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  3. Philadelphia Eagles vs Chicago Bears
Mon 8:15 PM ET
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Philadelphia Eagles vs Chicago Bears prediction: Eagles 23, Bears 20

Game time: September 28, 2026 at 8:15 PM ET

Venue: Soldier Field — Chicago, IL

Article updated Sep 28, 7:04 AM EDT

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

Philadelphia will beat Chicago, Eagles 23, Bears 20, with Caleb Williams’ absence and the Eagles’ better early penalty record providing the strongest matchup reasons. Chicago’s rushing production makes a close finish plausible, while Philadelphia has injuries of its own. Neither Eagles -3.5 (-115) nor the 41.5 total offers a convincing betting edge at the supplied prices. The official recommendation is Pass.

Philadelphia Eagles vs Chicago Bears prediction and best bet

Philadelphia gets the nod because Chicago must replace Williams while trying to clean up a substantial early penalty problem. Those disadvantages favor the Eagles in a close game, particularly if the Bears need to sustain a late scoring drive. They do not make Philadelphia an automatic bet beyond a field goal.

Chicago’s running game is the main reason to keep the forecast tight. The Bears have demonstrated substantial rushing production, and Philadelphia is missing several offensive players. Eagles 23, Bears 20 is the forecast, with low confidence. The best betting decision is Pass: the spread asks for more separation than this projection, and the total has credible arguments in both directions.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Time: Monday, September 28, 2026, at 8:15 p.m. ET, NFL Week 3.

Venue: Soldier Field, Chicago, Illinois.

Broadcast: ABC, ESPN and NFL+.

Records: Philadelphia Eagles 2-0; Chicago Bears 1-1.

Chicago quarterback: Williams is out. Tyson Bagent cleared concussion protocol; the team named Bagent or Case Keenum as replacement options.

SportsJaw odds: Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 (-105); Chicago Bears +3.5 (-115). Moneyline: Philadelphia Eagles -190; Chicago Bears +165. Total: Over 42.5 (-110); Under 42.5 (-110).

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Philadelphia Eagles outlook

Philadelphia’s 2-0 start includes a win at Tennessee despite finishing minus-two in turnovers. That is an encouraging result, but another turnover deficit would make covering a road spread more difficult. The takeaway for this matchup is straightforward: Philadelphia has already survived a costly possession imbalance, yet Chicago would welcome those extra opportunities.

The Eagles’ penalty record offers a more favorable comparison. They entered tied for third in the NFL at 4.5 penalties per game, against Chicago’s 10. If that difference carries into Monday, Philadelphia could benefit from fewer interrupted drives and fewer free opportunities for the opposing offense. Two games remain a small sample, so the gap deserves weight without becoming a guarantee.

There are meaningful personnel limitations. Wide receiver Hollywood Brown, tight end Dallas Goedert and tackle Fred Johnson are out. Johnny Mundt and E.J. Jenkins are the remaining tight ends identified in the team preview. Linebacker Jonathan Greenard is questionable.

Saquon Barkley, Tank Bigsby, Jalen Carter, Andrew Mukuba, DeVonta Smith and Tyler Steen were available after full participation. Those updates temper the injury concerns, but they do not erase the missing players or justify projecting an easy offensive night.

Chicago Bears outlook

Williams’ hamstring injury changes Chicago’s outlook. He was hurt in the fourth quarter against Minnesota, missed the practice week and was ruled out. The Bears identified Bagent or Keenum as the replacement; neither had started an NFL regular-season game since 2023. That leaves a substantial uncertainty at quarterback rather than a measured decline that can be translated directly into points.

Bagent also suffered a concussion against Minnesota and missed Wednesday and Friday practices. The September 27 Eagles update subsequently reported that he had cleared the protocol and was available. That improves Chicago’s options, though availability alone is not confirmation of the starting assignment.

The rushing evidence is more concrete. Chicago gained 291 yards on the ground in its Week 1 victory over Carolina. D’Andre Swift entered this matchup with 169 rushing yards and Kyle Monangai with 147. Williams also had 107 rushing yards before his absence, so the quarterback change affects the running threat as well.

Chicago’s route to an upset is to turn that backfield production into manageable situations for its replacement quarterback. Penalties could undermine that plan. Defensive lineman Shemar Turner and linebacker Noah Sewell are also out, adding personnel concerns beyond the offense.

