Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans Prediction, Odds and Projected Score
The Houston Texans are projected to beat the Dallas Cowboys 24-23, with Will Anderson Jr.’s pass rush providing the strongest matchup reason to favor Houston. Nico Collins’ clean final injury designation also helps the Texans’ outlook. The supplied prices offer no compelling wager: Houston -3 (-105) asks for more separation than this forecast, and the total of 48.5 is a pass.
Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans prediction and best bet
Houston is the pick to win this 2026 NFL matchup, but the official betting recommendation is Pass. Anderson’s production and Collins’ improved practice status give the Texans a plausible route to their first victory. Neither makes a comfortable winning margin the likely outcome.
The distinction matters with Houston laying three points. A narrow Texans win fits the football forecast, while Dallas has enough encouraging personnel news to make the spread uncomfortable. Confidence is low because Houston’s 0-3 start and defensive absences remain substantial counterweights.
Odds, game time and how to watch
Time: Sunday, October 4, 2026, at noon CT.
Location: Houston, Texas.
Records: Dallas Cowboys 1-2; Houston Texans 0-3.
SportsJaw odds: Dallas Cowboys +3 (-115); Houston Texans -3 (-104). Moneyline: Dallas Cowboys +131; Houston Texans -149. Total: Over 48.5 (-110); Under 48.5 (-108).
SportsJaw moneyline: Dallas Cowboys +134; Houston Texans -152.
SportsJaw total: Over 48.5 (-110); Under 48.5 (-108).
Dallas Cowboys outlook
Dallas scored 31 points against Baltimore, an encouraging result for its chances of staying competitive in Houston. The same game ended with 34 points conceded and a loss. That performance offers a reason to respect the Cowboys’ scoring potential, but one result is too narrow a foundation for declaring their offense superior.