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  3. Pittsburgh Steelers vs New Orleans Saints
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Pittsburgh Steelers vs New Orleans Saints prediction and best bet

Game time: October 25, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET

Venue: Stade de France — Saint-Denis

Article updated Oct 25, 7:05 AM EDT

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Pittsburgh Steelers will beat the New Orleans Saints, 23-20, in a low-confidence forecast built primarily on Pittsburgh’s 4-2 record against New Orleans’ 2-4 mark. The Saints’ improved rushing production is the strongest counterargument. Neither Steelers -3 (-110) nor either side of the 43.5 total offers a compelling betting edge, leaving the official SportsJaw wager as Pass.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New Orleans Saints prediction and best bet

Pittsburgh gets the narrow win in the NFL’s first game in France. Its better record supplies a modest starting advantage, while New Orleans’ season-high 175 rushing yards against the Giants gives the Saints a credible way to challenge that forecast. The record gap favors Pittsburgh, but it says less about the likely margin without a fuller comparison of the teams’ performance.

The best betting decision is Pass. Pittsburgh must win by more than three to cash Steelers -3 (-110), and this projection stops at a field goal. The total requires a separate judgment: a 43-point forecast sits close to 43.5, with too much scoring uncertainty to justify paying for the Under.

Odds, game time and how to watch

Game: Pittsburgh Steelers at New Orleans Saints, NFL Week 7 of the 2026 season.

Kickoff: Sunday, Oct. 25, 2026, at 9:30 a.m. ET, equivalent to 8:30 a.m. CT.

Venue: Stade de France in Saint-Denis, France. Broadcast: NFL Network and WDSU.

Records: Pittsburgh Steelers 4-2; New Orleans Saints 2-4.

SportsJaw odds: Pittsburgh Steelers -3 (-110); New Orleans Saints +3 (-110). Moneyline: Pittsburgh Steelers -155; New Orleans Saints +135. Total: Over 43.5 (-107); Under 43.5 (-113).

21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Pittsburgh Steelers outlook

Pittsburgh’s 4-2 record is its clearest advantage in this comparison. It gives the Steelers the stronger season result through six games, although wins and losses alone leave room for a close matchup. The forecast therefore favors Pittsburgh without treating the record difference as proof of superiority in any particular phase.

Availability makes the favorite harder to trust against the spread. Ben Skowronek is out with a calf injury, and Brandin Echols is out with a hamstring injury. Running back Rico Dowdle carries a questionable designation because of a knee injury. Safety DeShon Elliott is also questionable with a knee injury; the Saints’ official Friday report identifies him as being on injured reserve and designated to return.

Those designations warrant caution without assigning an invented point value to any absence. Dowdle’s status matters when considering Pittsburgh’s backfield options, while Elliott’s possible return remains a question rather than an assumed reinforcement.

The spread consensus offers some agreement with the Steelers forecast. SportsJaw community picks favor Pittsburgh -3 (-110) at 58%, and qualified handicapper picks favor the same selection at 56%. Those are separate measures of selection preference, not Pittsburgh’s chance of winning or covering. They offer context for the favorite’s appeal without supplying an independent performance advantage.

New Orleans Saints outlook

New Orleans brings the most concrete recent performance improvement in the matchup. The Saints’ official Oct. 24 report says they entered Week 6 averaging 82 rushing yards and 3.5 yards per carry. Against the Giants, they then produced a season-high 175 rushing yards on 38 carries. That is a meaningful rebound from their earlier output, though one game leaves its repeatability uncertain.

The production extended beyond Tyler Shough’s contributions. He rushed for 32 yards on five attempts, while the running backs accounted for 143 yards on 33 carries. That distribution gives the Saints a plausible route to sustained offense if their backs can again handle substantial work. Successful rushing could help keep the game close; carry volume alone will not guarantee that outcome.

The personnel picture complicates a repeat. Alvin Kamara was limited by a back injury on Wednesday, Thursday and Friday. Guard Cesar Ruiz is questionable with a knee injury. Defensive lineman Nathan Shepherd is questionable, with illness and non-injury rest listed in the Friday report.

New Orleans also elevated tackle Easton Kilty and receiver Cedric Tillman from the practice squad for Sunday. Those moves add available options, but they do not establish either player’s role. The Saints’ ground-game improvement remains their strongest argument for outperforming a forecast anchored in their 2-4 record.

Key matchup factors

The central question is how much weight to give New Orleans’ rushing rebound. Repeating productive runs would make a narrow Saints loss, or an upset, easier to envision. A return toward the earlier rushing output would weaken that argument. Pittsburgh gets the forecast edge because of its stronger record, with limited separation between the teams in the projected score.