Key matchup factors

Chicago’s pass rush is another swing factor. The Eagles’ preview described it as inconsistent through two games, but Montez Sweat had nine tackles for loss and five sacks in 10 career meetings with Philadelphia. That history supplies a counterargument to assuming the Eagles will operate comfortably, especially with offensive absences.

SportsJaw’s September 28 consensus favored Philadelphia -3.5 (-115) at 70% in the blend, compared with 52% among members and 51% among qualified handicappers. The combined modeled equivalent sample was 484 Philadelphia selections to 208 Chicago selections, not observed sportsbook ticket totals. Those figures describe preference, not Philadelphia’s chance of winning or covering, and the narrower member and handicapper margins deserve attention.

Philadelphia Eagles vs Chicago Bears spread prediction

Pass on Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 (-115) and Chicago Bears +3.5 (-105). The projected three-point Philadelphia win falls on Chicago’s side of the spread, but the forecast is too fragile to turn that narrow distinction into an official wager.

A separate September 28, 06:11 UTC betting snapshot reported 77% of spread tickets and 72% of spread money on Philadelphia. Popularity is not proof that the Eagles are overpriced. Williams’ absence supplies a football reason for that support, while Chicago’s rushing production supplies a reason to hesitate before laying more than three.

Philadelphia Eagles vs Chicago Bears total prediction

Pass on Over 41.5 (-110) and Under 41.5 (-110). The projected 43 points sit slightly above the total, but that modest difference offers little protection against uncertainty surrounding Chicago’s offense. A rushing emphasis could limit possessions or sustain productive scoring drives.

The consensus is divided: SportsJaw members favored Under at 55%, qualified handicappers favored Under at 57%, and the blend favored Over at 58%. Those preferences are not scoring probabilities. Philadelphia’s offensive absences strengthen the Under argument, while turnovers or successful Chicago rushing could push the game above the number.

Philadelphia Eagles vs Chicago Bears Projected Score & Betting Picks

The game forecast is Eagles 23, Bears 20. Philadelphia’s cleaner early penalty record and Chicago’s forced quarterback change give the Eagles a slight advantage. The projection allows the Bears’ rushing game to keep them competitive without assuming a particular backup will start or assigning him an unsupported level of production.

The strongest counterargument is that Chicago runs effectively enough to ease its quarterback’s workload while Philadelphia’s injuries and another turnover deficit stall the visitors. That scenario keeps confidence low. Philadelphia remains the predicted winner, but neither spread side nor either direction on 41.5 carries a persuasive edge at the supplied prices. The single official SportsJaw betting recommendation is Pass.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Eagles23

Bears20

Projected winner Philadelphia EaglesConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Pass: Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 (-115) and Chicago Bears +3.5 (-105)

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass (article line changed)

Sources

  • Philadelphia EaglesSpadaro: Game Preview at Bears, 6 storylines to follow
  • Chicago BearsInjury Update: Bears rule out Caleb Williams, will start Tyson Bagent or Case Keenum vs. Eagles
  • Philadelphia EaglesEagles at Bears Injury Report
#PhiladelphiaEagles#ChicagoBears

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw's editorial organization researches matchup data, current odds, injuries and reporting, then validates each published preview against its listed sources and displayed markets.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Eagles vs Bears game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Eagles vs Bears matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Philadelphia Eagles-102 → -190Moved
  • Moneyline · Chicago Bears-118 → +165Moved
  • Spread · Philadelphia Eagles+1.5 (-115) → -3.5 (-105)Moved
  • Spread · Chicago Bears-1.5 (-105) → +3.5 (-115)Moved
  • Total · Over46.5 (-110) → 42.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under46.5 (-110) → 42.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Philadelphia Eagles
2-0 matchup record · 3-7-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Chicago Bears
1-1 matchup record · 6-3-1 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-09-21T11:10:59.937Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

There are meaningful personnel limitations. Wide receiver Hollywood Brown, tight end Dallas Goedert and tackle Fred Johnson are out. Johnny Mundt and E.J. Jenkins are the remaining tight ends identified in the team preview. Linebacker Jonathan Greenard is questionable.

Saquon Barkley, Tank Bigsby, Jalen Carter, Andrew Mukuba, DeVonta Smith and Tyler Steen were available after full participation. Those updates temper the injury concerns, but they do not erase the missing players or justify projecting an easy offensive night.

