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Falcons at Steelers: Quarterback change leaves Week 1 betting questions

Game time: September 13, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET

Venue: Acrisure Stadium — Pittsburgh, PA

Article updated Sep 12, 9:27 AM EDT

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

Atlanta turns to Cooper Rush for its opener, but Pittsburgh’s defensive concerns leave too little support for a wager at the listed prices.

Rush gets the start in Pittsburgh

The Atlanta Falcons visit the Pittsburgh Steelers at Acrisure Stadium on September 13, 2026, for their NFL regular-season opener. Kickoff is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET.

Atlanta says Cooper Rush will start after Tua Tagovailoa was ruled out with an oblique injury. Michael Penix Jr. will also be inactive, leaving Jack Strand as the backup. Rush handled all first-team offensive reps after Tagovailoa’s Thursday injury.

Rush completed 30 of 48 passes for 254 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions across three preseason games. Those results offer limited grounds for projecting his production in this start.

Defensive questions complicate the favorite

Pittsburgh enters with Mike McCarthy as its new head coach following Mike Tomlin’s departure. The Steelers added receiver Michael Pittman Jr. and running back Rico Dowdle, but those additions alone do not establish how effective the offense will be.

Axios reports that Pittsburgh’s defense ranked in the league’s bottom quarter last season and did not improve substantially during the offseason. Cornerback Joey Porter Jr. is questionable with a back issue after limited participation in all three reported practices. Safety DeShon Elliott is expected to miss at least the first four games.

Atlanta also lists cornerback Billy Bowman Jr. and tackle Cameron Williams as out. Defensive end Za’Darius Smith is questionable.

The betting decision

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Pittsburgh is -265 on the moneyline and -6 (-110) against the spread. Atlanta is +224 on the moneyline and +6 (-110). The total is listed at over 41 (-110) and under 41 (-110).

The prices establish Pittsburgh as the favorite, but Atlanta’s quarterback change does not by itself demonstrate value on the Steelers. Pittsburgh’s defensive concerns also weaken a wager built solely around expecting Atlanta to struggle offensively.

The available information does not support a reliable scoring projection or a recommendation on the moneyline, spread or total. The betting decision is Pass, with no winner or final score selected.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Pass

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass

Sources

  • Pittsburgh SteelersWeek 1 Injury Report (Falcons)
  • Atlanta FalconsTua Tagovailoa, Cooper Rush, Michael Penix Jr.: Everything we know about the state of the QB in Atlanta
  • Axios PittsburghSteelers start new era with familiar stakes
#AtlantaFalcons#PittsburghSteelers

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw's editorial organization researches matchup data, current odds, injuries and reporting, then validates each published preview against its listed sources and displayed markets.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Falcons vs Steelers game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Falcons vs Steelers matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Atlanta Falcons+145 → +245Moved
  • Moneyline · Pittsburgh Steelers-168 → -300Moved
  • Spread · Atlanta Falcons+3 (-110) → +6.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Pittsburgh Steelers-3 (-110) → -6.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over42.5 (-110) → 41 (-105)Moved
  • Total · Under42.5 (-110) → 41 (-115)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Atlanta Falcons
0-0 matchup record · 5-4-1 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Pittsburgh Steelers
0-0 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 4-5-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-09-12T13:27:34.909Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Atlanta says Cooper Rush will start after Tua Tagovailoa was ruled out with an oblique injury. Michael Penix Jr. will also be inactive, leaving Jack Strand as the backup. Rush handled all first-team offensive reps after Tagovailoa’s Thursday injury.

Axios reports that Pittsburgh’s defense ranked in the league’s bottom quarter last season and did not improve substantially during the offseason. Cornerback Joey Porter Jr. is questionable with a back issue after limited participation in all three reported practices. Safety DeShon Elliott is expected to miss at least the first four games.

Atlanta also lists cornerback Billy Bowman Jr. and tackle Cameron Williams as out. Defensive end Za’Darius Smith is questionable.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

Pittsburgh Steelers defeated Atlanta Falcons 20-13

Pittsburgh Steelers defeated Atlanta Falcons 20-13 on September 13, 2026, a 7-point decision in the series. Pittsburgh Steelers' strongest period was the 2nd quarter, when it outscored its opponent 10-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Atlanta Falcons +6.5 (-110) spread, Pittsburgh Steelers covered, while the 33 combined points finished under the recorded total of 41.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable
  • SpreadPassPass
  • TotalPassPass

Tipster picks

  • NutinbutlocksTotal · Under 42 (-110)Win
  • PeytoncSpread · Pittsburgh Steelers -3.25 (-110)Win
  • Josh720Spread · Atlanta Falcons +3.25 (-110)Loss
  • 1735203231Spread · Pittsburgh Steelers -3.25 (-110)Win
  • StevedTotal · Under 42 (-110)Win
  • Tbone91Total · Under 42 (-110)Win
  • JwTotal · Over 42 (-110)Loss
  • FlyigglesflySpread · Pittsburgh Steelers -3.5 (-110)Win
  • ThinkmakegrowSpread · Atlanta Falcons +3.5 (-110)Loss
  • Altuve27Spread · Pittsburgh Steelers -3.5 (-110)Win
  • RcTotal · Over 42 (-110)Loss
  • JtgarciaSpread · Pittsburgh Steelers -3.5 (-110)Win
  • StevedSpread · Atlanta Falcons +3.5 (-110)Loss
  • BadmanSpread · Atlanta Falcons +3.5 (-110)Loss
  • Krockpicks
Spread · Pittsburgh Steelers -3.5 (-110)
Win
  • BluedevilTotal · Over 41.5 (-110)Loss
  • JoeThomasTotal · Under 41.5 (-110)Win
  • VfernandezSpread · Atlanta Falcons +6 (-110)Loss
  • MiamimikeSpread · Atlanta Falcons +6 (-110)Loss
  • BrycetSpread · Atlanta Falcons +6 (-110)Loss
  • BookieslayerSpread · Pittsburgh Steelers -6 (-110)Win
  • Philly267Total · Over 41 (-110)Loss
  • JeffjacksonTotal · Under 41 (-110)Win
  • Drew_WestcottSpread · Pittsburgh Steelers -6 (-110)Win
  • JwSpread · Atlanta Falcons +6 (-110)Loss
  • StevehSpread · Atlanta Falcons +6 (-110)Loss
  • JtphamTotal · Over 41 (-110)Loss
  • DrpaulSpread · Atlanta Falcons +6 (-110)Loss
  • KingjamesTotal · Under 41 (-110)Win
  • AdrianMariucciSpread · Pittsburgh Steelers -6 (-110)Win
  • Hustle$Total · Under 41 (-110)Win
  • BadmanTotal · Under 41 (-110)Win
  • RcSpread · Pittsburgh Steelers -6 (-110)Win
  • VegaspatSpread · Pittsburgh Steelers -6 (-110)Win
  • Kentc_Spread · Atlanta Falcons +6 (-110)Loss