The location also matters to how the matchup is framed. New Orleans is the designated home team, but the game takes place in Saint-Denis. Familiar home-field assumptions deserve little weight here. This is the Saints’ fourth international matchup, yet that experience alone is no reason to award them a scoring advantage.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New Orleans Saints spread prediction

Spread recommendation: Pass on Pittsburgh Steelers -3 (-110) and New Orleans Saints +3 (-108). A Steelers 23, Saints 20 finish would push either spread, so the projected winner creates no automatic betting preference.

Pittsburgh leads the blended spread consensus at 55%, compared with 54% in the sportsbook split. Neither figure is a cover probability. New Orleans’ rushing improvement makes taking the points worth considering, but its earlier struggles and current injury questions temper that case. There is too little separation between the forecast and the line to select either side.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New Orleans Saints total prediction

Total recommendation: Pass on Over 43.5 (-105) and Under 43.5 (-115). The forecast adds to 43 points, but that half-point difference is too slender to treat as a reliable Under edge.

Productive rushing could sustain drives as well as consume clock, so New Orleans’ improvement cuts both ways. The total consensus is also divided: the sportsbook split favors Over at 70%, while SportsJaw community picks favor Under at 54% and qualified handicapper picks favor Under at 55%. These preferences are distinct from scoring projections and leave no compelling reason to force a wager.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New Orleans Saints Projected Score & Betting Picks

Game forecast: Pittsburgh Steelers 23, New Orleans Saints 20. Pittsburgh’s better record earns it a slight advantage, while the Saints’ recent rushing production keeps the expected margin small. Confidence is low because the strongest evidence points in different directions and several player statuses remain unsettled.

The best counterargument is that New Orleans can repeat its improved ground game and turn a close contest in its favor. That possibility keeps this from becoming a confident Pittsburgh selection.

The official SportsJaw wager is Pass. Both spread sides remain passes at three points, and both total directions remain passes at 43.5. The Steelers are the predicted winner; neither market offers a sufficiently persuasive betting edge.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Steelers23

Saints20

Projected winner Pittsburgh SteelersConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Pass on Pittsburgh Steelers -3 (-110) and New Orleans Saints +3 (-108).

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Pass on Over 43.5 (-105) and Under 43.5 (-115).

Sources

  • NFL.comNFL Week 7 injury report: Player statuses for all 14 games
  • Axios New OrleansNew Orleans Saints head to Paris for first French NFL game
  • New Orleans SaintsSaints Friday Injury Report: 2026 Week 7 vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
#PittsburghSteelers#NewOrleansSaints

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw's editorial organization researches matchup data, current odds, injuries and reporting, then validates each published preview against its listed sources and displayed markets.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Steelers vs Saints game preview analysis and predictions incorporate current odds, injury reports, team statistics and market data. Information is updated regularly, but lines and player availability can change. Please confirm current information before wagering. View history of past Steelers vs Saints matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Pittsburgh Steelers-135 → -155Moved
  • Moneyline · New Orleans Saints+115 → +135Moved
  • Spread · Pittsburgh Steelers-1.5 (-110) → -3 (-110)Moved
  • Spread · New Orleans Saints+1.5 (-110) → +3 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Over41.5 (-115) → 43.5 (-107)Moved
  • Total · Under41.5 (-105) → 43.5 (-113)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Pittsburgh Steelers
4-2 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
New Orleans Saints
2-4 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2026-10-19T04:29:38.139Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Availability makes the favorite harder to trust against the spread. Ben Skowronek is out with a calf injury, and Brandin Echols is out with a hamstring injury. Running back Rico Dowdle carries a questionable designation because of a knee injury. Safety DeShon Elliott is also questionable with a knee injury; the Saints’ official Friday report identifies him as being on injured reserve and designated to return.

The personnel picture complicates a repeat. Alvin Kamara was limited by a back injury on Wednesday, Thursday and Friday. Guard Cesar Ruiz is questionable with a knee injury. Defensive lineman Nathan Shepherd is questionable, with illness and non-injury rest listed in the Friday report.

