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Indianapolis Colts Poised for Upset Victory Over Struggling New England Patriots

Game time: November 12, 2023 at 9:30 AM ET

Venue: Frankfurt Stadium — Frankfurt

Article updated Nov 6, 1:36 AM EST

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Indianapolis Colts (4-5) are preparing to face the New England Patriots (2-7) this Sunday morning for their NFL Frankfurt Games series. Last season, the Patriots took the

Game outlook

The Indianapolis Colts (4-5) are preparing to face the New England Patriots (2-7) this Sunday morning for their NFL Frankfurt Games series. Last season, the Patriots took the win with a 26-3 scoreline. This time around, the betting odds favor the Patriots, opening up at -1 and currently at Indianapolis -1.5. The Colts are coming off a road win against the Panthers while the Patriots were dealt a home loss in their previous bout. This will be a key game for both teams this season.

Game Info

When: Sunday, 11/12/2023 @ 9:30am EST

Where: Deutsche Bank Park Stadium Colts vs Patriots Betting Odds Moneyline: Colts -124 | Patriots +104

Spread: Colts -1.5 (-110) | Patriots +1.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 43 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that New England will win straight-up is 51%.

Indianapolis Colts

Rookie quarterback Anthony Richardson is on the IR and Gardner Minshew has been productive, reaching 300 passing yards in two of his last four appearances and 1527 passing yards with 8:5 TD to INT ratio. Zack Moss and Jonathan Taylor form a powerful running game and Michael Pittman Jr. has 593 receiving yards. The Colts had an impressive win against the Panthers last week and have covered the spread in two of their last three matches but struggled earlier due to defensive troubles, ranking near the bottom of many categories. The Indianapolis Colts enter this week with confidence at a rank of 17, 4-5 (5-4 ATS) this season. Under the helm of Gardner Minshew, the offense has been scoring an average of 25.8 points per game, placing them seventh, thanks to Zack Moss' and Jonathan Taylor's ground game and Michael Pittman Jr.'s excellent receiving records. The defense has proven to be a weak spot, giving up an average of 26.9 points per game, placing them 28th. Despite the losses the Colts have suffered, they are 1.5 games out of a playoff spot and have covered the spread in two of their last three matches. JT pounds his way to pay dirt. 📺 CBS pic.twitter.com/Vz1uvui44i

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

New England Patriots Analysis

Quarterback Mac Jones has 1861 passing yards, a 10-9 TD to INT ratio, and has chucked five interceptions in his last five games. Despite their offensive struggles, the Patriots rank #11 for rush defense. Demario Douglas has tallied 277 receiving yards and is questionable for practice this week. See ya, Dre! @dreeday32 | #ForeverNE 📺: FOX pic.twitter.com/5HHdeBBE1v

Colts Poised to Reach .500 Mark with Win Over Struggling Patriots

The Colts are well-positioned to reach the .500 mark, having scored a convincing win over the Panthers last week. Their offense ranks in the top 15 in most categories, while their run game has been especially successful. Gardner Minshew has recorded over 300 passing yards in two of his last four games, providing a reliable offense in the face of the Patriots' pass defense (21st in the NFL). As the Patriots have one of the worst offenses in the NFL, they have had difficulty getting production in the air or on the ground (averaging only 3.7 yards per rush) and have scored 17 or fewer points in all but two games. These details indicate a likely victory for the Colts.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#IndianapolisColts#NewEnglandPatriots

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Colts vs Patriots archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Colts vs Patriots matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Indianapolis Colts+100 → -120Moved
  • Moneyline · New England Patriots-120 → +100Moved
  • Spread · Indianapolis Colts+1 (-110) → -1.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · New England Patriots-1 (-110) → +1.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over44 (-110) → 42 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under44 (-110) → 42 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Indianapolis Colts
4-5 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
New England Patriots
2-7 matchup record · 2-8-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-11-06T06:36:38.441Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Quarterback Mac Jones has 1861 passing yards, a 10-9 TD to INT ratio, and has chucked five interceptions in his last five games. Despite their offensive struggles, the Patriots rank #11 for rush defense. Demario Douglas has tallied 277 receiving yards and is questionable for practice this week. See ya, Dre! @dreeday32 | #ForeverNE 📺: FOX pic.twitter.com/5HHdeBBE1v

Recent head-to-head

  • 2022-11-06Indianapolis Colts 3 · New England Patriots 26
  • 2021-12-18New England Patriots 17 · Indianapolis Colts 27
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Indianapolis Colts defeated New England Patriots 10-6

Indianapolis Colts defeated New England Patriots 10-6 on November 12, 2023, a 4-point decision in the series. Indianapolis Colts' strongest period was the 1st quarter, when it outscored its opponent 7-3. Against SportsJaw's recorded Indianapolis Colts -1.5 (-110) spread, Indianapolis Colts covered, while the 16 combined points finished under the recorded total of 42.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • GeauxtigersSpread · Indianapolis Colts -1.5 (-110)Win
  • PurplebloodSpread · New England Patriots +2 (-110)Loss
  • ThehitmanSpread · New England Patriots +2 (-110)Loss
  • BillywatersTotal · Under 43 (-110)Win
  • IrishblueTotal · Over 43 (-110)Loss
  • CoversSpread · Indianapolis Colts -2 (-110)Win
  • CoolioSpread · New England Patriots +2 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioTotal · Over 43 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkSpread · New England Patriots +2 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 43 (-110)Loss