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  3. Detroit Red Wings vs Montreal Canadiens
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NHL · Detroit Red Wings at Montreal Canadiens

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Detroit Red Wings vs Montreal Canadiens prediction, odds and best bet for Oct. 10

Game time: October 10, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET

Venue: Bell Centre — Montreal, QC

Article updated Oct 10, 10:11 AM EDT

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Montreal Canadiens will beat the Detroit Red Wings 4-3 in our Oct. 10 forecast, with Nick Suzuki’s seven points through four games providing the strongest offensive reason to favor Montreal. Both teams enter after losses despite substantial shot advantages, and uncertainty in goal makes the edge fragile. Neither the supplied puck line nor total offers a convincing wager; the official recommendation is Pass.

Detroit Red Wings vs Montreal Canadiens prediction and best bet

Montreal is the pick to win, but this is a low-confidence forecast. Suzuki’s early production gives the Canadiens a persuasive attacking focal point against a Detroit team preparing to give Daniil Tarasov his first Red Wings start. Montreal’s own recent results keep that advantage modest.

The best betting decision is Pass. Detroit +1.5 (-135) fits a projected one-goal finish, but that alone is insufficient reason to pay the price. Montreal -1.5 (+115) requires more separation than the forecast anticipates. The total deserves a separate assessment because unsettled goaltending adds uncertainty without guaranteeing seven goals.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Date and venue: Saturday, Oct. 10, 2026, at Bell Centre in Montreal. Detroit visits Montreal for the first of four meetings in the 2026-27 NHL regular season.

Recent form: Montreal enters on a three-game skid, going 0-2-1, and has lost its two most recent home games. Detroit lost to Seattle on Oct. 9.

Starting goaltender: Tarasov is scheduled to start for Detroit. Montreal’s game-day report said its official lineup would follow closer to puck drop.

SportsJaw odds: Detroit Red Wings +1.5 (-151); Montreal Canadiens -1.5 (+131). Moneyline: Detroit Red Wings +157; Montreal Canadiens -182. Total: Over 6.5 (+100); Under 6.5 (-119).

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Detroit Red Wings outlook

Detroit’s 6-3 loss to Seattle contained an encouraging offensive detail: a 40-24 advantage in shots. The result also showed why shot volume cannot carry the forecast by itself. John Gibson allowed five goals on 15 shots before being pulled, leaving Detroit chasing a game it ultimately lost by three.

Tarasov stopped eight of nine shots in relief. His scheduled start offers a change in goal, but nine shots are too small a sample to treat as proof of a lasting improvement. He also appeared on Oct. 9, so this is a quick turnaround for him as well as his team.

Viktor Arvidsson entered Oct. 10 with a team-leading three goals, all on the power play. Rookie Michael Brandsegg-Nygard scored his first NHL goal against Seattle after contributing a second-period assist. Those contributions give Detroit offensive routes beyond simply hoping for better goaltending.

Montreal Canadiens outlook

Montreal’s latest defeat followed a different sequence. The Canadiens built a 2-0 lead against Nashville on Oct. 8, then conceded five consecutive goals in a 5-2 loss despite outshooting the Predators 33-20. Protecting an advantage is an obvious concern heading into this matchup.

Suzuki had three goals and four assists through four games. His production is the strongest individual reason to expect Montreal to respond, although one productive scorer cannot erase the defensive and goaltending questions raised by that Nashville result.

Samuel Montembeault is expected to miss 10 to 14 days with a lower-body injury. Jacob Fowler made 15 saves in the Nashville loss after being recalled from Laval. That recent appearance should not be treated as confirmation that Fowler will start against Detroit.

Key matchup factors

Both clubs generated more shots than their opponents in their latest losses. That keeps offensive potential in the forecast, but shot totals alone say little about chance quality. The key judgment is how much either team can improve its goals allowed without surrendering that attacking volume.

Detroit won two of three meetings in 2025-26, including a 4-0 victory in Montreal. That history is a useful counterweight to the Canadiens’ favorite status, though it carries less weight than the current personnel and recent performances.

