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  3. Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins
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NHL · Tampa Bay Lightning at Pittsburgh Penguins

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Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: January 12, 2025 at 5:00 PM ET

Venue: PPG Paints Arena — Pittsburgh, PA

Article updated Jan 12, 6:15 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Tampa Bay Lightning (22-15-2, 46 points, 3rd Atlantic) will face the Pittsburgh Penguins (18-17-8, 44 points, T-4th Metro) in Pittsburgh on Sunday, with both teams

Game outlook

The Tampa Bay Lightning (22-15-2, 46 points, 3rd Atlantic) will face the Pittsburgh Penguins (18-17-8, 44 points, T-4th Metro) in Pittsburgh on Sunday, with both teams completing back-to-back games. Tampa Bay is coming off a 4-1 win against the Boston Bruins, while Pittsburgh snapped a four-game losing streak with a 5-3 victory over the Edmonton Oilers. The Lightning trail first-place Toronto by 10 points in the Atlantic division, while the Penguins are tied with Columbus for the final wildcard spot in the Eastern Conference. Tampa Bay will be without Janis Moser, while Pittsburgh will be missing Philip Tomasino and Evgeni Malkin is day-to-day. The Lightning are the betting favorite in this matchup, opening at -147.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Lightning -147 | Penguins +130

Spread: Lightning -1.5 (+163) | Penguins +1.5 (-193)

Total: Over/Under 6.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Tampa Bay will win straight-up is 60%.

Tampa Bay Lightning

The Tampa Bay Lightning are currently excelling in the NHL, ranking first in goal-for and ninth in goals-against. They average 28.5 shots per game and have a strong power play, scoring 26.5% of the time they have a man advantage. Leading goal scorer Brayden Point has 25 goals, while Nikita Kucherov leads in assists and points. The team has seven players with 22 or more points, showcasing their depth. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy has a solid record of 18-12-1 with a 2.36 goals-against average and two shutouts. With impressive statistics, a power ranking of 3, and a record of 22-15-2, the Tampa Bay Lightning continue to dominate in the NHL.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Pittsburgh Penguins Analysis

The Pittsburgh Penguins currently have a power ranking of 10 and are facing some challenges in their offensive and defensive performances. They are ranked 18th for offense, scoring an average of 3.05 goals per game, and 32nd for defense, giving up an average of 3.71 goals per game. Despite these difficulties, the Penguins have an overall record of 5-6. In their last three matchups against Tampa Bay, Pittsburgh went 1-1-1. The team's leading goal scorer is Rickard Rakell with 21 goals, followed by Bryan Rust with 16 goals. Sidney Crosby leads in assists with 35 and points with 47. The Penguins have seven players with 22 or more points. Goalie Tristan Jarry has a record of 8-6-4 with a 3.43 GAA and .889 SV%, and has not yet achieved a shutout this season. For expert guidance and analysis during this NHL season, consider selecting our top Hockey handicappers.

Tampa Bay Dominates Pittsburgh with Superior Offense and Defense

Tampa Bay demonstrates superior performance on both offense and defense compared to Pittsburgh. The Lightning lead the league in goals-for average at 3.7 and possess the fifth-best power play in the NHL. Defensively, Tampa Bay ranks 9th in goals-against average at 2.7 and boasts the 9th best penalty kill unit. Conversely, Pittsburgh ranks 14th in goals-for average at 3.1 and fourth on the power play. Defensively, the Penguins rank last in the NHL in goals-against at 3.6 and are only 16th on the penalty kill. Tampa Bay has won four of the last five games against Eastern Conference opponents, while Pittsburgh has lost four of its last five games overall. Lightning goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy, with a 2.36 goals-against average and a .916 save percentage, played a key role in their recent victory over Pittsburgh.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#TampaBayLightning#PittsburghPenguins

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Lightning vs Penguins archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Lightning vs Penguins matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Tampa Bay Lightning-147 → -150Moved
  • Moneyline · Pittsburgh Penguins+130 → +130Unchanged
  • Spread · Tampa Bay Lightning-1.5 (+163) → -1.5 (+160)Moved
  • Spread · Pittsburgh Penguins+1.5 (-193) → +1.5 (-190)Moved
  • Total · Over6.5 (-110) → 6.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under6.5 (-110) → 6.5 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

Tampa Bay Lightning
7-3 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 2-7-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Pittsburgh Penguins
5-6 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2025-01-12T11:15:59.629Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-11-19Tampa Bay Lightning 3 · Pittsburgh Penguins 2
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Tampa Bay Lightning defeated Pittsburgh Penguins 5-2

Tampa Bay Lightning defeated Pittsburgh Penguins 5-2 on January 12, 2025, a 3-goal decision in the series. Tampa Bay Lightning's strongest period was the 2nd period, when it outscored its opponent 2-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5 (+160) spread, Tampa Bay Lightning covered, while the 7 combined goals finished over the recorded total of 6.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • Mickey619Moneyline · Pittsburgh Penguins +130Loss
  • BjenkinsMoneyline · Tampa Bay Lightning +130Win
  • DemarcusBryantMoneyline · Tampa Bay Lightning -147Win
  • BooksworstnightmareMoneyline · Tampa Bay Lightning -145Win
  • CoolioMoneyline · Pittsburgh Penguins +127Loss
  • CoolioTotal · Over 6.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkMoneyline · Pittsburgh Penguins +127Loss
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 6.5 (-110)Win