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NHL PicksThu 9:00 PM ET
Minnesota Wild logo
Minnesota
Wild
6-2
versus
Calgary Flames logo
Calgary
Flames
2-6
NHL · Minnesota Wild at Calgary Flames

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Minnesota vs Calgary consensus picks

Minnesota Wild77%
23%Calgary Flames
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Minnesota Wild vs Calgary Flames Predictions Today

Game time: October 22, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET

Venue: Scotiabank Saddledome — Calgary, AB

Article updated Oct 22, 7:42 AM EDT

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Minnesota Wild will beat the Calgary Flames 3-2 in our forecast, with Kirill Kaprizov’s scoring production providing the strongest reason to favor Minnesota. Calgary’s extra rest and recent win keep the projected margin narrow. Neither Minnesota -1.5 (+133) nor the total of 6 offers a sufficiently clear edge for an actionable wager. The official betting recommendation is Pass.

Minnesota Wild vs Calgary Flames prediction and best bet

Minnesota gets the nod because its leading scorers bring a persuasive offensive case into this matchup. Kaprizov has 17 points in 10 games, with Matt Boldy and Joel Eriksson Ek adding meaningful production. That is enough to favor the Wild, but a two-goal victory asks more than simply identifying the likely winner.

The best betting decision is Pass. Calgary’s latest result was a home victory over Carolina, and the Flames have had more recovery time. Those factors make a close finish credible. Minnesota’s plus-money puck line is tempting, but the payout alone is no reason to expect a cover.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Game: Minnesota Wild at Calgary Flames, NHL, 2026-27 season.

Time: Thursday, October 22, 2026, at 9 p.m. ET.

Broadcast: The NHL lists SN1, MINNHL and Wild+.

Rest and recent form: Minnesota has one day of rest; Calgary has had three days off. The Flames lost six of their first eight games and enter after Sunday’s 3-2 home win over Carolina.

SportsJaw moneyline: Minnesota Wild -195; Calgary Flames +170.

SportsJaw puck line: Minnesota Wild -1.5 (+133); Calgary Flames +1.5 (-154). Total: Over 6 (+102); Under 6 (-116).

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Minnesota Wild outlook

Kaprizov’s 11 goals and six assists give Minnesota its clearest attacking asset. Boldy has five goals and four assists, while Eriksson Ek has two goals and five assists. Their contributions strengthen the Wild’s offensive outlook without requiring an assumption that Kaprizov must supply every important play.

Jesper Wallstedt’s reported numbers are encouraging: a 6-1-2 record, 2.20 goals-against average and .915 save percentage in nine starts. If he starts, that performance offers a reason to project a restrained Calgary scoring output. He is not confirmed as the starter, however, and those numbers alone cannot establish a goaltending advantage over an unidentified opponent.

Minnesota’s shorter rest is the main scheduling concern. The Wild can be the better forecast choice while still facing enough resistance to make the puck line uncomfortable.

Calgary Flames outlook

Calgary’s 3-2 win over Carolina offers a positive recent result after a difficult opening stretch. The extra rest also favors the Flames’ preparation, although neither factor guarantees that the improvement will carry into Thursday.

Through eight games, Morgan Frost has three goals and two assists, Matthew Coronato has two goals and three assists, and Joel Farabee has five assists. Those contributions give Calgary several possible routes to offense. The forecast calls for the Flames to remain competitive, with converting those contributions into goals essential to an upset.

Mikael Backlund is day to day with an upper-body injury sustained against Carolina, according to the NHL. He has one goal and one assist in eight games. His availability remains uncertain; Ben Jones could make his Flames debut if Backlund cannot play.

Key matchup factors

The central question is whether Minnesota’s scoring talent produces separation or merely a narrow lead. Calgary’s rest advantage weighs against assuming the Wild will control the game throughout. Backlund’s uncertain status adds another variable, but treating him as definitely absent would overstate Minnesota’s case.

At the October 22, 11:39 a.m. UTC update, the blended spread consensus favored Minnesota -1.5 (+133) at 78 percent. Its combined equivalent sample assigned 468 selections to Minnesota and 132 to Calgary, using modeled sportsbook participation and SportsJaw participation. Those figures describe betting preference, not observed sportsbook tickets or Minnesota’s probability of covering.

Minnesota Wild vs Calgary Flames spread prediction

Pass on Minnesota Wild -1.5 (+133) and Calgary Flames +1.5 (-154). A Minnesota Wild 3, Calgary Flames 2 forecast favors Calgary against the puck line, but a projected score is not a calibrated estimate of how often that side will cover.

Calgary’s protection against a one-goal loss comes at -154. Minnesota’s scoring threat makes a wider margin plausible, while the Flames’ rest and recent victory make laying 1.5 goals difficult to endorse. Neither price earns an official recommendation.

Minnesota Wild vs Calgary Flames total prediction

Pass on Over 6 (+102) and Under 6 (-116). The five-goal projection points toward the Under, but confidence in that direction is limited by unsettled goaltending and Minnesota’s scoring potential.

The betting signals also differ. SportsJaw members favor Under 6 (-116) at 67 percent, as do qualified handicappers. The sportsbook split favors Over 6 (+102) at 62 percent, with the blended Over share at 57 percent. The reported day-over-day change is three percentage points toward Under 6. These are distinct measures of preference, not independent guarantees of value.

Minnesota Wild vs Calgary Flames projected score

Game forecast: Minnesota Wild 3, Calgary Flames 2. Kaprizov’s production and the contributions from Boldy and Eriksson Ek put Minnesota ahead in the forecast. Calgary’s extra rest and recent home win are the strongest counterarguments.

Confidence is low because the expected margin is narrow and the starting-goaltender picture remains unsettled. Minnesota is the projected winner; both the puck line and total are passes. The single official SportsJaw betting recommendation is Pass.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Wild3

Flames2

Projected winner Minnesota WildConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Pass on Minnesota Wild -1.5 (+133) and Calgary Flames +1.5 (-154)

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass on Over 6 (+102) and Under 6 (-116)

Sources

  • WSKO-AMWild’s top line likely to test Flames at both ends
  • NHL.comNHL Status Report: Sanderson returns for Senators against Panthers

SportsJaw Wild vs Flames game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Wild vs Flames matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Crowd vs qualified handicappers

Moneyline crowd
Minnesota Wild -196 · 100%
Moneyline qualified handicappers
Insufficient qualified picks
Total crowd
Under 6 (-110) · 67%
Total qualified handicappers
Under 6 (-110) · 67%
Qualified handicappers need at least 20 graded picks and a 52.5% win rate. A market needs at least three current qualified picks. Selection share is not a win probability.

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Minnesota Wild-178 → -196Moved
  • Moneyline · Calgary Flames+178 → +171Moved
  • Spread · Minnesota Wild-1.5 (+117) → -1.5 (+130)Moved
  • Spread · Calgary Flames+1.5 (-156) → +1.5 (-150)Moved
  • Total · Over6.5 (-104) → 6 (-106)Moved
  • Total · Under6.5 (-156) → 6 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Minnesota Wild
6-2 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 3-6-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Calgary Flames
2-6 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 4-5-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-10-22T11:42:59.332Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Mikael Backlund is day to day with an upper-body injury sustained against Carolina, according to the NHL. He has one goal and one assist in eight games. His availability remains uncertain; Ben Jones could make his Flames debut if Backlund cannot play.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

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