Williams’ hamstring injury changes Chicago’s outlook. He was hurt in the fourth quarter against Minnesota, missed the practice week and was ruled out. The Bears identified Bagent or Keenum as the replacement; neither had started an NFL regular-season game since 2023. That leaves a substantial uncertainty at quarterback rather than a measured decline that can be translated directly into points.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2025-11-28Chicago Bears 24 · Philadelphia Eagles 15
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Chicago Bears defeated Philadelphia Eagles 27-7

Chicago Bears defeated Philadelphia Eagles 27-7 on September 28, 2026, a 20-point decision in the series. Chicago Bears' strongest period was the 3rd quarter, when it outscored its opponent 10-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 (-105) spread, Chicago Bears covered, while the 34 combined points finished under the recorded total of 42.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerPhiladelphia EaglesLoss
  • SpreadPass: Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 (-115) and Chicago Bears +3.5 (-105)Pass
  • TotalPass: Over 41.5 (-110) and Under 41.5 (-110)Pass

Tipster picks

  • DtownsendSpread · Chicago Bears +4.5 (-105)Win
  • MaddogSpread · Chicago Bears +4.5 (-105)Win
  • MaddogTotal · Under 41 (-110)Win
  • JtmcentireSpread · Philadelphia Eagles -4.5 (-115)Loss
  • JtmcentireTotal · Over 41 (-110)Loss
  • TphamTotal · Under 41 (-110)Win
  • TphamSpread · Chicago Bears +4.5 (-105)Win
  • JeffjacksonSpread · Chicago Bears +4.5 (-105)Win
  • HitmanhartSpread · Philadelphia Eagles -4.5 (-115)Loss
  • PremierPicksTotal · Over 41 (-110)Loss
  • PeytoncSpread · Philadelphia Eagles -4.5 (-115)Loss
  • JamescashiolaTotal · Under 41 (-110)Win
  • TgodfreyTotal · Over 41 (-110)Loss
  • FlyigglesflyTotal · Under 41 (-110)Win
  • UncledavidSpread · Chicago Bears +4.5 (-105)Win
  • GsimmsTotal · Over 41 (-110)Loss
  • GeorgewSpread · Philadelphia Eagles -4.5 (-115)Loss
  • MtgoldsteinSpread · Philadelphia Eagles -4.5 (-115)Loss
  • IroncladlocksSpread · Chicago Bears +4.5 (-105)Win
  • MikehuffSpread · Chicago Bears +4.5 (-105)Win
  • BillywatersTotal · Under 41 (-110)Win
  • StevedSpread · Chicago Bears +4.5 (-105)Win
  • MbcSpread · Chicago Bears +4.5 (-105)Win
  • MbcTotal · Over 41 (-110)Loss
  • GustavosintoTotal · Over 41 (-110)Loss
  • Roderick806Spread · Chicago Bears -4.5 (-115)Win
  • JoeyBergSpread · Philadelphia Eagles -4.5 (-115)Loss
  • RainmanSpread · Chicago Bears +4.5 (-105)Win
  • BluedevilSpread · Chicago Bears +4.5 (-105)Win
  • BluedevilTotal · Under 41 (-110)Win
  • Hustle$Total · Under 41 (-110)Win
  • MoneymouthTotal · Over 41 (-110)Loss
  • MoneymouthSpread · Philadelphia Eagles -4.5 (-115)Loss
  • JeffjacksonTotal · Under 41 (-110)Win
  • HitmanhartTotal · Under 41 (-110)Win
  • StevedTotal · Over 41 (-110)Loss
  • Hustle$Spread · Chicago Bears +4.5 (-110)Win
  • AveragejoeSpread · Chicago Bears +4.5 (-110)Win
  • ThinkmakegrowSpread · Philadelphia Eagles -4.5 (-110)Loss
  • RcTotal · Under 41 (-110)Win
  • AveragejoeTotal · Under 41 (-110)Win
  • SfdanTotal · Under 41 (-110)Win
  • ThinkmakegrowTotal · Under 41 (-110)Win
  • StevehSpread · Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 (-105)Loss
  • Tbone91Spread · Chicago Bears +3.5 (-115)Win
  • StevehTotal · Under 42 (-110)Win
  • Amp2224Moneyline · Philadelphia Eagles -181Loss
  • WarbuczTotal · Over 42 (-110)Loss
  • Tbone91Total · Over 42 (-110)Loss
  • Teddy718Total · Over 42 (-110)Loss
  • Sammy52Spread · Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 (-115)Loss
