New York Jets vs Chicago Bears Prediction, Odds and Best Bet for October 4, 2026
The Chicago Bears will beat the New York Jets, 23-20, in our October 4 forecast, with their NFL-leading rushing attack providing the strongest matchup advantage. New York’s efficient passing and stingy yardage defense should keep the margin close. With Chicago missing Caleb Williams and the Jets facing several offensive absences, neither the supplied spread nor total offers a strong enough edge. The official wager is Pass.
New York Jets vs Chicago Bears prediction and best bet
Chicago is the pick because its running game offers the most convincing foundation for sustaining offense in this matchup. The Bears led the NFL entering Week 4 in both rushing yards per game and yards per carry. That gives them a plausible route to winning without asking their replacement quarterback to carry the offense.
The forecast is narrower than the betting line: Chicago Bears 23, New York Jets 20. Still, a projected three-point margin alone is too thin a reason to back New York +3.5 (-108). The Jets have significant offensive injuries, and Chicago’s recent defensive results make a larger Bears victory a credible alternative. The best betting decision is Pass.
Odds, game time and how to watch
Game: New York Jets at Chicago Bears, Sunday, October 4, 2026, in Week 4 of the NFL season.
Records and recent form: Chicago enters 2-1 after beating Philadelphia 27-7 on September 28. New York is 1-2 and has lost two consecutive games following its opening win at Tennessee.
Quarterbacks: Geno Smith leads New York’s offense. Caleb Williams is out with a hamstring injury. Chicago’s October 2 report said coach Ben Johnson had not selected Tyson Bagent or Case Keenum as the starter.