New York Jets vs Chicago Bears Predictions October 4, 2026
Chicago Bears 23, New York Jets 21 is the prediction, with Chicago's NFL-leading rushing production providing the strongest reason to favor the home team. Geno Smith's efficiency gives New York a credible answer, especially against Chicago's frequent single-high coverage. Neither Jets +3 (+100) nor the total of 43 (-110) offers a strong enough edge for an actionable wager. The official recommendation is Pass.
New York Jets vs Chicago Bears prediction and best bet
Chicago gets the narrow nod because its running game gives the offense a productive foundation while the quarterback decision remains unsettled. The Bears lead the NFL at 184.3 rushing yards per game and 5.27 yards per attempt. Their defensive performance against Philadelphia adds another reason to expect a competitive home showing.
New York has enough passing production to challenge that forecast. Smith's accuracy and Chicago's vulnerability in yards allowed per play point toward a close game. Still, projecting a two-point margin is different from finding value at Jets +3 (+100). Injuries affect both offenses, and Chicago's quarterback uncertainty cuts confidence in either spread position. The best betting decision is Pass.
Odds, game time and how to watch
Kickoff: Sunday, October 4, 2026, at 1 p.m. ET. This is a Week 4 matchup in the 2026 NFL season.
Venue and TV: Soldier Field in Chicago, Illinois; FOX.
Records: Jets 1-2; Bears 2-1 following their September 28 victory over Philadelphia.
Quarterbacks: Geno Smith leads New York's offense. Chicago had not announced its starter in the October 1 reporting.
SportsJaw odds: New York +3 (+100), Chicago -3 (-120). Moneyline: New York +155, Chicago -175. Total: Over 43 (-110) or Under 43 (-110).