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  3. Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints
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Atlanta
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5-8
versus
New Orleans Saints logo
New Orleans
Saints21
4-9
Final
Team1234T
Atlanta Falcons037818
New Orleans Saints1407021
NFL · Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints

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Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: December 18, 2022 at 1:00 PM ET

Venue: Caesars Superdome — New Orleans, LA

Article updated Dec 18, 10:03 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

Atlanta is on the road playing New Orleans at the Caesars Superdome stadium on Sunday, 12/18/2022 @ 1:00pm EST. New Orleans -3.5 was the opening favorite and current line is

Game outlook

Atlanta is on the road playing New Orleans at the Caesars Superdome stadium on Sunday, 12/18/2022 @ 1:00pm EST. New Orleans -3.5 was the opening favorite and current line is New Orleans -4.

It's Desmond Ridder's NFL debut here in this NFC South rivalry game as the New Orleans Saints host the Atlanta Falcons. Will Ridder take the offense to new heights that Marcus Mariota couldn't? It might not be perfect right away, but Ridder certainly gives the unit a much higher ceiling. In recent weeks, Mariota had been woefully inaccurate, which was holding the passing game back significantly. It has been fun watching Atlanta's offense this year, but only because of its ground game. The ground game should continue to be elite, and the air attack now has a chance with Ridder. If nothing else, the switch should have a big impact on Drake London.

As they've lost a lot of heartbreakers in the final seconds, Atlanta could easily be much better than 5-8. While oddsmakers seem to view the switch from Mariota to Ridder as a downgrade, anyone who has watched every Falcons game will tell you the passing game will never become less explosive. I can't lay more than a field goal on the Saints here, since they have lost four of their last five games and have failed to score more than 16 points in any of those four losses. Since October 9th, New Orleans has won two games, both against teams that were struggling mightily at the time, including the Raiders and Rams.

Atlanta Betting

With a power ranking of 30, Atlanta is ranked #15 in offense (scoring an average of 22.15 per game), #24 in defense (allowing an average of 24.00 points to be scored against them per game) and are 5-8 (7-6 ATS) this season.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

New Orleans Betting

New Orleans Saints has a power ranking of 17 and are #21 for offense (scoring an average of 20.75 per game), #22 for defense (giving up an average of 24.00 points per game) and 4-9 (5-8 ATS) overall. Atlanta went 2-1 (1-2 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against New Orleans.

Curated Picks & Predictions

Based on the current lines, Oddsmakers predict the score to be ATL 25.75, NO 17.75.

56% of SportsJaw users predict Atlanta Falcons to cover.

OddsShark 's prediction is New Orleans will win, cover the spread, and the total will go over.

57% picked New Orleans Saints on Covers.com

SportsJaw's ScoreCaster prediction: Falcons 20 to Saints 29.

Staff Prediction

This one should be a defensive struggle. It's the second meeting of the season between two rivals who're very familiar with each other, and the rookie quarterback is making his first career start. By establishing the ground game, Arthur Smith will be able to ease Ridder into the Falcons' rushing game, which is already a run-heavy team. The Falcons should run a lot since New Orleans has been more susceptible to opponent ground games than in recent years.

In four of their past five games, the Saints’ offense hasn't scored more than 16 points, and just two weeks ago they were shut out by the 49ers. The Falcons are without Kyle Pitts, so points will be at a premium here. New Orleans' receivers are banged up, and Andy Dalton isn't the guy to elevate a mediocre supporting cast.

Score prediction: Falcons 13 to Saints 24

Written by SportsJaw Staff Categorized as NFL Predictions

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#AtlantaFalcons#NewOrleansSaints

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Falcons vs Saints archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Falcons vs Saints matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Atlanta Falcons+163 → +200Moved
  • Moneyline · New Orleans Saints-183 → -238Moved
  • Spread · Atlanta Falcons+3.5 (-110) → +5.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · New Orleans Saints-3.5 (-110) → -5.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over42 (-110) → 43.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under42 (-110) → 43.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Atlanta Falcons
5-8 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 3-7-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
New Orleans Saints
4-9 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2022-12-18T15:03:02.000Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2022-09-11New Orleans Saints 27 · Atlanta Falcons 26
  • 2022-01-09New Orleans Saints 30 · Atlanta Falcons 20
  • 2021-11-07Atlanta Falcons 27 · New Orleans Saints 25
Final result

Matchup pick recap

New Orleans Saints defeated Atlanta Falcons 21-18

New Orleans Saints defeated Atlanta Falcons 21-18 on December 18, 2022, a 3-point decision in the series. New Orleans Saints' strongest period was the 1st quarter, when it outscored its opponent 14-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Atlanta Falcons +5.5 (-110) spread, Atlanta Falcons covered, while the 39 combined points finished under the recorded total of 43.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • RetweetSpread · Atlanta Falcons +4 (-110)Win
  • MickeytSpread · New Orleans Saints -3.5 (-110)Loss
  • DrpaulSpread · Atlanta Falcons +3.5 (-110)Win
  • Drew_WestcottTotal · Over 43 (-110)Loss
  • BrycetSpread · New Orleans Saints -4 (-110)Loss
  • legenRandy23Moneyline · Atlanta Falcons +175Loss
  • Mr_BiggsSpread · Atlanta Falcons +4 (-110)Win
  • Jquinn4Total · Over 43.5 (-110)Loss
  • GustavosintoSpread · Atlanta Falcons +4 (-110)Win
  • RainmanSpread · Atlanta Falcons +4 (-110)Win
  • CoolioSpread · New Orleans Saints -4 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioTotal · Over 43.5 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 43.5 (-110)Loss
  • VegaspatSpread · Atlanta Falcons +4 (-110)Win
  • MrshinyMoneyline · Atlanta Falcons +175Loss
  • MrshinySpread · Atlanta Falcons +4 (-110)
Win
  • CoversSpread · New Orleans Saints -4 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkSpread · New Orleans Saints -4 (-110)Loss
  • Amp2224Spread · New Orleans Saints -4 (-110)Loss
  • legenRandy23Total · Under 43.5 (-110)Win