Pittsburgh leads the blended spread consensus at 55%, compared with 54% in the sportsbook split. Neither figure is a cover probability. New Orleans’ rushing improvement makes taking the points worth considering, but its earlier struggles and current injury questions temper that case. There is too little separation between the forecast and the line to select either side.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

Pittsburgh Steelers defeated New Orleans Saints 16-10

Pittsburgh Steelers defeated New Orleans Saints 16-10 on October 25, 2026, a 6-point decision in the series. Pittsburgh Steelers' strongest period was the 1st quarter, when it outscored its opponent 3-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Pittsburgh Steelers -3 (-110) spread, Pittsburgh Steelers covered, while the 26 combined points finished under the recorded total of 43.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerPittsburgh SteelersWin
  • SpreadPass on Pittsburgh Steelers -3 (-110) and New Orleans Saints +3 (-108).Pass
  • TotalPass on Over 43.5 (-105) and Under 43.5 (-115).Pass

Tipster picks

  • 1188460207Total · Under 44.5 (-108)Win
  • 1188460207Spread · Pittsburgh Steelers -3 (-120)Win
  • DpxsportsSpread · Pittsburgh Steelers -3 (-120)Win
  • DpxsportsTotal · Under 44.5 (-108)Win
  • VfernandezSpread · New Orleans Saints +3 (-102)Loss
  • VfernandezTotal · Over 44.5 (-110)Loss
  • MiamimikeSpread · New Orleans Saints +3 (-102)Loss
  • MiamimikeTotal · Under 44.5 (-108)Win
  • Sammy52Spread · Pittsburgh Steelers -3 (-120)Win
  • DtownsendSpread · New Orleans Saints +3 (-102)
Loss
  • DtownsendTotal · Over 44.5 (-110)Loss
  • PurplebloodTotal · Under 44.5 (-108)Win
  • Joem81Spread · New Orleans Saints +3 (-102)Loss
  • MaddogTotal · Over 44.5 (-110)Loss
  • MaddogSpread · Pittsburgh Steelers -3 (-120)Win
  • JtmcentireSpread · Pittsburgh Steelers -3 (-120)Win
  • JtmcentireTotal · Over 44.5 (-110)Loss
  • Novacek84Total · Under 44.5 (-108)Win
  • Novacek84Spread · New Orleans Saints +3 (-102)Loss
  • Philly267Total · Over 44.5 (-110)Loss
  • Philly267Spread · Pittsburgh Steelers -3 (-120)Win
  • MrpinkSpread · Pittsburgh Steelers -3 (-120)Win
  • MrpinkTotal · Over 44.5 (-110)Loss
  • WarbuczSpread · Pittsburgh Steelers -3 (-120)Win
  • WarbuczTotal · Under 44.5 (-108)Win
  • Tbone91Spread · New Orleans Saints +3 (-102)Loss
  • Tbone91Total · Under 44.5 (-108)Win
  • JaredkuntzSpread · New Orleans Saints +3 (-102)Loss
  • JeffjacksonSpread · Pittsburgh Steelers -3 (-120)Win
  • HopkinspicksSpread · Pittsburgh Steelers +3 (-102)Win
  • HopkinspicksTotal · Under 44.5 (-108)Win
  • JtgarciaSpread · Pittsburgh Steelers +3 (-102)Win
  • JtgarciaTotal · Under 44.5 (-108)Win
  • 72dolphinsTotal · Under 44.5 (-108)Win
  • HitmanhartSpread · Pittsburgh Steelers -3 (-120)Win
  • HitmanhartTotal · Over 44.5 (-110)Loss
  • PremierPicksTotal · Over 44.5 (-110)Loss
  • PremierPicksSpread · New Orleans Saints +3 (-102)Loss
  • DengWinsTotal · Over 44.5 (-110)Loss
  • Fisher49Spread · Pittsburgh Steelers -3 (-120)Win
  • Fisher49Total · Under 44.5 (-108)Win
  • Sarah_MillerSpread · Pittsburgh Steelers -3 (-120)Win
  • Drew_WestcottTotal · Under 44.5 (-108)Win
  • Drew_WestcottSpread · Pittsburgh Steelers -3 (-120)Win
  • JwSpread · Pittsburgh Steelers +3 (-102)Win
  • JamescashiolaSpread · New Orleans Saints +3 (-102)Loss
  • Kentc_Spread · Pittsburgh Steelers -3 (-120)Win
  • Kentc_Total · Under 44.5 (-108)Win
  • Mickey619Spread · New Orleans Saints +3 (-102)Loss
