.5 (-105); Under 6.5 (-112).

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Ottawa Senators outlook

Ottawa's 5-3-2 record over its past 10 games gives it the better recent results. Its scoring average over that stretch is the most persuasive reason to favor the visitors. The defensive average is less reassuring: allowing 3.2 goals per game leaves a realistic path for Pittsburgh to stay within a goal.

The ESPN / Data Skrive preview credits Drake Batherson with 10 goals and nine assists. Jake Sanderson has contributed one goal and seven assists over the past 10 games. Those contributions give Ottawa productive players to build this forecast around without assuming a particular scorer will decide the game.

That report lists Warren Foegele, Nick Cousins, William Eklund and Andre Burakovsky as out. The absences temper enthusiasm for Ottawa's attack and make projecting a comfortable victory harder, even with the Senators' stronger overall record.

Pittsburgh Penguins outlook

Pittsburgh's home results are the strongest counterweight to Ottawa's season advantage. A 4-3-1 home record presents a more competitive picture than the Penguins' overall mark. Still, their 4-5-1 record over the past 10 games and 3.3 goals allowed per game during that stretch leave prevention as a concern.

Evgeni Malkin has six goals and 11 assists, while Rickard Rakell has six goals and three assists over the past 10 games, according to ESPN / Data Skrive. Rakell's recent production is a concrete reason to expect Pittsburgh to contribute to the scoring.

The same report lists Bryan Rust, Trevor van Riemsdyk, Ryan Graves and Elmer Soderblom as out. Pittsburgh therefore has its own personnel concerns; Ottawa's absences are not enough on their own to swing the winner selection.

Key matchup factors

Other analysts favor Ottawa, but their forecasts describe a small advantage. Squawka predicts a 3-2 Senators win. Dimers gives Ottawa a 53.1% win probability, while bayesRatings assigns 53% and projects Ottawa 3.4 goals to Pittsburgh's 3.1. These are other analysts' estimates, not proof of a profitable wager.

SportsJaw's November 14 consensus update at 05:21 UTC shows Ottawa leading the blended moneyline measure at 57%, with a 10-percentage-point move toward Ottawa from the previous day's snapshot. Its modeled equivalent sample totals 602 selections, split 343 for Ottawa and 259 for Pittsburgh. These are estimates, not observed sportsbook tickets or a win probability.

The sentiment is divided: Ottawa leads SportsJaw member picks, while the external consensus favors Pittsburgh at 54%. That disagreement matters when the analytical forecasts already put the teams close together. It reinforces a low-confidence winner selection rather than a strong betting position.

Ottawa Senators vs Pittsburgh Penguins spread prediction

Spread recommendation: Pass on Ottawa Senators -1.5 (+190) and Pittsburgh Penguins +1.5 (-230). Our projected one-goal Ottawa win favors Pittsburgh's side of the puck line, but the price remains a separate question.

Ottawa must win by at least two goals to cover. Neither Squawka's forecast nor bayesRatings' narrow projected margin gives a persuasive reason to expect that separation. Pittsburgh +1.5 (-230) fits the close-game outlook, but the evidence is too thin to justify paying that price. A plausible cover is not automatically a worthwhile bet.

Ottawa Senators vs Pittsburgh Penguins total prediction

Total recommendation: Pass on Over 6.5 (-105) and Under 6.5 (-112). Our 4-3 projection lands above the total, but the scoring outlook is too finely balanced to make the over an official wager.

Squawka's 3-2 forecast points under, whereas bayesRatings' projected goals sum to exactly 6.5. SportsJaw members and qualified handicappers each favor Under 6.5 (-112) at 67%. Those selection shares measure preference, not the chance of an under.

The teams' recent scoring and goals-allowed averages make seven goals plausible. The lower Squawka projection and Ottawa's absences pull the other way. That tension warrants passing both directions rather than treating a single projected score as a reliable total edge.

Ottawa Senators vs Pittsburgh Penguins Projected Score & Betting Picks

Game forecast: Ottawa Senators 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 3. Ottawa's better recent results and modest advantage in both recent scoring and defending earn the winner selection. Pittsburgh's home record and Ottawa's missing personnel are the strongest reasons the prediction could fall short.

Confidence is low. The other analysts' narrow Ottawa probabilities and the opposing external consensus leave little room for certainty. The official SportsJaw wager is Pass, with both the puck line and total passed at the supplied prices.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Senators4

Penguins3

Projected winner Ottawa SenatorsConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Pass on Ottawa Senators -1.5 (+190) and Pittsburgh Penguins +1.5 (-230).

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass on Over 6.5 (-105) and Under 6.5 (-112).

Sources

  • ESPN / Data Skrive mirrorOttawa visits Pittsburgh after shootout victory
  • SquawkaSenators vs Penguins: Prediction, Odds, Team News and Goalscorer Picks
  • DimersSenators vs. Penguins Prediction, Picks & Odds
#OttawaSenators#PittsburghPenguins

Share this preview

Facebook X Reddit Email
SportsJaw logo
Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw's editorial organization researches matchup data, current odds, injuries and reporting, then validates each published preview against its listed sources and displayed markets.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Senators vs Penguins game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Senators vs Penguins matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Ottawa Senators-150 → -125Moved
  • Moneyline · Pittsburgh Penguins-113 → +110Moved
  • Spread · Ottawa Senators-1.5 (-113) → -1.5 (+185)Moved
  • Spread · Pittsburgh Penguins+1.5 (-9,900) → +1.5 (-225)Moved
  • Total · Over5.5 (-376) → 6.5 (-106)Moved
  • Total · Under5.5 (-285) → 6.5 (-114)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Ottawa Senators
12-8 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Pittsburgh Penguins
6-12 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 5-4-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-11-14T05:30:59.418Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2026-03-26Pittsburgh Penguins 4 · Ottawa Senators 3
Keep browsing

More NHL matchups

Compare predictions, consensus picks and recorded odds for other NHL games on this slate.

View all NHL games
NHLSat 7:00 PM
COL+101
MON-115
O/U6.5
NHLSat 7:00 PM
PHI+117
CLM-133
O/U5.5
NHLSat 7:00 PM
NJ-115
WAS+101
O/U6.5
NHLSat 7:00 PM
DET+188
TB-217
O/U6
NHLSat 7:00 PM
EDM-147
TOR+130
O/U6.5
NHLSat 7:00 PM
MIN-120
BOS+106
O/U6
NHLSat 8:00 PM
BUF+121
DAL-135
O/U6
NHLSat 9:00 PM
SJ+175
UTA-201
O/U6
NHLSat 10:00 PM
CAL+150
LA-170
O/U5.5
NHLSat 10:00 PM
NYI-101
ANA-113
O/U6.5