New England Patriots vs
Miami DolphinsPredictions & Preview

Dolphins Favored Over Patriots in Crucial AFC East Matchup, Maye's Skills Pose Challenge

The Miami Dolphins will host the New England Patriots in a crucial AFC East matchup. Miami, led by quarterback Tua Tagovailoa, is on a two-game win streak and looking to continue their momentum. The Patriots, despite promising play from rookie quarterback Drake Maye, are struggling and face an uphill battle in this divisional matchup. Miami is favored by 7 points in this game.

Betting Odds

• Moneyline: Patriots +290 | Dolphins -373
• Spread: Patriots +7.25 (-110) | Dolphins -7.25 (-110)
• Total: Over/Under 46.25 (-110)
• Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Miami will win straight-up is 79%.

New England vs Miami Stats

New England Patriots

Despite the Washington Commanders' Jayden Daniels putting up impressive numbers, rookie quarterback Drake Maye is making a strong case for the best rookie season, especially considering the subpar supporting cast with the New England Patriots. Despite facing one of the worst offensive lines in the NFL, Maye has excelled, showcasing his dual-threat ability with impressive passing and rushing stats. His positive Expected Points Added per dropback puts him in the same class as successful rookie quarterbacks from previous years. Football Insights tracked his performance and revealed that Maye's offensive line has the lowest pass block grade of any team on record. Despite facing relentless pressure, Maye has shown the ability to perform under duress, ranking high in first down/touchdown rate when under pressure. This success in a challenging environment suggests he has the potential to be a franchise quarterback for the Patriots, a position the team has been lacking since Tom Brady's departure. The Patriots currently have a power ranking of 30, ranking 31st in offense and 13th in defense, with a record of 3-8 this season.

Miami Dolphins Analysis

During the Miami Dolphins' recent victory over the Las Vegas Raiders, Jonnu Smith capitalized on a blown coverage to score a touchdown, with Tyreek Hill and other players engaging in some friendly trash talk. The success of the play was attributed to a strategic call by Mike McDaniel, showcasing the team's momentum as they prepare to face the New England Patriots. Running back De'Von Achane has been excelling this season with increased opportunities, surpassing his rookie numbers despite past injuries. With a well-rounded performance, Achane has emerged as a key player in the Dolphins' offense under coach McDaniel. Despite their current power ranking of 24, the Dolphins are focused on utilizing their strengths, particularly in running the ball effectively, as they aim to improve their record and make a playoff push.

Dolphins Favored, but Patriots Pose Challenge with Maye's Skills

The Dolphins are expected to be the favored team in the upcoming game, however, it's important not to underestimate Maye's ability to handle pressure. His scrambling skills and accuracy on the move could pose a challenge if Miami fails to account for them. While the Patriots may not have the firepower to secure a win, they have shown the capability to keep games close by exploiting their opponent's inconsistencies. By effectively managing the clock and keeping the score within reach, the Patriots have the opportunity to cover a 7.5-point spread, particularly if Miami becomes complacent. Despite facing tough opponents throughout the season, the Patriots have demonstrated their ability to stay competitive, with Maye leading them effectively. With the possibility of Miami looking ahead to their matchup against the Packers, the Patriots could capitalize on a more passive defensive approach and potentially secure a late-game cover.

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