  • Mickey619Total · Over 44.5 (-110)Loss
  • TgodfreySpread · Pittsburgh Steelers -3 (-120)Win
  • TgodfreyTotal · Over 44.5 (-110)Loss
  • Leadpipe_LocksSpread · New Orleans Saints +3 (-102)Loss
  • Leadpipe_LocksTotal · Under 44.5 (-110)Win
  • FlyigglesflySpread · Pittsburgh Steelers +3 (-102)Win
  • FlyigglesflyTotal · Over 44.5 (-110)Loss
  • UncledavidSpread · New Orleans Saints +3 (-102)Loss
  • UncledavidTotal · Over 44.5 (-110)Loss
  • Randy54Spread · New Orleans Saints +3 (-102)Loss
  • DemarcusBryantTotal · Under 44.5 (-108)Win
  • MikeVargasSpread · Pittsburgh Steelers +3 (-102)Win
  • MikeVargasTotal · Under 44.5 (-108)Win
  • StevehSpread · New Orleans Saints +3 (-102)Loss
  • StevehTotal · Over 44.5 (-110)Loss
  • GsimmsSpread · New Orleans Saints +3 (-102)Loss
  • TweiskoffSpread · Pittsburgh Steelers +3 (-102)Win
  • TweiskoffTotal · Under 44.5 (-110)Win
  • GeorgewSpread · Pittsburgh Steelers -3 (-120)Win
  • MtgoldsteinTotal · Over 44.5 (-110)Loss
  • MickeytSpread · Pittsburgh Steelers +3 (-102)Win
  • MickeytTotal · Over 44.5 (-110)Loss
  • ThehitmanSpread · Pittsburgh Steelers -3 (-120)Win
  • ThehitmanTotal · Under 44.5 (-108)Win
  • IroncladlocksSpread · Pittsburgh Steelers +3 (-102)Win
  • IroncladlocksTotal · Over 44.5 (-110)Loss
  • JackCohenSpread · Pittsburgh Steelers -3 (-120)Win
  • JackCohenTotal · Under 44.5 (-108)Win
  • JtphamTotal · Under 44.5 (-108)Win
  • BillywatersSpread · Pittsburgh Steelers -3 (-120)Win
  • BillywatersTotal · Over 44.5 (-110)Loss
  • DrpaulSpread · New Orleans Saints +3 (-102)Loss
  • DrpaulTotal · Under 44.5 (-108)Win
  • MrmisterSpread · Pittsburgh Steelers -3 (-120)Win
  • MrmisterTotal · Over 44.5 (-110)Loss
  • SimonsaysSpread · Pittsburgh Steelers -3 (-120)Win
  • SimonsaysTotal · Under 44.5 (-108)Win
  • MbcSpread · Pittsburgh Steelers -3 (-120)Win
  • MbcTotal · Under 44.5 (-108)Win
  • Barry713Spread · Pittsburgh Steelers -3 (-120)Win
  • GustavosintoSpread · New Orleans Saints +3 (-102)Loss
  • GeauxtigersTotal · Under 44.5 (-108)Win
  • GeauxtigersSpread · Pittsburgh Steelers -3 (-120)Win
  • JoeyBergSpread · Pittsburgh Steelers -3 (-120)Win
  • KrockpicksTotal · Over 44.5 (-110)Loss
  • KrockpicksSpread · Pittsburgh Steelers -3 (-120)Win
  • MookiebetsSpread · New Orleans Saints +3 (-102)Loss
  • MookiebetsTotal · Over 44.5 (-110)Loss
  • NutinbutlocksTotal · Under 44.5 (-110)Win
  • NutinbutlocksSpread · Pittsburgh Steelers -3 (-120)Win
  • Josh720Spread · Pittsburgh Steelers -3 (-120)Win
  • 1707662905Spread · Pittsburgh Steelers -3 (-120)Win
  • 1707662905Total · Under 44.5 (-108)Win
  • TjwinsSpread · Pittsburgh Steelers -3 (-120)Win
  • TjwinsTotal · Under 44.5 (-108)Win
  • RainmanSpread · Pittsburgh Steelers -3 (-120)Win
  • RainmanTotal · Under 44.5 (-108)Win
  • BluedevilSpread · Pittsburgh Steelers -3 (-120)Win
  • IrishblueSpread · Pittsburgh Steelers -3 (-120)Win
  • IrishblueTotal · Under 44.5 (-108)Win
  • MauriceJonesSpread · New Orleans Saints +3 (-102)Loss
  • Altuve27Total · Under 44.5 (-108)Win
  • ThinkmakegrowSpread · New Orleans Saints +3 (-102)Loss
  • ThinkmakegrowTotal · Under 44.5 (-108)Win
  • RcTotal · Under 44.5 (-108)Win
  • RcSpread · Pittsburgh Steelers -3 (-120)Win
  • Steve512Spread · Pittsburgh Steelers -3 (-120)Win
  • Steve512Total · Over 44.5 (-110)Loss
  • Teddy718Spread · Pittsburgh Steelers -3 (-112)Win
  • KingjamesSpread · Pittsburgh Steelers -3 (-112)Win
  • Amp2224Spread · Pittsburgh Steelers -3 (-110)Win