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  3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons
Thu 8:15 PM ET
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers101433030
Atlanta Falcons710310636
NFL · Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons

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Buccaneers and Falcons Set to Face Off in NFC South Matchup as Week Five Kicks Off in the NFL

Game time: October 3, 2024 at 8:15 PM ET

Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium — Atlanta, GA

Article updated Oct 1, 6:01 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

Week five in the NFL kicks off on Thursday night with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-1) facing the Atlanta Falcons (2-2) in an NFC South matchup. The teams split their series

Game outlook

Week five in the NFL kicks off on Thursday night with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-1) facing the Atlanta Falcons (2-2) in an NFC South matchup. The teams split their series last year with one win each. The game will be held at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA at 8:15 ET. Atlanta is currently favored to win, opening at -3 but the line has shifted to Atlanta -1.5. Stay tuned for exciting action on the field as these two teams battle it out.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Buccaneers +105 | Falcons -125

Spread: Buccaneers +1.5 (-110) | Falcons -1.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 43.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Atlanta will win straight-up is 56%.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Todd Bowles is currently in his third season as the head coach of the Buccaneers, with a 3-1 record so far. Despite a somewhat average record, his team has managed to win back-to-back division titles. The Bucs are currently 3-1 in the 2024 season, with notable wins over the Lions and Eagles but suffered a surprising loss to the Broncos. Despite leading the NFC South, the sports betting market doesn't seem to be giving much respect to Tampa, pricing them at just +200 to win the division. Baker Mayfield has been performing well as the quarterback, with Chris Godwin leading in receiving yards and Bucky Irving leading in rushing yards. Defensively, the team ranks ninth in points against per game, but their rushing defense has been weak. In terms of injuries, Mike Evans and Antoine Winfield Jr. did not practice on Monday. Overall, the Buccaneers are ranked 15 in offense, 16 in defense, and have a 3-1 record in the current season.

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Atlanta Falcons Analysis

The Atlanta Falcons are transitioning into a new era under head coach Raheem Morris, currently holding a 2-2 record in the 2024 season. They have alternated wins and losses, with notable victories over the Eagles and Saints. Kicker Younghoe Koo played a crucial role in their recent win over the Saints. The team remains favored to win the NFC South with the easiest strength of schedule in the NFL. Quarterback Kirk Cousins, acquired in free agency, has had a solid but not dominant performance. The offense is led by wide receiver Darnell Mooney and running back Bijan Robinson. Defensively, the team is ranked 14th in points allowed and 19th in yardage. The team is currently dealing with some injuries, including linebacker Troy Anderson and running back Bijan Robinson. The Falcons rank 23rd in power rankings and are 26th in offensive scoring, 13th in defense, with a 2-2 record overall. They have had a mixed history against Tampa Bay in recent matchups.

Buccaneers Undervalued as They Prepare to Face Falcons

The upcoming game between the Falcons and Buccaneers is viewed as a close matchup by oddsmakers, with Atlanta slightly favored by 1.5 points. Despite the Buccaneers winning two consecutive division titles, they continue to be underestimated in the betting market. I am choosing to support them on the moneyline, which offers a positive payout. While the addition of Kirk Cousins and Darnell Mooney to the Falcons offense and the departure of former offensive coordinator Arthur Smith may have generated some excitement, the overall performance of the offense still appears lackluster. With Cousins already throwing four interceptions this season, it may be argued that Baker Mayfield, with 8 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, is the superior quarterback in this game. Additionally, Todd Bowles is seen as a more well-rounded coach compared to Raheem Morris. In light of these factors, I am placing my money on Tampa Bay to win on the moneyline.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
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Pick on the Total

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#TampaBayBuccaneers#AtlantaFalcons

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Buccaneers vs Falcons archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Buccaneers vs Falcons matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Tampa Bay Buccaneers+135 → +118Moved
  • Moneyline · Atlanta Falcons-162 → -137Moved
  • Spread · Tampa Bay Buccaneers+3 (-110) → +2.5 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · Atlanta Falcons-3 (-110) → -2.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over43.5 (-110) → 44 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under43.5 (-110) → 44 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
3-1 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Atlanta Falcons
2-2 matchup record · 3-7-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-10-01T22:01:17.287Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Todd Bowles is currently in his third season as the head coach of the Buccaneers, with a 3-1 record so far. Despite a somewhat average record, his team has managed to win back-to-back division titles. The Bucs are currently 3-1 in the 2024 season, with notable wins over the Lions and Eagles but suffered a surprising loss to the Broncos. Despite leading the NFC South, the sports betting market doesn't seem to be giving much respect to Tampa, pricing them at just +200 to win the division. Baker Mayfield has been performing well as the quarterback, with Chris Godwin leading in receiving yards and Bucky Irving leading in rushing yards. Defensively, the team ranks ninth in points against per game, but their rushing defense has been weak. In terms of injuries, Mike Evans and Antoine Winfield Jr. did not practice on Monday. Overall, the Buccaneers are ranked 15 in offense, 16 in defense, and have a 3-1 record in the current season.