At 14:04 UTC on Oct. 10, the blended consensus favored Under 6.5 (-120) at 82%, up 32 percentage points from Oct. 9. Its combined equivalent sample allocated 492 of 600 selections to Under; those are modeled counts, not observed sportsbook tickets. The spread consensus favored Montreal -1.5 (+126) at 75%. That consensus price differs from the supplied wagering price of Montreal -1.5 (+115).

Detroit Red Wings vs Montreal Canadiens spread prediction

Spread recommendation: Pass on Detroit +1.5 (-135) and Montreal -1.5 (+115). Detroit’s shot production and Montreal’s recent difficulty holding a lead make taking the goal and a half tempting. Still, Detroit just lost by three despite a substantial shot advantage, which cautions against assuming a close finish.

The Montreal spread consensus points toward a comfortable home win, but it is a sentiment measure rather than a cover probability. With uncertainty around both creases, neither price presents a sufficiently clear edge.

Detroit Red Wings vs Montreal Canadiens total prediction

Total recommendation: Pass on Over 6.5 (+100) and Under 6.5 (-120). Recent goals allowed and Montembeault’s absence create an understandable Over case. The 4-3 projection also lands above the line, but a single projected score is not a reliable measure of how often seven goals will occur.

The strong Under consensus supplies a competing signal, not independent proof of a low-scoring game. Neither the recent high-scoring losses nor the consensus percentage warrants an official total wager.

Detroit Red Wings vs Montreal Canadiens Projected Score & Betting Picks

Game forecast: Montreal Canadiens 4, Detroit Red Wings 3. Suzuki’s early offense tips the winner selection toward Montreal. The strongest counterargument is the Canadiens’ three-game skid and their vulnerability after taking a two-goal lead against Nashville.

Confidence is low. Detroit has enough attacking evidence to threaten an upset, while Montreal’s goaltending situation limits conviction in the favorite. The single official SportsJaw betting recommendation is Pass.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Red Wings3

Canadiens4

Projected winner Montreal CanadiensConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Pass on Detroit Red Wings +1.5 (-135) and Montreal Canadiens -1.5 (+115)

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass on Over 6.5 (+100) and Under 6.5 (-120)

Sources

  • CBS Sports / Field Level MediaCanadiens look to snap three-game skid vs. Red Wings
  • Montréal CanadiensDET@MTL: What you need to know
#DetroitRedWings#MontrealCanadiens

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw's editorial organization researches matchup data, current odds, injuries and reporting, then validates each published preview against its listed sources and displayed markets.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Red Wings vs Canadiens game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Red Wings vs Canadiens matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Detroit Red Wings+160 → +157Moved
  • Moneyline · Montreal Canadiens-160 → -182Moved
  • Spread · Detroit Red Wings+1.5 (-194) → +1.5 (-151)Moved
  • Spread · Montreal Canadiens-1.5 (+122) → -1.5 (+131)Moved
  • Total · Over6.5 (-108) → 6.5 (+100)Moved
  • Total · Under6.5 (-133) → 6.5 (-119)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Detroit Red Wings
1-3 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Montreal Canadiens
0-3 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-10-10T14:11:04.848Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Samuel Montembeault is expected to miss 10 to 14 days with a lower-body injury. Jacob Fowler made 15 saves in the Nashville loss after being recalled from Laval. That recent appearance should not be treated as confirmation that Fowler will start against Detroit.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2026-03-19Montreal Canadiens 1 · Detroit Red Wings 3
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Montreal Canadiens defeated Detroit Red Wings 1-0

Montreal Canadiens defeated Detroit Red Wings 1-0 on October 10, 2026, a 1-goal decision in the series. Montreal Canadiens' strongest period was the overtime, when it outscored its opponent 1-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Detroit Red Wings +1.5 (-151) spread, Detroit Red Wings covered, while the 1 combined goal finished under the recorded total of 6.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerMontreal CanadiensWin
  • SpreadPass on Detroit Red Wings +1.5 (-135) and Montreal Canadiens -1.5 (+115)Pass
  • TotalPass on Over 6.5 (+100) and Under 6.5 (-120)Pass

Tipster picks

No graded public tipster picks were recorded for this matchup.