New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears Prediction, Odds and Best Bet
The Chicago Bears will beat the New England Patriots 27-24, with their league-leading rushing attack and drive efficiency giving them a narrow advantage. Drake Maye’s recent production and Chicago’s missing edge defenders make a close finish the forecast. Neither Bears -3 (-110) nor the total of 50.5 (-110) offers a convincing betting edge, so the official SportsJaw wager is Pass.
New England Patriots vs Chicago Bears prediction and best bet
Chicago gets the pick because its offense has more than one way to sustain possessions. The Bears lead the NFL in rushing, plays per drive and yards per drive, and Caleb Williams returned with an accurate performance against Atlanta. That combination gives Chicago a slight advantage against a depleted New England defense.
This is a low-confidence forecast. Maye’s recent passing form gives the Patriots a credible route to an outright win, especially with two Chicago defensive ends unavailable. The projected three-point margin offers no cushion for backing Bears -3 (-110), while the scoring outlook is too finely balanced for a total bet. The best betting decision is Pass.
Odds, game time and how to watch
Game time: Thursday, October 22, 2026, at 8:15 p.m. ET. This is a Week 7 matchup in the 2026 NFL season.
Venue: Soldier Field in Chicago, Illinois. New England visits Chicago.
Broadcast: Prime Video, with NFL+ also listed as a viewing option.
Records and form: Both teams enter at 4-2. New England has won three straight games, most recently against the Jets. Chicago comes off a Week 6 victory at Atlanta.
Expected quarterbacks: Drake Maye for New England and Caleb Williams for Chicago.