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  1. Home
  2. NHL Picks
  3. Winnipeg Jets vs Dallas Stars
Thu 8:00 PM ET
Winnipeg Jets logo
Winnipeg
Jets
8-11
versus
Dallas Stars logo
Dallas
Stars
10-7
NHL · Winnipeg Jets at Dallas Stars

Your Picks on Jets vs Stars

Picks close 15 minutes before game time (ET)
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Moneyline
Total

Winnipeg vs Dallas consensus picks

Winnipeg Jets34%
66%Dallas Stars
Odds comparison

Sportsbook lines for this game

Current lines

MatchupBest availableDraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsCircaBet105BetOnlineBovadaHard RockHeritageIntertopsLowvigPinnacleSportsbettingUnibetYouWagertheScore Bet
Nov 12, 8:00 PM ETWinnipeg JetsDallas Stars
Best available+160YouWager-164Circa
DraftKings+154-185
FanDuel+150-182
BetMGM+145-175
Caesars+154-190
Circa+147-164BEST
Bet105+151-171
BetOnline+147-167
Bovada+150-175
Hard Rock+140-170
Heritage+156-172
Intertops+155-175
Lowvig+147-167
Pinnacle+151-171
Sportsbetting+147-167
Unibet+148-177
YouWager+160BEST-180
theScore Bet+145-170

Winnipeg Jets vs Dallas Stars prediction, odds and best bet for Nov. 12, 2026

Game time: November 12, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET

Venue: American Airlines Center — Dallas, TX

Article updated Nov 12, 8:13 AM EST

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Dallas Stars are our pick to beat the Winnipeg Jets, Dallas 3, Winnipeg 2, with their stronger season penalty kill providing the clearest matchup advantage. Winnipeg’s four-game winning streak keeps this a low-confidence forecast. At the supplied prices, neither the puck line nor the 5.5 total offers a convincing wager, so the official SportsJaw betting recommendation is Pass.

Winnipeg Jets vs Dallas Stars prediction and best bet

Dallas gets the winner call because its broader results and special teams offer the stronger combination. The Stars have gone 7-2-1 over their last 10 games, compared with Winnipeg’s 4-5-1. Their season penalty kill also gives them a credible answer to the power play driving the Jets’ current surge.

The best bet is Pass. A narrow Dallas victory fits the evidence, but selecting a winner is easier than finding value here. Winnipeg’s immediate improvement makes the Stars’ -1.5 puck line uncomfortable, while the cost of Winnipeg +1.5 demands more confidence in a close finish than this matchup warrants.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Date and venue: Thursday, November 12, 2026, at American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas. Winnipeg visits Dallas in this 2026-27 NHL matchup.

Start time: The official team reports disagree. Dallas lists 7:00 p.m. local time, which is Central Time; Winnipeg lists 8:00 p.m. CT. Check the confirmed start before making viewing plans.

Records and standings: Dallas is 10-5-2 with 22 points, fourth in the Central Division, and 6-4-0 at home. Winnipeg is 8-8-3 with 19 points, sixth in the division, and 3-4-2 away.

SportsJaw odds: Winnipeg Jets +1.5 (-176); Dallas Stars -1.5 (+152). Moneyline: Winnipeg Jets +152; Dallas Stars -172. Total: Over 5.5 (-120); Under 5.5 (+100).

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Winnipeg Jets outlook

Winnipeg’s official game report describes a team arriving with four consecutive victories. The latest was a 4-2 home win over New Jersey on November 10, when Dawson Mercer scored twice against his former team. The streak also includes victories over Tampa Bay and Vancouver and a four-goal comeback in Montreal.

The most useful change is on special teams. Winnipeg scored seven power-play goals in 17 opportunities during that run. Its penalty kill went 11-for-13 across the four wins and was perfect over the latest three games. Those results give the Jets a stronger immediate outlook than their overall record alone suggests.

The concern is whether that improvement carries into this matchup. Winnipeg’s season penalty kill stands at 73.7%, and its road record remains below .500. The recent recovery matters, but four games are a narrow foundation for assuming the earlier vulnerability has disappeared.

Dallas Stars outlook

Dallas brings a 27.5% power play, converting 11 of 40 opportunities, and an 89.7% penalty kill, with 52 successful kills in 58 chances. The Stars’ official guide supplies both figures. Together, they make special teams the strongest factual reason to put Dallas ahead in the forecast.

The Stars also have favorable history against this opponent: five consecutive victories over Winnipeg and nine wins in the previous 13 meetings dating to November 11, 2023. That history adds context, although it deserves less weight than the teams’ current performance.

