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  3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Minnesota Vikings
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NFL · Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Minnesota Vikings

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Vikings Favored at Home Over Buccaneers in Sunday Matchup with Over/Under Set at 45.5

Game time: September 10, 2023 at 1:00 PM ET

Venue: U.S. Bank Stadium — Minneapolis, MN

Article updated Aug 28, 2:35 AM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The over/under for Sunday's matchup between the Buccaneers and Vikings is 45.5. Tampa Bay has an over/under win total of 6.5 victories while the Vikings are favored to reach

Game outlook

The over/under for Sunday's matchup between the Buccaneers and Vikings is 45.5. Tampa Bay has an over/under win total of 6.5 victories while the Vikings are favored to reach 8.5 victories. The Buccaneers have an 8-9 overall record, including 3-5 on the road, while the Vikings had a 13-4 record, 8-1 at home, last season. Both teams have several healthy players including Mike Evans (groin) for the Bucs and Alexander Mattison (undisclosed), T.J. Hockenson (back) for the Vikings. Kickoff is at 1:00 p.m. ET from U.S. Bank Stadium on Sunday. The Buccaneers and Vikings meet Sunday at 1:00 p.m. ET at U.S. Bank Stadium, with Minnesota favored at -5.5 with an over/under of 45.5. Tampa Bay has an over/under win total of 6.5 victories while Minnesota is projected to win 8.5 games. The Bucs were 8-9 overall and 3-5 on the road last season, while the Vikings were 13-4 and 8-1 at home in 2019. Several starters -- including Mike Evans (groin) and Alexander Mattison (undisclosed) -- are probable; additionally, safety Antoine Winfield Jr. (calf), safety Kaevon Merriweather (quad), and running back KeShawn Vaughn (personal) are probable for the Bucs, and tight end T.J. Hockenson (back) and linebacker Troy Dye (elbow) probable for the Vikings.

Game Info

When: Sunday, 9/10/2023 @ 1:00pm EST

Where: U.S. Bank Stadium Stadium Buccaneers vs Vikings Betting Odds Moneyline: Buccaneers +200 | Vikings -240

Spread: Buccaneers +5.5 (-110) | Vikings -5.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 45.5 (-110)

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Minnesota will win straight-up is 71%.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Tom Brady era is officially over in Tampa Bay and Baker Mayfield is set to take over at QB, bringing his own prospects to a once-promising team. Despite an influx of new free agents in 2021, Tampa Bay has $74.3 million in dead cap space this year. With Mike Evans and Chris Godwin still on the squad, the offense has potential but the defense will likely face its own set of challenges. Currently ranked 23rd in power rankings, the Buccaneers have an offensive average of 18.17 points per game and a defensive average of allowing 21.61 points per game, leaving them 0-0 so far this season. This is what you work all year for 💪 🔜 #TBvsMIN 1 p.m. ET Sunday on CBS pic.twitter.com/zEIOfczOjn

Minnesota Vikings Analysis

The Minnesota Vikings have an experienced roster capable of competing for the NFC North title again, but significant improvements will have to be made to replicate the successes of the past season. The team boasted an impressive record of 11-0 in one-score games in 2022-23 and, although their point differential was negative, they became the first team in NFL history to win 12 games while being outscored. There has been turnover in the roster, with iconic players such as Dalvin Tomlinson, Adam Thielen, Patrick Peterson and Eric Kendricks having been replaced or released. Their offense will benefit from the re-signing of quarterback Kirk Cousins, and the presence of All-Pro Justin Jefferson, rookie Jordan Addison and reliable tight end T.J. Hockenson. Their defense, ranked #30 in Football Outsiders' DVOA and giving up an average of 25.44 points per game, needs to keep the play in front of them and limit home run plays to improve. The Vikings have an overall power ranking of #24 and an offensive rank of #8. LIVE: QB Kirk Cousins speaks to the media. https://t.co/JOd5N9Euc9

Minnesota Poised to Trounce Bucs at Home with Cousins, Thielen, Jefferson Duo Leading Charge

Minnesota should have the advantage in their home matchup against the Buccaneers this Sunday. Kirk Cousins and Adam Thielen have the potential to cause problems for the Bucs secondary - which will be further tested by the addition of rookie receiver Justin Jefferson. Alexander Mattison should be up to the task of replacing Dalvin Cook and the Vikings offense should have no problem in maintaining their score-level performance. On the defensive end, Coach Mike Zimmer's changes to a blitz-heavy system should help contain Tom Brady and his wide receivers, allowing the Vikings to gain field position and take advantage of any missteps. Expect the Vikings to come away with a victory margin of six points or more.

My Prediction: Vikings -5.5 (-110) to cover

Written by Jtgarcia Published on 09/08/2023 Category: NFL Picks

About the Author: Sports nut and professional bettor. I win more than I lose, follow me for winners this season in NCAAB and NBA hardwood.

SportsJawGame Predictions
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Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
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#TampaBayBuccaneers#MinnesotaVikings

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Buccaneers vs Vikings archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Buccaneers vs Vikings matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Tampa Bay Buccaneers+227 → +178Moved
  • Moneyline · Minnesota Vikings-275 → -210Moved
  • Spread · Tampa Bay Buccaneers+6.5 (-110) → +4 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Minnesota Vikings-6.5 (-110) → -4 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over45.5 (-110) → 45 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under45.5 (-110) → 45 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0-0 matchup record · 2-7-1 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Minnesota Vikings
0-0 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 8-2-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-08-28T06:35:22.687Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

Tampa Bay Buccaneers defeated Minnesota Vikings 20-17

Tampa Bay Buccaneers defeated Minnesota Vikings 20-17 on September 10, 2023, a 3-point decision in the series. Tampa Bay Buccaneers' strongest period was the 3rd quarter, when it outscored its opponent 7-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Tampa Bay Buccaneers +4 (-110) spread, Tampa Bay Buccaneers covered, while the 37 combined points finished under the recorded total of 45.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • MickeytSpread · Tampa Bay Buccaneers +6 (-110)Win
  • DtownsendSpread · Tampa Bay Buccaneers +6 (-110)Win
  • ThetotalerSpread · Minnesota Vikings -6 (-110)Loss
  • DpxsportsSpread · Minnesota Vikings -6 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkTotal · Under 45.5 (-110)Win
  • ryry663Moneyline · Minnesota Vikings -258Loss
  • ryry663Spread · Minnesota Vikings -6 (-110)Loss
  • JtgarciaSpread · Minnesota Vikings -5.5 (-110)Loss
  • Novacek84Spread · Tampa Bay Buccaneers +5.5 (-110)Win
  • CoversSpread · Minnesota Vikings -5 (-110)Loss
  • XyoojsterSpread · Minnesota Vikings -5 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioSpread · Tampa Bay Buccaneers +4.5 (-110)Win
  • CoolioTotal · Under 45.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkSpread · Tampa Bay Buccaneers +4.5 (-110)Win