  • Philly267Total · Under 41.5 (-110)Win
  • MrpinkTotal · Over 41.5 (-108)Loss
  • VegaspatTotal · Under 41.5 (-110)Win
  • HopkinspicksTotal · Over 41.5 (-108)Loss
  • Drew_WestcottTotal · Under 41.5 (-110)Win
  • Mickey619Spread · Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 (-115)Loss
  • BjenkinsSpread · Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 (-115)Loss
  • JohnmiznerTotal · Under 41.5 (-110)Win
  • Randy54Total · Over 41.5 (-108)Loss
  • SimonsaysSpread · Chicago Bears +3.5 (-105)Win
  • EljefeTotal · Over 41.5 (-108)Loss
  • GeauxtigersTotal · Over 41.5 (-108)Loss
  • RainmanTotal · Under 41.5 (-110)Win
  • AdrianMariucciSpread · Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 (-115)Loss
  • DoclocksTotal · Under 41.5 (-110)Win
  • BadmanTotal · Under 41.5 (-110)Win
  • CovergirlSpread · Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 (-115)Loss
  • BrycetTotal · Under 41.5 (-110)Win
  • BookieslayerTotal · Under 41.5 (-110)Win
  • Novacek84Total · Over 41.5 (-110)Loss
  • 72dolphinsTotal · Under 41.5 (-110)Win
  • DengWinsTotal · Under 41.5 (-110)Win
  • RcollinsTotal · Over 41.5 (-110)Loss
  • JwTotal · Over 41.5 (-110)Loss
  • JohnnywalkerTotal · Over 41.5 (-110)Loss
  • TweiskoffTotal · Over 41.5 (-110)Loss
  • ThehitmanSpread · Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 (-115)Loss
  • JackCohenTotal · Over 41.5 (-110)Loss
  • MrmisterTotal · Over 41.5 (-110)Loss
  • EmcTotal · Under 41.5 (-110)Win
  • KingjamesTotal · Under 41.5 (-110)Win
  • MookiebetsTotal · Under 41.5 (-110)Win
  • Josh720Total · Over 41.5 (-110)Loss
  • RoycejacobsTotal · Over 41.5 (-110)Loss
  • IrishblueTotal · Over 41.5 (-110)Loss
  • SwamipicksSpread · Chicago Bears +3.5 (-105)Win
  • Altuve27Spread · Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 (-115)Loss
  • KryptonSpread · Chicago Bears +3.5 (-105)Win
  • KryptonTotal · Over 41.5 (-110)Loss
  • CovergirlTotal · Over 41.5 (-110)Loss
  • 1188460207Total · Under 41.5 (-110)Win
  • 1188460207Spread · Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 (-115)Loss
  • DpxsportsTotal · Over 41.5 (-110)Loss
  • DpxsportsSpread · Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 (-115)Loss
  • VfernandezSpread · Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 (-115)Loss
  • VfernandezTotal · Under 41.5 (-110)Win
  • MiamimikeSpread · Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 (-115)Loss
  • MiamimikeTotal · Under 41.5 (-110)Win
  • BrycetSpread · Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 (-115)Loss
  • 1735203231Spread · Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 (-115)Loss
  • Joem81Total · Under 41.5 (-110)Win
  • Joem81Spread · Chicago Bears +3.5 (-105)Win
  • BookieslayerSpread · Chicago Bears +3.5 (-105)Win
  • Novacek84Spread · Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 (-115)Loss
  • DrfeelgoodTotal · Over 41.5 (-110)Loss
  • DrfeelgoodSpread · Chicago Bears +3.5 (-105)Win
  • Steve512Total · Under 41.5 (-110)Win
  • Steve512Spread · Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 (-115)Loss
  • Philly267Spread · Chicago Bears +3.5 (-105)Win
  • MrpinkSpread · Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 (-115)Loss
  • WarbuczSpread · Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 (-115)Loss
  • JaredkuntzTotal · Under 41.5 (-110)Win
  • JaredkuntzSpread · Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 (-115)Loss
  • 72dolphinsSpread · Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 (-115)Loss
  • DengWinsSpread · Chicago Bears +3.5 (-105)Win
  • DerekFisherTotal · Under 41.5 (-110)Win
  • DerekFisherSpread · Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 (-115)Loss
