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NHL PicksTue 7:00 PM ET
Nashville Predators logo
Nashville
Predators
1-1-0
versus
Toronto Maple Leafs logo
Toronto
Maple Leafs
1-2-0
NHL · NAS at TOR

Your Picks on Predators vs Maple Leafs

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Moneyline
Total

Nashville vs Toronto consensus picks

NAS33%
67%TOR

Nashville Predators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Predictions Today

Game time: October 6, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET

Venue: Scotiabank Arena — Toronto, ON

Article updated Oct 6, 7:26 AM EDT

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Toronto Maple Leafs will beat the Nashville Predators, Maple Leafs 3, Predators 2, in the October 6 forecast. William Nylander’s early production and contributions from several Toronto scorers give the home team a slight edge. Neither Nashville +1.5 (-190) nor the total of 6 offers a convincing betting advantage from these brief early-season results. The official recommendation is Pass.

Nashville Predators vs Toronto Maple Leafs prediction and best bet

Toronto gets the winner pick, with low confidence. Nylander has opened with two goals and three points in three games, while Morgan Rielly has supplied three assists. Those contributions give Toronto a reasonable offensive foundation for a narrow victory, although its 1-2-0 start leaves plenty of room for Nashville to challenge.

The best betting decision is Pass. Nashville’s latest victory makes a close finish plausible, but a projected one-goal margin alone is insufficient reason to pay -190 for its puck line. The forecast favors Toronto without identifying a strong price advantage in either the spread or total.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Game: Nashville Predators at Toronto Maple Leafs on October 6, 2026, in the 2026-27 NHL season.

Records: Nashville enters 1-1-0; Toronto is 1-2-0. This ends Toronto’s opening four-game homestand before a trip to Vegas, Colorado and Utah.

SportsJaw moneyline: Nashville +134; Toronto -152.

SportsJaw puck line: Nashville +1.5 (-190); Toronto -1.5 (+165). Total: Over 6 (-104), Under 6 (-110).

Projected Toronto goaltender: The October 5 lineup report named Sergei Bobrovsky as the projected starter and also listed Anthony Stolarz. Bobrovsky’s assignment was not confirmed.

Nashville Predators outlook

Nashville followed a 3-1 opening loss to Minnesota with a 2-1 victory over Dallas. Juuse Saros made 29 saves in that October 3 win. His performance was central to the result, but one strong outing should carry limited weight when forecasting another opponent.

Steven Stamkos and Nils Hoglander scored Nashville’s power-play goals against Dallas. Hoglander’s goal was his first as a Predator, while Stamkos and Roman Josi each have two points through two games. The visitors have received useful contributions from both a veteran center and a defenseman.

The concern is the small offensive return so far: three goals across two games, with both goals in the win coming on the power play. Nashville has a path to another tight result, but projecting a major scoring improvement would require a larger leap than projecting a competitive game.

Toronto Maple Leafs outlook

Toronto’s scoring contributions extend beyond Nylander. Matthews and Kirill Marchenko each have one goal through three games. Easton Cowan contributed a goal and two assists in the win over the New York Islanders, showing another potential source of offense.

The October 5 practice featured Matthews between Marchenko and Jack Roslovic, with Gavin McKenna alongside John Tavares and Nylander. Toronto made no major line changes. Those combinations describe the preparation for Nashville, rather than guaranteeing the game’s final lineup.

The Maple Leafs then lost 3-2 to Ottawa despite recording 29 shots and receiving four power plays. Those opportunities offer some encouragement, but the result also cautions against assuming Toronto will turn its scoring options into a comfortable margin.

Key matchup factors

Special teams could change the forecast quickly. Nashville’s last win depended on two power-play goals, while Toronto had four opportunities against Ottawa. That makes penalty situations relevant, but these individual games are too narrow a sample to assign either club a reliable special-teams advantage.

The consensus strongly favors Toronto. At the October 6 update of 11:13 UTC, the combined moneyline consensus stood at 85% for Toronto -152, with 510 Toronto selections in a modeled equivalent sample of 600. Toronto’s share increased two percentage points from October 5.

The combined puck-line consensus favored Toronto -1.5 (+165) at 83%. These figures describe selection support, not Toronto’s probability of winning or covering. The counts incorporate modeled sportsbook samples and SportsJaw participation; they are not observed sportsbook ticket totals.

Nashville Predators vs Toronto Maple Leafs spread prediction

Spread recommendation: Pass on Nashville +1.5 (-190) and Toronto -1.5 (+165). Nashville’s price requires more confidence in a close finish than two games can justify. Its Dallas result is encouraging, but it is a thin foundation for an expensive puck-line wager.

Toronto’s plus-money return for a two-goal victory is tempting alongside the consensus support. Still, the winner forecast is narrow and uncertain. Neither side earns an official spread recommendation merely because its payout or projected outcome looks attractive.

Nashville Predators vs Toronto Maple Leafs total prediction

Total recommendation: Pass on Over 6 (-104) and Under 6 (-110). Nashville’s first two games finished with four and three goals, and Toronto’s latest finished with five. Those results point toward a lower score but represent only a short stretch.

The five-goal projection sits below 6, yet an exact-score forecast is not a reliable estimate of how often the Under will cash. Toronto’s multiple scoring contributors and Nashville’s recent power-play finishing leave enough upside to keep this a total pass.

Nashville Predators vs Toronto Maple Leafs projected score

Game forecast: Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Nashville Predators 2. Toronto’s early offensive contributions give it the slight advantage. The strongest counterargument is Nashville’s rebound against Dallas, particularly Saros’ 29-save performance, alongside Toronto’s two losses in three games.

Confidence is low because the forecast rests on brief early-season samples and Toronto’s goaltending assignment remains a projection. The winner pick is Toronto; the single official SportsJaw betting recommendation is Pass.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

NAS2

TOR3

Projected winner Toronto Maple LeafsConfidenceSlight Lean — Nashville Predators
Pick on the Spread

Slight Lean — Nashville Predators +1.5

Editorial pick at publication: Pass on Nashville Predators +1.5 (-190) and Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5 (+165)

Pick on the Total

Slight Lean — Under 6

Editorial pick at publication: Pass on Over 6 (-104) and Under 6 (-110)

Sources

  • Fubo NewsNashville Predators at Toronto Maple Leafs - Where to Watch, Stream Info, TV Channel, and Live Updates
  • CBS SportsMaple Leafs look to finish homestand strong against Predators
  • The Leafs NationMaple Leafs’ lineup news: Gavin McKenna remains in top-six, no major changes to lines

SportsJaw Predators vs Maple Leafs game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Predators vs Maple Leafs matchups or learn how our predictions work.

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