Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Picks & Predictions
The Jacksonville Jaguars are projected to beat the Houston Texans 23-20 on Sunday, October 18. Jacksonville’s lower yardage allowance and Houston’s missing offensive contributors give the Jaguars a slight edge, but the Texans’ scoring defense makes this a close call. Neither Jacksonville -2.5 (-113) nor the 42.5 total offers a strong enough edge for an official wager. The best betting decision is Pass.
Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars prediction and best bet
Jacksonville is the pick to win, with low confidence. The Jaguars’ 4-1 start contrasts sharply with Houston’s 1-4 record, and the Texans will play without Tank Dell, David Montgomery and Jalen Pitre. Those absences favor Jacksonville, although the season scoring numbers make Houston a credible upset threat.
The official betting lean is Pass. A projected three-point Jacksonville victory leaves little separation from Jaguars -2.5 (-113). Houston has the stronger scoring defense and the higher scoring average, so the records alone are not enough to justify backing the favorite. Picking Jacksonville to finish ahead is a narrower judgment than recommending a wager.
Odds, game time and how to watch
Game time: Sunday, October 18, 2026, at 8:30 a.m. CT, in Week 6 of the NFL season.
Venue: Wembley Stadium, London. Jacksonville is the designated home team.
Broadcast: NFL Network.
Records: Houston Texans 1-4; Jacksonville Jaguars 4-1.
SportsJaw odds: Houston Texans +2.5 (-110); Jacksonville Jaguars -2.5 (-110). Moneyline: Houston Texans +116; Jacksonville Jaguars -136. Total: Over 42.5 (+103); Under 42.5 (-116).
SportsJaw moneyline: Houston +125; Jacksonville -145. Total: Over 42.5 (-110); Under 42.5 (-110).