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Kansas City vs Philadelphia

Sun Feb 12 6:30PM
2/12 - 6:30 PM EST

Chiefs vs Eagles Super Bowl Prediction

Published on

Kansas City is on the road playing Philadelphia at the State Farm Stadium stadium on Sunday, 2/12/2023 @ 6:30pm EST. Philadelphia -2 was the opening favorite and line hasn't moved.

For the first time since the Eagles beat the Patriots in Super Bowl 52, the two No. 1 seeds in the NFL playoffs are competing for a ring in Super Bowl 57. Kansas City tries to go two-for-four in Super Bowls, while Philadelphia hopes to win two in five years.

A number of reasons make the Eagles' offense difficult to slow down. With Hurts, Miles Sanders, Kenneth Gainwell and Boston Scott joining the power running success, they can be a dominant rushing team behind the best offensive line in the NFL. Hurts can also throw the ball to dynamic wide receivers A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith, making them a dangerous downfield passing team. In the AFC championship game, the Chiefs got a couple key interceptions from a Bengals one-dimensional offense, but they can't expect the same luxury in the Super Bowl with their pass rush.

Because of their athletic blocking, the Eagles poked holes in the 49ers' run defense. It is expected that the Chiefs will also be exploited on the ground and Steve Spagnuolo will need to bend, don't break again. Taking Brown or Smith away from coverage will be challenging, and they also need to consider the tough matchup versus tight end Dallas Goedert.

A deep and versatile pass rush that can get to Mahomes from the edge or inside, often with only four players, led the Eagles with 70 sacks during the regular season.

Aside from Darius Slay and James Bradberry, the Eagles also have two excellent cornerbacks outside. In addition, they have added safeties, linebackers and extra defensive backs to make their coverage more rangy. The Eagles also have great depth on defense, which makes them just as complete as their offense.

Reid and Eric Bieniemy will adjust the personnel groupings to find the right matchups with Mahomes, who will spread the ball out and get it out quickly. 

In theory, the Eagles should be able to limit Mahomes' big plays with their sound back-end play behind the league's most efficient pass rush. Mahomes, on the other hand, should be able to make plenty of off-script plays in a couple weeks.

In order to help Mahomes and Kelce, the Chiefs must find multiple X-factors. The deep threat Marquez Valdes-Scantling has expanded his repertoire to make key catches all over the field for Mahomes in the playoffs. They will hope Kadarius Toney and JuJu Smith-Schuster are healthy enough to provide more sparks in the Super Bowl. With limited touches, Isiah Pacheco or Jerick McKinnon can make a huge impact.

The Eagles don't quite have the same 1-2 punch with their legs in fill-in punter Brett Kern and kicker Jake Elliott. They also have seen limited returns from Boston Scott on kickoffs and Britain Covey on punts.

Kansas City Betting

With a power ranking of 3, Kansas City is ranked #1 in offense (scoring an average of 29.06 per game), #15 in defense (allowing an average of 21.61 points to be scored against them per game) and are 16-3 (8-11 ATS) this season.

Philadelphia Betting

Philadelphia Eagles has a power ranking of 8 and are #2 for offense (scoring an average of 28.61 per game), #6 for defense (giving up an average of 21.61 points per game) and 16-3 (10-9 ATS) overall. Kansas City went 0-3 (0-3 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against Philadelphia.

Curated Picks & Predictions

  • From the lines set by Sportsbooks, they predict the score to be KC 26.75, PHI 22.75.
  • 52% of SportsJaw predicts Philadelphia Eagles to cover.
  • OddsShark predicts Philadelphia will win, cover the spread, and the total will go under.
  • 70% picked Philadelphia Eagles on
  • Our ScoreCaster predicts Chiefs 21 to Eagles 25.

Chiefs vs Eagles Super Bowl Prediction

The Chiefs had several players go down in their win over Cincinnati but with two weeks to heal up I expect a healthy Kansas City Chiefs team for Super Bowl 57. The Chiefs defense was able to get to Joe Burrow repeatedly and I expect they do the same against Jalen Hurts. Jalen Hurts can't be trusted with passing the ball deep and and Kansas City will have the best player (and passer) on the field in Patrick Mahomes. Should be an epic battle but Chiefs win this one outright in a high scoring shootout, and Mahomes starts to enter the G.O.A.T. conversation in the process.>

Score prediction: Chiefs 31 to Eagles 27

Written by SportsJaw Staff
Categorized as NFL Predictions

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Current Odds[ - ]

Over 51
Under 51

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Power Rankings[ - ]

Kansas City Chiefs
Philadelphia Eagles

Last 10 Games Stats[ + ]

