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  1. Home
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  3. Colorado Avalanche vs Montreal Canadiens
Sat 7:00 PM ET
Colorado Avalanche logo
Colorado
Avalanche
10-9
versus
Montreal Canadiens logo
Montreal
Canadiens
11-7
NHL · Colorado Avalanche at Montreal Canadiens

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Colorado vs Montreal consensus picks

Colorado Avalanche54%
46%Montreal Canadiens
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Colorado Avalanche vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction, Odds and Best Bet for Nov. 14, 2026

Game time: November 14, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET

Venue: Bell Centre — Montreal, QC

Article updated Nov 14, 10:00 AM EST

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Montreal Canadiens will beat the Colorado Avalanche 4-3 in our forecast for Nov. 14. Montreal’s stronger record and Colorado’s injury uncertainty give the Canadiens a slight advantage in an otherwise close matchup. Confidence is low, and the supplied prices offer no compelling wager: Montreal -115 requires more conviction than this forecast carries. The official SportsJaw betting recommendation is Pass.

Colorado Avalanche vs Montreal Canadiens prediction and best bet

Montreal gets the pick, with Colorado’s unsettled lineup tipping the decision. The Canadiens enter 12-3-4 against the Avalanche’s 11-6-3, according to Colorado’s official preview. Habs Eyes on the Prize reports that Nathan MacKinnon and Cale Makar left Thursday’s game with injuries, adding uncertainty to an opponent with the higher scoring average.

Other analysts are divided. Dimers selects Montreal with a 50.2% win probability, while Puckwired chooses Colorado at 51.4%. Squawka also favors the Canadiens. Those are separate forecasts, and two Montreal selections do not create a reliable betting edge.

The best bet is Pass. Montreal -115 requires a win rate of approximately 53.5% to break even, above Dimers’ estimate. Our slight preference for the Canadiens is not strong enough to justify that price, and neither the puck line nor the total offers a stronger opportunity.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Game time: Saturday, November 14, 2026, at 7:00 p.m. EST, as listed by Habs Eyes on the Prize. This is a 2026-27 NHL regular-season matchup.

Venue: Bell Centre in Montreal. Colorado’s official preview identifies this as the first of two regular-season meetings between the teams.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Records: Colorado Avalanche 10-9; Montreal Canadiens 11-7.

SportsJaw moneyline: Colorado +101; Montreal -115.

SportsJaw puck line: Colorado +1.5 (-255); Montreal -1.5 (+211).

SportsJaw total: Over 6.5 (+105); Under 6.5 (-120).

Colorado Avalanche outlook

Colorado brings substantial scoring production. Habs Eyes on the Prize lists the Avalanche at 4.05 goals per game and Artturi Lehkonen at 14 goals through 20 appearances, including 10 at five-on-five. Colorado’s official preview confirms that Lehkonen scored his 14th in Thursday’s 4-3 overtime loss at Ottawa.

The Avalanche also have encouraging November special-teams numbers. Their official preview reports an 86.4% penalty kill since November 1, sixth in the NHL, and a 30.4% November power play, ranked 10th. Those figures cover a recent stretch, so they should not be treated as full-season rates.

The personnel question remains significant. Habs Eyes on the Prize reports that MacKinnon and Makar did not finish the Ottawa game after injuries. It also reports Friday’s recall of winger Gavin Brindley, interpreting that move as a sign MacKinnon could miss this matchup. That is a possibility, not confirmation of an absence.

Montreal Canadiens outlook

Montreal comes off a 5-2 victory at Boston on Thursday. Colorado’s official preview notes that Cole Caufield scored in that win and lists him with 12 goals and 18 points, tied for the Canadiens’ team lead in points. He supplies a concrete scoring threat behind the home-team forecast.

Habs Eyes on the Prize lists Montreal at 3.42 goals per game, eighth in the league. That is a lower scoring average than Colorado’s, so the stronger record alone is not a reason to expect the Canadiens to dominate.

The same preview gives both teams a 49.2% expected-goal share. That matching figure tempers the case for a substantial Montreal advantage. The Canadiens are the narrow selection because of the overall setup, rather than a demonstrated separation in that measure.

Key matchup factors

Colorado’s availability is the biggest swing factor. This forecast gives Montreal a small benefit from the uncertainty without assuming either injured player will sit. A lineup containing both MacKinnon and Makar would strengthen the counterargument for Colorado, whose scoring average already exceeds Montreal’s.

SportsJaw’s November 14 update at 14:53 UTC shows divided moneyline sentiment. The external component favors Montreal at 74%, while SportsJaw members and qualified handicappers each favor Colorado at 60%. The blended Montreal share is 67%, up 13 percentage points from the previous day.

