Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets prediction: Jets win narrowly, spread and total are passes
The New York Jets will beat the Miami Dolphins, Jets 20, Dolphins 17, with Adonai Mitchell’s return against Miami’s depleted defense providing the strongest matchup reason. New York’s limited offensive production keeps confidence low despite that personnel advantage. Neither Jets -4.5 (-110) nor the 39.5 total offers a convincing betting edge at the supplied prices, so the official recommendation is Pass.
Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets prediction and best bet
New York gets the forecast because Mitchell’s return gives Geno Smith another receiving option while Miami is missing cornerback Reese Taylor. Jason Sanders’ 12 makes in 13 field-goal attempts also offer a concrete reason to trust the Jets to finish a close game with points. The pick is Jets 20, Dolphins 17.
The best betting decision is Pass. New York averages 18.7 points per game, and Smith has absorbed 19 sacks for 159 lost yards. Those problems temper enthusiasm for laying 4.5 points. Miami’s defensive injuries complicate the Under case, while the Dolphins’ 0-5 record tells us little about how many points they will contribute. A narrow Jets win is more defensible than either wager.
Odds, game time and how to watch
Game: Miami Dolphins at New York Jets, 2026 NFL season.
Kickoff: Sunday, October 25, 2026, at 1 p.m. ET. Broadcast: CBS.
Miami record: 0-5, returning from its bye.
Quarterback update: Geno Smith leads New York’s offense. Miami listed Malik Willis with a right-thumb injury but no game-status designation.
SportsJaw odds: Miami Dolphins +3.5 (-110); New York Jets -3.5 (-110). Moneyline: Miami Dolphins +174; New York Jets -200. Total: Over 39.5 (-104); Under 39.5 (-108).