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  1. Home
  2. NFL Picks
  3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears
Sun 8:20 PM ET
Tampa Bay Buccaneers logo
Tampa Bay
Buccaneers
3-5
versus
Chicago Bears logo
Chicago
Bears
6-2
NFL · Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Chicago Bears

Your Picks on Buccaneers vs Bears

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Tampa Bay vs Chicago consensus picks

Tampa Bay Buccaneers40%
60%Chicago Bears
Odds comparison

Sportsbook lines for this game

Current lines

MatchupBest availableDraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsCircaBet105BetOnlineBovadaHard RockHeritageIntertopsLowvigPinnacleSportsbettingUnibetYouWagertheScore Bet
Nov 8, 8:20 PM ETTampa Bay BuccaneersChicago Bears
Best available+235FanDuel-265Intertops
DraftKings+220-270
FanDuel+235BEST-290
BetMGM+225-275
Caesars+220-275
Circa+225-265BEST
Bet105+221-268
BetOnline+222-270
Bovada+220-270
Hard Rock+220-275
Heritage+219-273
Intertops+225-265BEST
Lowvig+222-270
Pinnacle+221-268
Sportsbetting+222-270
Unibet+220-275
YouWager+222-265BEST
theScore Bet+230-280

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears prediction, odds and best bet for November 8

Game time: November 8, 2026 at 8:20 PM ET

Venue: Soldier Field — Chicago, IL

Article updated Nov 3, 2:21 PM EST

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Chicago Bears will beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, projected here as Chicago 24, Tampa Bay 20. Chicago’s home field and the narrow winning margins in several outside forecasts shape the pick, while Tampa Bay’s verified rushing surge is the strongest counterargument. Neither Tampa Bay +6.5 (-112) nor Under 46.5 (-108) offers a sufficiently clear edge for an official wager.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears prediction and best bet

Chicago is the winner pick, with low confidence, and the official betting decision is Pass. A four-point Bears victory is our editorial forecast, but the spread evidence is divided around Chicago -6.5 (-105). Picking the likely winner is easier than identifying a worthwhile wager.

Luck Adjusted projects Chicago by five, while bayesRatings projects a seven-point Bears win. Squawka also selects Chicago, although its score and model margin differ. Those opinions support choosing the Bears without making their agreement proof of value. BetMGM writer Nick Hennion supplies a meaningful opposing view by selecting Tampa Bay outright.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Game: Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Chicago Bears, 2026 NFL season.

Time: Sunday, November 8, 2026, at 8:20 p.m. ET, according to Tampa Bay’s November 1 matchup report.

Venue: Soldier Field.

SportsJaw odds: Tampa Bay Buccaneers +6.5 (-112); Chicago Bears -6.5 (-105). Moneyline: Tampa Bay Buccaneers +222; Chicago Bears -270. Total: Over 46.5 (-110); Under 46.5 (-108).

SportsJaw total: Over 46.5 (-110); Under 46.5 (-108).

SportsJaw moneyline: Tampa Bay +222; Chicago -270.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers outlook

Tampa Bay’s official report puts the Buccaneers at 3-5 after consecutive victories over Carolina and Atlanta. They have won three of their preceding four games, giving the underdog a recent recovery to build on.

The November 1 Atlanta victory featured a franchise-record 324 rushing yards without a completed pass. Bucky Irving gained 170 yards on 27 carries, and Kenny Gainwell contributed 140 on 25 attempts. That performance makes the running game central to Tampa Bay’s forecast, although repeating such an exceptional result would be an aggressive assumption.

The defense recorded Tampa Bay’s first shutout win since 2023 and intercepted Michael Penix four times, with Alex Anzalone responsible for two. That is a strong recent result. Our projection allows Chicago 24 points because one shutout offers no promise of another dominant defensive afternoon.

Chicago Bears outlook

Chicago’s strongest backing comes from the outside forecasts. Luck Adjusted assigns the Bears a 65% win probability, bayesRatings gives them 73%, and Squawka gives them 66%. These are separate analysts’ estimates, not SportsJaw probabilities or measures of our confidence.