The Atlanta Falcons are transitioning into a new era under head coach Raheem Morris, currently holding a 2-2 record in the 2024 season. They have alternated wins and losses, with notable victories over the Eagles and Saints. Kicker Younghoe Koo played a crucial role in their recent win over the Saints. The team remains favored to win the NFC South with the easiest strength of schedule in the NFL. Quarterback Kirk Cousins, acquired in free agency, has had a solid but not dominant performance. The offense is led by wide receiver Darnell Mooney and running back Bijan Robinson. Defensively, the team is ranked 14th in points allowed and 19th in yardage. The team is currently dealing with some injuries, including linebacker Troy Anderson and running back Bijan Robinson. The Falcons rank 23rd in power rankings and are 26th in offensive scoring, 13th in defense, with a 2-2 record overall. They have had a mixed history against Tampa Bay in recent matchups.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-12-10Tampa Bay Buccaneers 29 · Atlanta Falcons 25
  • 2023-10-22Atlanta Falcons 16 · Tampa Bay Buccaneers 13
  • 2023-01-08Tampa Bay Buccaneers 17 · Atlanta Falcons 30
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Atlanta Falcons defeated Tampa Bay Buccaneers 36-30

Atlanta Falcons defeated Tampa Bay Buccaneers 36-30 on October 3, 2024, a 6-point decision in the series. Atlanta Falcons' strongest period was the 4th quarter, when it outscored its opponent 10-3. Against SportsJaw's recorded Tampa Bay Buccaneers +2.5 (-110) spread, Atlanta Falcons covered, while the 66 combined points finished over the recorded total of 44.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • Roderick806Total · Under 43.5 (-110)Loss
  • DpxsportsTotal · Over 43.5 (-110)Win
  • EmcSpread · Atlanta Falcons -3 (-110)Win
  • DengWinsTotal · Over 43.5 (-110)Win
  • JohnnywalkerSpread · Atlanta Falcons -3 (-110)Win
  • MickeytSpread · Atlanta Falcons -3 (-110)Win
  • MikehuffSpread · Atlanta Falcons -3 (-110)Win
  • RainmanSpread · Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3 (-110)Loss
  • AveragejoeSpread · Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3 (-110)Loss
  • IroncladlocksSpread · Atlanta Falcons -3 (-110)Win
  • SwamipicksSpread · Atlanta Falcons +3 (-110)Win
  • Altuve27Spread · Atlanta Falcons +3 (-110)
Win
  • PurplebloodSpread · Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3 (-110)Loss
  • PurplebloodTotal · Over 43.5 (-110)Win
  • JaredkuntzSpread · Atlanta Falcons -3 (-110)Win
  • 72dolphinsTotal · Over 43.5 (-110)Win
  • 72dolphinsSpread · Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3 (-110)Loss
  • Leadpipe_LocksTotal · Under 43.5 (-110)Loss
  • MickeytTotal · Over 43.5 (-110)Win
  • JoeyBergSpread · Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3 (-110)Loss
  • DpxsportsSpread · Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3 (-110)Loss
  • MaddogTotal · Over 43.5 (-110)Win
  • PremierPicksSpread · Atlanta Falcons -3 (-110)Win
  • JwSpread · Atlanta Falcons +3 (-110)Win
  • StevehSpread · Atlanta Falcons +3 (-110)Win
  • EljefeSpread · Atlanta Falcons -3 (-110)Win
  • JoeyBergTotal · Over 43.5 (-110)Win
  • KrockpicksSpread · Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3 (-110)Loss
  • MookiebetsSpread · Atlanta Falcons -3 (-110)Win
  • Josh720Spread · Atlanta Falcons -3 (-110)Win
  • TjwinsSpread · Atlanta Falcons +2.5 (-110)Win
  • TweiskoffSpread · Tampa Bay Buccaneers +2.5 (-110)Loss
  • Barry713Total · Under 43 (-110)Loss
  • 1735203231Spread · Atlanta Falcons -2.5 (-110)Win
  • DrfeelgoodSpread · Atlanta Falcons -2.5 (-110)Win
  • 1118240754Total · Over 43.5 (-110)Win
  • Roderick806Spread · Atlanta Falcons -1.5 (-110)Win
  • BjenkinsSpread · Atlanta Falcons -1.5 (-110)Win
  • BookieslayerSpread · Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1.5 (-110)Loss
  • JohnTharpTotal · Over 43.5 (-110)Win
  • MoneymouthSpread · Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1.5 (-110)Loss
  • Hustle$Spread · Atlanta Falcons +1.5 (-110)Win
  • ThetotalerSpread · Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1.5 (-110)Loss
  • JtgarciaSpread · Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1.5 (-110)Loss
  • Philly267Spread · Atlanta Falcons +1.5 (-110)Win
  • JoannaspicksTotal · Over 43.5 (-110)Win
  • JoannaspicksSpread · Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1.5 (-110)Loss
  • 1707662905Spread · Atlanta Falcons -1.5 (-110)Win
  • PeytoncSpread · Atlanta Falcons -1.5 (-110)Win
  • Mickey619Spread · Atlanta Falcons -1.5 (-110)Win
  • RainmanTotal · Over 44 (-110)Win
  • Mr_BiggsMoneyline · Atlanta Falcons -125Win
  • KryptonSpread · Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1.5 (-110)Loss
  • KryptonTotal · Over 43.5 (-110)Win
  • 893674868Total · Under 43.5 (-110)Loss
  • 893674868Moneyline · Tampa Bay Buccaneers +105Loss