Mikko Rantanen has recorded 11 points, including two goals and nine assists, across a five-game point streak against Winnipeg. Roope Hintz has six points during a four-game streak against the Jets. Those individual records strengthen the attacking case without telling us how many goals Dallas will score tonight.

Key matchup factors

The key question is how much weight to give Winnipeg’s recent special-teams improvement against Dallas’ stronger season rates. Winnipeg’s season power play is 23.7%, below Dallas’ 27.5%, but its current streak presents a tougher test than that comparison alone suggests. Dallas earns the forecast edge; Winnipeg supplies the strongest counterargument.

Other analysts also favor Dallas to win. Dimers assigns the Stars a 60.5% simulation win probability. AllSportData selects Dallas and lists Stars 3, Jets 2 as its most likely score. These are separate analysts’ forecasts, not established outcomes or proof of betting value. Dimers’ estimate is below the roughly 63.2% break-even rate required at Dallas -172.

SportsJaw’s November 12 consensus update at 13:07 UTC shows a split: external consensus favors Dallas at 73%, and the blended figure favors Dallas at 65%. SportsJaw members and qualified handicappers instead favor Winnipeg, each at 67%. Those selection shares are distinct from Dimers’ win probability and from our forecast confidence.

Winnipeg Jets vs Dallas Stars spread prediction

Spread recommendation: Pass on Winnipeg Jets +1.5 (-176) and Dallas Stars -1.5 (+152). Our one-goal Dallas projection favors Winnipeg’s side of the puck line, but a projected score is not a measured probability of covering.

At -176, Winnipeg +1.5 needs to succeed roughly 63.8% of the time to break even. The recent streak makes that side appealing in principle, but neither the team reports nor the cited forecasts justify assigning it that cover probability. Dallas -1.5 (+152) offers a better payout, yet asks for a winning margin beyond our central forecast. Neither price earns an official wager.

Winnipeg Jets vs Dallas Stars total prediction

Total recommendation: Pass on Over 5.5 (-120) and Under 5.5 (+100). Our projected five goals lean toward the Under, but the scoring evidence cuts both ways. Dallas’ penalty kill could contain Winnipeg’s surge; the Jets’ weaker season penalty kill gives Dallas another route to offense.

SportsJaw members and qualified handicappers each favor Under 5.5 (+100) at 100%. That unanimity reflects their selections, not a certainty about the outcome. AllSportData’s Under view concerns 6.5, a different line, and accompanies a 6.1-goal projection despite its most likely individual score being 3-2. Its total analysis therefore offers no clean endorsement of Under 5.5. Keep this market a Pass.

Winnipeg Jets vs Dallas Stars Projected Score & Betting Picks

Game forecast: Dallas Stars 3, Winnipeg Jets 2. Dallas’ stronger 10-game results and season special teams outweigh Winnipeg’s recent surge by a narrow margin. The clearest threat to that prediction is the Jets sustaining their improved penalty killing while continuing to convert power-play opportunities.

Confidence: low. Winnipeg’s four straight wins make the Dallas advantage fragile enough to resist a stronger rating. The Stars remain our selected winner, while the spread and total each remain a Pass. Official SportsJaw wager: Pass.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Jets2

Stars3

Projected winner Dallas StarsConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Pass on Winnipeg Jets +1.5 (-176) and Dallas Stars -1.5 (+152).

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass on Over 5.5 (-120) and Under 5.5 (+100).

Sources

  • Dallas Stars / NHL.comGame Day Guide: Jets vs Stars
  • Winnipeg Jets / NHL.comGAMEDAY: Jets at Stars
  • DimersJets vs. Stars Prediction, Picks & Odds
#WinnipegJets#DallasStars

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw's editorial organization researches matchup data, current odds, injuries and reporting, then validates each published preview against its listed sources and displayed markets.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Jets vs Stars game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Jets vs Stars matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Winnipeg Jets+194 → +152Moved
  • Moneyline · Dallas Stars-212 → -172Moved
  • Spread · Winnipeg Jets-1.5 (+223) → +1.5 (-176)Moved
  • Spread · Dallas Stars+1.5 (-9,900) → -1.5 (+152)Moved
  • Total · Over5.5 (-400) → 5.5 (-120)Moved
  • Total · Under5.5 (-300) → 5.5 (+100)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Winnipeg Jets
8-11 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 6-3-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Dallas Stars
10-7 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-11-12T13:13:57.163Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2026-10-22Winnipeg Jets 2 · Dallas Stars 3
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