Luck Adjusted credits Chicago with advantages in current adjusted performance, home field and quarterback assessment. Those are components of its forecast rather than independently verified descriptions of Chicago’s superiority. They explain why that analyst favors the Bears while stopping short of projecting a comfortable cover.

Hennion challenges the favorite through a different lens, emphasizing Tampa Bay’s rushing matchup and Chicago’s preparation after Seattle. His analysis also acknowledges improvement in Chicago’s run defense against Atlanta and New England. That opposing assessment keeps our Chicago selection cautious.

Key matchup factors

Tampa Bay’s recent rushing production creates the clearest upset scenario: another productive ground game could keep the contest close enough for a few decisive possessions to determine the winner. The unresolved question is how well that Atlanta performance translates against Chicago.

The outside assessments disagree about the margin more than the likely winner. Squawka’s 27-20 score implies a seven-point Chicago victory, while its model projects Chicago -4. That difference matters when the supplied spread is 6.5 points.

As of November 3 at 19:14 UTC, the SportsJaw blended consensus favors Chicago -6.5 (-105) at 55%, up four percentage points from the previous day. Under 46.5 (-108) also leads at 55%. The external readings match those percentages; no separate community leader is reported. These selection shares are not win probabilities or observed sportsbook ticket counts.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears spread prediction

Spread recommendation: Pass on Tampa Bay +6.5 (-112) and Chicago -6.5 (-105). Our projected margin favors Tampa Bay covering, but the conflicting forecasts leave only a fragile case for paying the supplied price.

Luck Adjusted’s five-point margin and Squawka’s four-point model margin favor taking the points at this line. Conversely, bayesRatings’ seven-point projection and Squawka’s published 27-20 score favor Chicago covering. Hennion’s outright upset pick strengthens the underdog argument without settling that disagreement. The forecast leans toward a close game; the official spread decision remains Pass.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears total prediction

Total recommendation: Pass on Over 46.5 (-110) and Under 46.5 (-108). Our 44-point projection leans below the total, but the scoring estimates sit too close to the line to justify a confident purchase.

bayesRatings projects 46 combined points, while Squawka’s published score totals 47. Squawka separately recommends Under 42.5, creating tension with its own score prediction. Its under opinion cannot simply become a SportsJaw recommendation at 46.5. Tampa Bay’s recent shutout adds context, but neither that result nor the 55% consensus makes the under an established edge.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears Projected Score & Betting Picks

Projected score: Chicago Bears 24, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 20. Chicago gets the outright selection at home, informed by the outside winning-margin forecasts. Tampa Bay’s recent rushing performance and Hennion’s upset case are the strongest reasons the Bears could fall short.

Confidence is low because the matchup evidence is uneven and the analysts disagree on both margin and scoring. The score is an editorial inference, not a new model probability. Both market recommendations remain Pass, and the single official SportsJaw betting lean is Pass.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Buccaneers20

Bears24

Projected winner Chicago BearsConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Pass on Tampa Bay Buccaneers +6.5 (-112) and Chicago Bears -6.5 (-105)

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass on Over 46.5 (-110) and Under 46.5 (-108)

Sources

  • Tampa Bay BuccaneersBuccaneers' Next Game: Tampa Bay Gets Prime-Time Stage in Chicago
  • Luck AdjustedBuccaneers vs Bears prediction and pick
  • bayesRatingsBuccaneers at Bears
#TampaBayBuccaneers#ChicagoBears

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw's editorial organization researches matchup data, current odds, injuries and reporting, then validates each published preview against its listed sources and displayed markets.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Buccaneers vs Bears game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Buccaneers vs Bears matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Tampa Bay Buccaneers+164 → +222Moved
  • Moneyline · Chicago Bears-198 → -270Moved
  • Spread · Tampa Bay Buccaneers+3.5 (-110) → +6.5 (-112)Moved
  • Spread · Chicago Bears-3.5 (-110) → -6.5 (-105)Moved
  • Total · Over48.5 (-110) → 46.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under48.5 (-110) → 46.5 (-108)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
3-5 matchup record · 3-6-1 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Chicago Bears
6-2 matchup record · 8-2-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-11-03T19:21:31.618Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

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