Kansas City ChiefsChiefs

vs CINW 23-20
357Off YDs
315Pass YDs
42Rush YDs
309Def YDs
238Pass Def
71Rush Def
vs JACW 27-20
362Off YDs
218Pass YDs
144Rush YDs
349Def YDs
205Pass Def
144Rush Def
vs LVW 31-13
349Off YDs
181Pass YDs
168Rush YDs
279Def YDs
180Pass Def
99Rush Def
vs DENW 27-24
374Off YDs
328Pass YDs
46Rush YDs
307Def YDs
190Pass Def
117Rush Def
vs SEAW 24-10
297Off YDs
220Pass YDs
77Rush YDs
333Def YDs
200Pass Def
133Rush Def
vs HOUW 30-24
502Off YDs
313Pass YDs
189Rush YDs
219Def YDs
125Pass Def
94Rush Def
vs DENW 34-28
431Off YDs
342Pass YDs
89Rush YDs
320Def YDs
214Pass Def
106Rush Def
vs CINL 24-27
349Off YDs
211Pass YDs
138Rush YDs
431Def YDs
279Pass Def
152Rush Def
vs LARW 26-10
437Off YDs
320Pass YDs
117Rush YDs
198Def YDs
82Pass Def
116Rush Def
vs LACW 30-27
485Off YDs
322Pass YDs
163Rush YDs
365Def YDs
250Pass Def
115Rush Def

Philadelphia EaglesEagles

vs SFW 31-7
269Off YDs
121Pass YDs
148Rush YDs
164Def YDs
83Pass Def
81Rush Def
vs NYGW 38-7
416Off YDs
148Pass YDs
268Rush YDs
227Def YDs
109Pass Def
118Rush Def
vs NYGW 22-16
342Off YDs
207Pass YDs
135Rush YDs
284Def YDs
155Pass Def
129Rush Def
vs NOL 10-20
313Off YDs
246Pass YDs
67Rush YDs
313Def YDs
183Pass Def
130Rush Def
vs DALL 34-40
442Off YDs
355Pass YDs
87Rush YDs
419Def YDs
304Pass Def
115Rush Def
vs CHIW 25-20
421Off YDs
309Pass YDs
112Rush YDs
248Def YDs
91Pass Def
157Rush Def
vs NYGW 48-22
437Off YDs
184Pass YDs
253Rush YDs
304Def YDs
181Pass Def
123Rush Def
vs TENW 35-10
453Off YDs
386Pass YDs
67Rush YDs
209Def YDs
122Pass Def
87Rush Def
vs GBW 40-33
500Off YDs
137Pass YDs
363Rush YDs
342Def YDs
236Pass Def
106Rush Def
vs INDW 17-16
314Off YDs
173Pass YDs
141Rush YDs
284Def YDs
185Pass Def
99Rush Def

Injuries[ - ]

Kansas City ChiefsChiefs

  • There are no injuries listed at this time

Philadelphia EaglesEagles

Infographics & Predictions[ - ]

Won 60% of last 10 NFL predictions

Power Play Ranked Score Chiefs 24 Eagles 28

PHI -1 (-110)

Spread Pick





Won 60% of last 10 NFL predictions
Kansas City vs Philadelphia prediction and stats

Both teams have a compariable offense and the Eagles have a significantly better defense. The Chiefs won more games straight up and against the spread over their last 3 matchups. Adjusted score predictions based on power rankings and strength of schedule: Chiefs 24 to Eagles 27.


Chiefs Injuries

  • QB Patrick Mahomes Is probable Sunday vs Philadelphia, Ankle
  • WR JuJu Smith-Schuster Is probable Sunday vs Philadelphia, Knee
  • WR Justin Watson Is probable Sunday vs Philadelphia, Illness
  • WR Mecole Hardman Is OUT Sunday vs Philadelphia, Pelvis
  • LB Willie Gay Jr. Is probable Sunday vs Philadelphia, Shoulder
  • T Lucas Niang PUP, Knee
  • S L'Jarius Sneed Is probable Sunday vs Philadelphia, Concussion
  • DT Tershawn Wharton Is out for season, ACL
  • WR Kadarius Toney Left last game, is "?" Sunday vs Philadelphia, Ankle
  • WR Justyn Ross IR, Foot

Eagles Injuries

  • DE Robert Quinn IR, Knee
  • DE Derek Barnett Is out for season, ACL
  • WR Greg Ward IR, Undisclosed
  • S Chauncey Gardner-Johnson IR, Ribs
  • P Arryn Siposs Is probable Sunday vs Kansas City, Leg
  • G Josh Sills Is doubtful Sunday vs Kansas City, Legal problems

Won 60% of last 10 NFL predictions
Kansas City vs Philadelphia infographic

After crunching 8 data points, our relative predictions model has elected to not make a prediction on this game - view the Kansas City vs Philadelphia infographic for details.

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