Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings Predictions October 4, 2026
Minnesota will beat Miami, with a projected score of Vikings 24, Dolphins 13. The strongest matchup reason is Miami’s limited offensive output in its latest loss, paired with Minnesota’s 3-0 start. That favors the home team, but Jefferson’s ankle injury clouds the margin. Neither Minnesota -10.5 (-110) nor the supplied 38.5 total offers a compelling wager; the official pick is Pass.
Miami Dolphins vs Minnesota Vikings prediction and best bet
Minnesota is the pick to win this 2026 NFL Week 4 matchup. Miami enters at 0-3 after losing 24-10 to Kansas City on September 27, while the Vikings bring a 3-0 record into their home game. Miami’s latest performance gives a concrete reason to project another modest scoring day: Ollie Gordon II managed 41 yards on 17 carries, and the Dolphins finished with 10 points.
The best betting decision is Pass. Minnesota’s stronger results favor a victory, but covering 10.5 points requires a more specific judgment about its offensive production. Justin Jefferson’s day-to-day ankle status makes that judgment fragile. The forecast is Vikings 24, Dolphins 13, with low confidence in the exact margin.
Odds, game time and how to watch
Game: Miami Dolphins at Minnesota Vikings, Sunday, October 4, 2026. Kickoff: 3:05 p.m. CT, according to Minnesota’s official game information.
Venue: U.S. Bank Stadium. Television: FOX, with Kevin Kugler, Daryl Johnston and Allison Williams.
Records: Minnesota 3-0; Miami 0-3 entering Week 4.
SportsJaw moneyline: Miami +450; Minnesota -620. Spread: Miami +10.5 (-110); Minnesota -10.5 (-110). Total: Over 38.5 (-111); Under 38.5 (-103).