  • Fisher49Spread · Chicago Bears +3.5 (-105)Win
  • Fisher49Total · Under 41.5 (-110)Win
  • Sarah_MillerTotal · Under 41.5 (-110)Win
  • Sarah_MillerSpread · Chicago Bears +3.5 (-105)Win
  • Drew_WestcottSpread · Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 (-115)Loss
  • RcollinsSpread · Chicago Bears +3.5 (-105)Win
  • JwSpread · Chicago Bears +3.5 (-105)Win
  • JohnnywalkerSpread · Chicago Bears +3.5 (-105)Win
  • Kentc_Spread · Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 (-115)Loss
  • Kentc_Total · Over 41.5 (-110)Loss
  • JoeThomasTotal · Under 41.5 (-110)Win
  • JoeThomasSpread · Chicago Bears +3.5 (-105)Win
  • BjenkinsTotal · Under 41.5 (-110)Win
  • MackintoshTotal · Under 41.5 (-110)Win
  • MackintoshSpread · Chicago Bears +3.5 (-105)Win
  • Randy54Spread · Chicago Bears +3.5 (-105)Win
  • DemarcusBryantTotal · Over 41.5 (-110)Loss
  • DemarcusBryantSpread · Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 (-115)Loss
  • ThetotalerTotal · Over 41.5 (-110)Loss
  • ThetotalerSpread · Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 (-115)Loss
  • MikeVargasSpread · Chicago Bears +3.5 (-105)Win
  • MikeVargasTotal · Over 41.5 (-110)Loss
  • GsimmsSpread · Chicago Bears +3.5 (-105)Win
  • 1118240754Spread · Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 (-115)Loss
  • TweiskoffSpread · Chicago Bears +3.5 (-105)Win
  • Lockpicker69Spread · Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 (-115)Loss
  • Lockpicker69Total · Over 41.5 (-110)Loss
  • MickeytTotal · Under 41.5 (-110)Win
  • MickeytSpread · Chicago Bears +3.5 (-105)Win
  • ThehitmanTotal · Under 41.5 (-110)Win
  • JackCohenSpread · Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 (-115)Loss
  • JtphamSpread · Chicago Bears +3.5 (-105)Win
  • JtphamTotal · Over 41.5 (-110)Loss
  • Teddy718Spread · Chicago Bears +3.5 (-105)Win
  • DrpaulTotal · Under 41.5 (-110)Win
  • DrpaulSpread · Chicago Bears +3.5 (-105)Win
  • MrmisterSpread · Chicago Bears +3.5 (-105)Win
  • SimonsaysTotal · Under 41.5 (-110)Win
  • SfdanSpread · Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 (-115)Loss
  • Barry713Total · Under 41.5 (-110)Win
  • Barry713Spread · Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 (-115)Loss
  • GustavosintoSpread · Chicago Bears +3.5 (-105)Win
  • EljefeSpread · Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 (-115)Loss
  • EmcSpread · Chicago Bears +3.5 (-105)Win
  • GeauxtigersSpread · Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 (-115)Loss
  • KingjamesSpread · Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 (-115)Loss
  • MookiebetsSpread · Chicago Bears +3.5 (-105)Win
  • Josh720Spread · Chicago Bears +3.5 (-105)Win
  • 1707662905Spread · Chicago Bears +3.5 (-105)Win
  • 1707662905Total · Under 41.5 (-110)Win
  • TjwinsTotal · Under 41.5 (-110)Win
  • TjwinsSpread · Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 (-115)Loss
  • RoycejacobsSpread · Chicago Bears +3.5 (-105)Win
  • AdrianMariucciTotal · Under 41.5 (-110)Win
  • DawhizSpread · Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 (-115)Loss
  • DawhizTotal · Under 41.5 (-110)Win
  • IrishblueSpread · Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 (-115)Loss
  • MauriceJonesTotal · Under 41.5 (-110)Win
  • MauriceJonesSpread · Chicago Bears +3.5 (-105)Win
  • SwamipicksTotal · Over 41.5 (-110)Loss
  • DoclocksSpread · Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 (-115)Loss
  • Altuve27Total · Over 41.5 (-110)Loss
  • BadmanSpread · Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 (-115)Loss
  • RcSpread · Chicago Bears +3.5 (-105)Win