The strongest combined preference is Over 6.5 (+105), at 83%. Its modeled equivalent sample contains 500 Over selections and 103 Under selections, 603 combined. These are estimated selections, not observed sportsbook tickets. Neither that count nor the consensus percentage is a game probability or a measure of our forecast confidence.

Colorado Avalanche vs Montreal Canadiens spread prediction

Spread recommendation: Pass Colorado Avalanche +1.5 (-255) and Montreal Canadiens -1.5 (+211). The projected one-goal Montreal win fits Colorado’s puck line, but a plausible result is not enough to make an expensive price attractive.

Colorado +1.5 (-255) needs to cover approximately 71.8% of the time to break even. The cited straight-up models do not supply a corresponding puck-line probability, leaving that price difficult to justify.

Montreal -1.5 (+211) requires a win by at least two goals and a break-even cover rate of approximately 32.2%. The Canadiens could reach that margin, but our forecast gives them only a narrow advantage. The larger payout does not turn that possibility into the preferred wager.

Colorado Avalanche vs Montreal Canadiens total prediction

Total recommendation: Pass Over 6.5 (+105) and Under 6.5 (-120). The seven-goal projection leans toward the Over as a game outcome, while the betting decision remains Pass.

Both teams’ scoring averages give the Over a reasonable case. SportsJaw’s blended total preference also points that way, with members and qualified handicappers each backing Over 6.5 (+105) at 67%. Agreement among those groups measures preference, not the likelihood of seven goals.

Colorado’s injury uncertainty makes its offensive contribution harder to project, and its strong November penalty kill offers a possible restraint on scoring. Over +105 needs approximately 48.8% to break even; Under -120 needs approximately 54.5%. Neither threshold comes with a sufficiently persuasive probability estimate here.

Colorado Avalanche vs Montreal Canadiens Projected Score & Betting Picks

Game forecast: Montreal Canadiens 4, Colorado Avalanche 3. Montreal’s stronger record, home setting and Colorado’s personnel uncertainty earn the Canadiens the decision. Colorado’s higher scoring average and Puckwired’s opposing model selection are the strongest reasons to keep the margin narrow.

Confidence: Low. The independent models sit close to an even split, and the lineup questions could change the balance. Montreal remains the projected winner, both puck lines and both total directions remain passes at the supplied prices, and the single official SportsJaw wager is Pass.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Avalanche3

Canadiens4

Projected winner Montreal CanadiensConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Pass Colorado Avalanche +1.5 (-255) and Montreal Canadiens -1.5 (+211)

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass Over 6.5 (+105) and Under 6.5 (-120)

Sources

  • PuckwiredAvalanche vs Canadiens Prediction & Picks — Nov 14, 2026
  • SquawkaAvalanche vs Canadiens: Prediction, Odds, Team News and Goalscorer Picks
  • DimersAvalanche vs. Canadiens Prediction, Picks & Odds [11/14/2026]
#ColoradoAvalanche#MontrealCanadiens

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw's editorial organization researches matchup data, current odds, injuries and reporting, then validates each published preview against its listed sources and displayed markets.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Avalanche vs Canadiens game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Avalanche vs Canadiens matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Colorado Avalanche-133 → +110Moved
  • Moneyline · Montreal Canadiens+117 → -125Moved
  • Spread · Colorado Avalanche-1.5 (-122) → +1.5 (-225)Moved
  • Spread · Montreal Canadiens+1.5 (-733) → -1.5 (+185)Moved
  • Total · Over5.5 (-335) → 6.5 (+100)Moved
  • Total · Under5.5 (-257) → 6.5 (-120)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Colorado Avalanche
10-9 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 8-2-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Montreal Canadiens
11-7 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-11-14T15:00:03.587Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Montreal gets the pick, with Colorado’s unsettled lineup tipping the decision. The Canadiens enter 12-3-4 against the Avalanche’s 11-6-3, according to Colorado’s official preview. Habs Eyes on the Prize reports that Nathan MacKinnon and Cale Makar left Thursday’s game with injuries, adding uncertainty to an opponent with the higher scoring average.

The personnel question remains significant. Habs Eyes on the Prize reports that MacKinnon and Makar did not finish the Ottawa game after injuries. It also reports Friday’s recall of winger Gavin Brindley, interpreting that move as a sign MacKinnon could miss this matchup. That is a possibility, not confirmation of an absence.

Colorado’s availability is the biggest swing factor. This forecast gives Montreal a small benefit from the uncertainty without assuming either injured player will sit. A lineup containing both MacKinnon and Makar would strengthen the counterargument for Colorado, whose scoring average already exceeds Montreal’s.

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